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Mizzou-Hatters: Box Scorin'

I didn't like the "Beside the Box Score" thing, so I'll just keep trying new names until I find one I like...


So after a totally non-descript first 10 minutes, Mizzou just methodically pulled away.

Mizzou Hatters
Points Per Minute
1.98 1.10
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.20 0.67
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.34 0.75
2-PT FG% 54.8% 35.7%
3-PT FG% 41.2% 5.9%
FT% 52.4% 52.4%
Mizzou Hatters
Assists 20 1
Steals 7 6
Turnovers 9 15
(Assists + Steals) / TO 3.00 0.47
Mizzou Hatters
Expected Offensive Rebounds 12 17
Offensive Rebounds 14 15
Eq. Rebound Margin +2 -2
  • Stetson had one assist.  One.
  • Meanwhile, I think all 9 of Mizzou's turnovers came in the first five rough minutes.
  • Stetson really seemed to come into the game determined to muck things up.  Mizzou was clearly rusty offensively, and the game was almost unwatchably sloppy early.  But a) Mizzou's defense remained strong, and b) Stetson couldn't hit a shot if their lives depended on it, and eventually Mizzou got into a rhythm with the ball.
  • This is where a stat like "Expected Offensive Rebounds" comes in handy--Stetson had more Off Reb than Mizzou, so you'd think that would be bad, but in the end they didn't grab as many as expected because they missed so many damn shots.
  • Mizzou's 1.20 PPP = impressive.  Stetson's 0.67 PPP = VERY impressive (for Mizzou).
  • Stetson's leader Garfield Blair: 6 points on 11 shots, 0 points, 4 turnovers.

Here's a fun summary of advanced stats from StatSheet.com. Seriously, this site has just turned into a freaking goldmine.

Star-divide

Player EqPts* EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 12.94 0.65 14 Pts, 7 Reb, 3 Off Reb
Marcus Denmon 11.32 0.57 8 Pts, 4 Reb, 4 Stl, 2 Ast
Matt Lawrence 9.44 0.47 12 Pts on 6 shots
Keith Ramsey 8.36 0.42 8 Pts, 5 Reb
Justin Safford 7.28 0.56 10 Pts on 5 Shots, 5 Reb
Leo Lyons 5.12 0.27 6 Pts, 6 Reb, 2 Ast
Laurence Bowers 5.12 0.39 6 Pts, 4 Reb, 1 block-and-jumper
Miguel Paul 4.45 0.21 0 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 Ast
Steve Moore 3.91 0.56 5 Pts, 4 Reb
J.T. Tiller 2.97 0.23 2 Pts, 3 Ast
Michael Anderson Jr. 2.16 0.24 3 Pts, 2 Reb
Zaire Taylor 2.02 0.16 0 Pts, 5 Ast, 2 Reb
Jarrett Sutton 2.02 0.51 3 Pts on one sweet walk-on jumper
Kim English 0.27 0.03 2 Pts, 2 Reb

EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week.  Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.  I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.

  • Hopefully Leo Lyons is saving himself for Braggin' Rights, because while he was pretty good offensively against Murray State, he's basically blended into the scenery the last couple of games.
  • This was a really neat game to watch, as almost every freshman did something spectacular at some point.  Marcus Denmon came in early and sparked a lifeless Mizzou squad with defense, Miguel Paul was very smooth and in control, and...rarely will Laurence Bowers have a better 60 seconds than when he blocked a 3-pointer, nailed a long jumper, then ended up on the receiving end of an alley-oop 30 seconds later.  Steve Moore continues to look lighter and more agile (but still stout).  Really, only Kimmie English was unimpressive today, and he's proven himself already.
  • I was about to say it's going to be hard to keep Bowers off the court, but...Justin Safford and Keith Ramsey were as or more impressive.  Mizzou clearly isn't going to have a lot of pure size next year, but Safford, Ramsey and Bowers (Jaureth Bamford--24 points, 14 rebounds last night) will be pretty dynamic next year nonetheless.  Now we just have to hope that Steve Moore continues to come along so that Mizzou doesn't get totally manhandled by big teams.  Regardless, Bowers is looking better and better.
  • One concern: Mizzou is going to need more production from the point guard position at some point.  Paul was in control, but he and Zaire Taylor will have to prove they can score, else teams will begin to give them the Wesley Stokes treatment.
  • I'll say this: Jarrett Sutton really does have a nice stroke.

Season to Date

Player EqPts/Gm EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 17.83 0.69 17.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.8 SPG
Leo Lyons 14.50 0.62 16.2 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 2.2 APG, 1.5 SPG
Marcus Denmon
7.96 0.46 7.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.9 APG, 1.4 SPG
Zaire Taylor
7.44 0.30 4.2 PPG, 3.5 APG, 3.2 RPG, 1.4 SPG
J.T. Tiller
7.21 0.34 6.4 PPG, 3.3 APG, 2.8 RPG, 2.2 SPG
Matt Lawrence 7.17 0.38 9.5 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 0.8 APG
Miguel Paul 4.99 0.31 4.8 PPG, 2.4 APG, 1.2 RPG
Keith Ramsey
4.39 0.36 4.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.7 BPG
Kim English
4.00 0.32 6.9 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.0 APG
Laurence Bowers 3.78 0.41 3.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 0.7 BPG
Justin Safford 3.77 0.30 4.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.5 APG
Jarrett Sutton 2.04 0.58 3.0 PPG
Steve Moore 1.45 0.26 1.8 PPG, 2.0 RPG
Michael Anderson Jr. 1.10 0.16 1.5 PPG, 1.0 RPG
  • DeMarre has distanced himself from Leo at the top, but they do make a pretty rough twosome.  Mizzou is going to be tough to beat when one of them is on, and really tough to beat when both of them are on.
  • Jaureth Bamford: 31.2 MPG, 10.2 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.5 BPG, 1.1 SPG.  Mr. Bamford is a damn solid all-around contributor there, huh?
  • J.T. "Big Game" Tiller will get a chance to live up to his nickname this week...he should be well-rested, as he hasn't been asked to do much lately.
Poll
Who was last night's MVP?
DeMarre Carroll - 14 points, 7 rebounds
5 votes
Marcus Denmon - 8 points, 4 steals, early energy boost off the bench
16 votes
Matt Lawrence - scored early when nobody else could
4 votes
justin Safford - 10 points, 5 rebounds in just 13 minutes
22 votes

47 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 5 comments | Share on Facebook Digg!

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Comments

Display:

Box Scorin'? Hinton is gonna be pissed...

I suggest something stupid, like “An Evaluation of the Previous Basketball Game Contested by the Missouri Tigers, Replete with Commentary and Alternative Statistical Measures of Performance Than Are Commonly Used to Describe Said Sporting Event – With Comments From Dummies.”

by amorphous on Dec 21, 2008 1:39 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Damn...I knew I'd heard that one before, but couldn't think of where...

…so I guess the abbreviated version of your suggestion would be Mizzou-Stetson: AEOTPBGCBTMTRWCAASMOPTACUTDSSE-WCFD". I like it. Rolls off the tongue.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by The Boy on Dec 21, 2008 2:12 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How about...

…Boxin’ The Score? Then, you could have a picture of two numbers fighting each other.

OK, I’m going to put down the gin now.

"Please. What the hell do you know about starting a sports-related website and then deciding to leave it to work on other things and then? How dare you, sir." -- Michael Schur, aka FireJoeMorgan's Ken Tremendous, to Will Leitch

by ghtd36 on Dec 21, 2008 1:57 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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