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All Big 12 Final Standings Scenarios

First, let's start with the North:

Final standings are all but set in stone.  Teams 1-4 have head-to-head tiebreakers over the only teams that can tie them in record.

1. Missouri

2. Nebraska

3. Kansas

4. Colorado

5&6: K-State and Iowa State.  Game at Manhattan will decide 5th (or last, depending on how you want to look at it) in the North.  A K-State win puts them in 5th outright, an Iowa State win puts them in 5th by virtue of the head-to-head tiebreaker.

Bowl Eligible: Missouri, Nebraska and kansas

Colorado will become bowl eligible if they can win IN Lincoln the day after Thanksgiving.

 

My prediction:  I look for K-State to win In Manhattan and the Huskers to keep Colorado from becoming Bowl eligible.

 

Now, the Big 12 South.  This is where it gets hairy, so we'll start with the simple stuff:

5th and 6th: Because of Baylor's win over A&M, Baylor needs a win (against Tech) OR an A&M loss (to Texas) to tie up 5th.  Obviously, A&M is hoping for a Baylor loss (to Tech) AND a win over Texas to avoid the cellar.

 

My Prediction: I expect both teams to lose and keep A&M in last place.

 

Bowl Eligible: Texas Tech, Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State.

A&M and Baylor have each already lost 7 games and cannot become bowl eligible.

OSU cannot win the divison, a 4-way tie at 6-2 would give Tech the division, meeting Tech's scenario 4 (see below)

Tech 1st place scenarios:

1. Win out

2. Beat OU.  At that point, they will have the South locked up, as OU will have 2 or 3 losses, Texas will have 1 or 2 losses and Tech will have 1 loss or will be undefeated.  Tech has head-to-head against Texas.

3. Beat Baylor and have OU lose (at least) 1 game.  Even with a loss to OU, Tech would still clinch the South if OU lost to OSU.  Tech and Texas have 1 loss, OU has 2.

4. Tech, Texas, OU and OSU all end up 6-2 (Tech loses both games, Texas loses to A&M, OU loses to OSU).  Tech would win because OU and OSU would both be 1-2 against the other 3 teams and Tech and UT would be 2-1.  Big 12 rules stipulate if 2 teams remain tied after a multiple-team tiebreaker step, you take head-to-head.  Tech would then have head-to-head against both Texas.

5. Tech, Texas and OU all end up tied at 7-1 and Tech is the highest ranked BCS team

 

Texas 1st place scenarios:

1. Tech loses to OU and Baylor and Texas beats A&M.  Texas would then be 7-1, tied with OU (unless OU loses to OSU), whom they have head-to-head against.

2. Texas, Tech and OU all end up tied at 7-1 and Texas is the highest ranked BCS team

 

OU 1st place scenarios:

1. OU wins out and Texas loses to A&M.

2. OU, Texas and Tech all end up tied at 7-1 and OU is the highest ranked BCS team.

 

My predictions: Texas beats A&M, OU beats OSU, Tech beats Baylor and it comes down to OU - Tech next weekend.  Ok, so most people think that.  I think Tech wins and locks up the division.  As tough as it is to play in Norman, it's not IMPOSSIBLE to win there, if you have the better team.

 

Final predicted standings:

1. Tech

2. Texas

3. OU

4. OSU

5. Baylor

6. A&M

0 recs | Comment 6 comments

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huh

I didn’t realize tech could actually clinch the South next weekend. A win over OU and they’re in, period.

by calim on Nov 17, 2008 11:08 PM CST   0 recs

Well, maybe the Final standings will look like this?

1. Missouri
1A. Tech
2. Texas
3. OU
4. OSU
5. Nebraska
6. Kansas
7. Colorado
8. K State
9. Baylor
10. A&M
11. Iowa St.

Steve

by thedad on Nov 18, 2008 7:07 AM CST   0 recs

I fully expect to grant Tech the "co-champions" label

after we beat them in Arrowhead.

I’m saying that now so that I can claim it if we lose.

I juggle one handed, do some magic tricks and do the best imitation of myself.

Ben Folds Five

by Andy--01 on Nov 18, 2008 8:17 AM CST to parent up   0 recs

Good planning, Andy. Here’s hoping it will serve you well. :-)

Meanwhile I’m sure nervous about that game in Norman. But then again, I was nervous about OSU so I clearly don’t know squat.

by TT_ on Nov 18, 2008 8:44 PM CST to parent up   0 recs

I certainly think that the OU game SHOULD make you nervous

I think Tech is the better team, but all I really have to base that on is OU’s neutral site loss to Texas and Tech’s win at home. OU can say all they want to about playing tough teams like Cincinnati and TCU, but let’s be honest – TCU MIGHT finish as good as 4th in the Big 12 North, and neither would finish better than 5th in the South. Tech also had trouble (relative to our performance) against Nevada, but they are clearly playing much better now.

Norman is a very difficult place to play, they’ve lost there what, 2 times in the last decade? Once being to the only true rival they actually play at home? That being said, the better team CAN win there, no place is impossible to play.

I juggle one handed, do some magic tricks and do the best imitation of myself.

Ben Folds Five

by Andy--01 on Nov 19, 2008 9:47 AM CST to parent up   0 recs

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