Mizzou-Cal: Beside the Box Score

by Bill C. on Dec 7, 2008 4:41 PM CST in Mizzou Basketball 08-09 Comment 10 comments

Because I'd much rather talk about this game than enter box scores from this weekend's football games (guess what the numbers say: Mizzou got drubbed last night. Shocking, I know.), let's dive right into this one...

	Mizzou	Cal
Points Per Minute	2.33	1.65
Points Per Possession (PPP)	1.29	1.03
Points Per Shot (PPS)	1.21	0.86
2-PT FG%	55.8%	33.3%
3-PT FG%	30.0%	46.2%
FT%	85.0%	56.0%

	Mizzou	Cal
Assists	22	7
Steals	14	7
Turnovers	17	20
(Assists + Steals) / TO	2.12	0.70

	Mizzou	Cal
Expected Offensive Rebounds	14	17
Offensive Rebounds	20	19
Eq. Rebound Margin	+6	+2

Most of the Mizzou turnovers came from two players (Leo Lyons and Miguel Paul had 11), but in the end you're allowed a few more turnovers when you're producing that many assists and that many steals.
Mizzou is still a bit deficient on the defensive glass, but they're making up for it with their aggression on the boards on offense.
Clearly Mizzou is still taking too many 3's, but...apparently that's part of the aggressive mindset? I guess? I'd hate to say "Taker fewer 3's" if it neuters them or something...
Safe to say, if Mizzou grabs more offensive rebounds than its opponents AND holds them to 33% on 2-pointers...yeah, they're going to win unless the opponent makes about 17 3-pointers...

Player stats after the jump...

Player	EqPts*	EqPts/Min	Line
DeMarre Carroll	20.02	0.91	19 Pts on 12 shots, 6 Reb, 3 Ast
Leo Lyons	14.18	0.64	18 Pts, 8 Reb, 3 Ast, 6 TO, 2 Stl
Marcus Denmon	9.45	0.59	14 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 Stl, 1 Blk, 2 TO
J.T. Tiller	9.45	0.50	4 Pts, 5 Reb, 7 Ast, 2 TO
Zaire Taylor	8.48	0.34	5 Pts, 6 Reb, 2 Stl, 1 Ast
Kim English	6.26	0.45	16 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Ast, 2 TO, 5 PF
Matt Lawrence	5.56	0.37	4 Pts, 3 Reb, 2 Stl
Laurence Bowers	5.14	0.57	4 Pts, 3 Reb, 1 Blk, 1 sick oop dunk
Justin Safford	3.34	0.26	4 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, good defense
Keith Ramsey	3.34	0.22	0 Pts, 3 Blk, 1 Stl
Michael Anderson Jr.	1.25	0.25	0 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Stl
Jarrett Sutton	0.70	0.23	0 Pts, 1 Off Reb
Steve Moore	0.56	0.11	0 Pts, 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 sick oop pass
Miguel Paul	-0.83	-0.05	5 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Ast, 5 TO

EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week. Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket. I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.

I guess I'll hold off on giving JT the "Big Game" nickname...he was great in transition, and his 7 assists were great to see, but...I'll make him work for it a bit more first...preferably against Illinois.
I loved seeing Kim English find his range today (it's great seeing his confidence grow), but he does need to get a little better at the "little things" stats...his 3's were the dagger today, but his 2 TO's and 5 fouls leave a bit to be desired. Still, though, he's going to continue to steal Matty Lawrence's minutes (even though Matt did well today despite not having his shot).
I like what I see from Steve Moore's hands. I kind of want to see what he does against a real team's first string...though I kind of also don't want to see that just yet.
Marcus Denmon is careless with the ball occasionally, but man...he has great feel with his shot (around the basket, mid-range, and from deep), and he's good for one straight-up pocket-pick a game.
Jaureth Bamford (Justin Safford + Keith Ramsey + Laurence Bowers): 37 minutes, 8 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 blocks, 1 steal. Well-rounded as always.
Knock on wood and all, but...I just can't believe how improved DeMarre Carroll has been so far. He was a bull in a china shop last year, and then he got hurt...now he's healthy AND comfortable in the system, and the results have been extraordinary.
DeMarre's success is also taking pressure off of Leo...and making Leo's horrendous ball-handling today a lot easier to handle.
Miguel Paul had a tough game today. All the freshmen will at some point, and at least Mr. Paul's came when the rest of the team was dominating.

Season to Date

Player	EqPts/Gm	EqPts/Min	Line
DeMarre Carroll	19.38	0.74	18.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 2.4 APG
Leo Lyons	15.11	0.66	17.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.55 PPS
Zaire Taylor	8.73	0.34	4.6 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.8 APG
J.T. Tiller	7.66	0.35	6.8 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.1 APG, 2.3 SPG
Marcus Denmon	7.39	0.44	7.3 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 1.9 APG
Matt Lawrence	6.63	0.35	8.6 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 0.9 APG
Miguel Paul	5.25	0.33	5.6 PPG, 2.5 APG, 1.1 RPG
Keith Ramsey	4.29	0.37	3.9 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.6 BPG
Kim English	4.16	0.33	7.4 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.1 APG
Justin Safford	3.46	0.28	3.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.5 APG
Laurence Bowers	3.50	0.40	2.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.7 BPG
Jarrett Sutton	2.00	0.60	3.0 PPG, lots of walk-on cheer
Steve Moore	0.91	0.18	1.2 PPG, 1.6 RPG, Truman Patriot
Michael Anderson Jr.	0.68	0.14	1.2 PPG, 0.8 RPG, 1 coach's son

Due to Paul's setback, Zaire Taylor regained the lead in per-minute stats at the point guard position.
J.T. Tiller leads in the "intangibles" category, but that obviously doesn't translate here. He still comes up big against the real teams, though...
Jaureth Bamford: 30.5 MPG, 9.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1.4 BPG, 1.3 SPG.
And speaking of which...

Versus Real Teams Only*

	Mizzou	Opp
Points Per Minute	2.06	1.78
Points Per Possession (PPP)	1.15	1.00
Points Per Shot (PPS)	1.31	1.33
2-PT FG%	53.7%	42.4%
3-PT FG%	31.0%	42.9%
FT%	62.9%	62.8%

	Mizzou	Opp
Assists	63	34
Steals	39	16
Turnovers	36	61
(Assists + Steals) / TO	2.75	0.82

	Mizzou	Opp
Expected Offensive Rebounds	39	39
Offensive Rebounds	45	47
Eq. Rebound Margin	+6	+8

* At this point, there have been three "real" opponents: Xavier, USC and California.

And the player stats...

Player	EqPts/Gm	EqPts/Min	Line
DeMarre Carroll	20.48	0.69	21.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.3 APG
J.T. Tiller	14.77	0.66	10.3 PPG, 5.0 APG, 3.7 RPG, 3.0 SPG
Leo Lyons	12.38	0.52	15.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 3.0 APG
Zaire Taylor	7.51	0.26	4.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.7 APG
Marcus Denmon	6.41	0.36	6.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.7 SPG
Laurence Bowers	5.52	0.61	4.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG
Keith Ramsey	4.28	0.37	3.7 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 1.0 BPG
Justin Safford	3.13	0.25	3.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.3 APG
Kim English	2.49	0.20	7.3 PPG, 1.0 APG, lotsa fouls
Matt Lawrence	2.39	0.13	4.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG
Miguel Paul	1.79	0.12	4.0 PPG, 1.3 APG, 1.0 RPG
Michael Anderson Jr.	1.34	0.27
Jarrett Sutton	0.75	0.25
Steve Moore	0.60	0.12

Mizzou is holding its own on the glass...still not as good as I'd hope to see considering we're led by two big men (who are much better on the offensive glass than defensive...i.e. they don't block out well), but they're not getting dominated as we feared.
Shooting 31% from the 3-point line = still shooting too damn many 3's. Oh well I guess.
LOVE how Tiller just fills out the entire stat sheet...
Jarrett Sutton: now under 1 point per minute. Clearly he's slumping...

Poll

Today's MVP?

DeMarre Carroll

28 votes

Marcus Denmon

6 votes

J.T. Tiller

6 votes

Kimmie English

15 votes

55 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 10 comments | Share

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Just an incredible game from Mizzou

SleepyFloyd and I were talking on press row during the second half about just how fun it was to be at Mizzou Arena this afternoon. It’s an exciting brand of basketball by a team who clearly loves playing the game (how long has it been since we’ve said that?). That attitude’s contagious.

Beware Professor Chaos Daniel
http://www.RockMNation.com

by RPT on Dec 7, 2008 5:33 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

100% agreed

There were a few really fun games last year (Purdue, K-State), but this one trumped them all because we played incredibly throughout most of the game. I can only imagine how much better these games will get once we can get 10,000+ at Mizzou Arena for conference play. This team is flat out fun to watch.

Oh, and the intro video is still the greatest thing I have ever seen.
AAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHH!

Chicago White Sox Examiner — Your what hurts?

by UribeAuction on Dec 7, 2008 10:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

The intro video of excellence.

Someone really needs to film that video and put it on YouTube so everyone who hasn’t made it out to Mizzou Arena knows what we’re talking about.

http://www.RockMNation.com
Home of "Thrust Nunchuk Upward"

by RPT on Dec 7, 2008 10:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

keep an eye out

http://www.youtube.com/user/tigervidguy

by Transmogrified Tiger on Dec 7, 2008 10:46 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I've kept an eye on him

I’m just trained not to ever put full faith in the Missouri athletic department.

http://www.RockMNation.com
Home of "Thrust Nunchuk Upward"

by RPT on Dec 7, 2008 10:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

The intro video

It’s a copy of what the Celtics did last year, and (coming from someone who had to live with a massive C’s fan last year) it’s a bit lacking.

Off-topic: in a sign that the censors are winning, the Antlers cannot say the word “poop” anymore.

It's a funny name.

by Turd Ferguson on Dec 7, 2008 11:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Not sure why . . .

you think they took too many threes. 20 attempts in a game with that many possessions isn’t a lot (and one was Sutton’s last-minute heave), and most of them were good looks within the offense that just didn’t fall. The only ones I can recall cringing at a little were Matt’s. They try to get him going by running him off screens, and sometimes those shots look forced. Still, I thought he played some really good interior defense today.

by Michael Atchison on Dec 7, 2008 7:02 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

Matt played well...

…but I thought a few of the 3’s in the first half came too soon—with the way DeMarre/Leo were playing, I was hoping we’d have tried harder to get it in to them first…20’s not a huge number, and a lot of the 3’s came late, but I still thought a handful were unnecessary ones…

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Dec 7, 2008 7:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I agree

Many of the three’s came too late. Maybe I should just say “Ditto” with The Boy from now on???

"Wherever you go, there you are" - Buckaroo Bonzai

by brik on Dec 7, 2008 9:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

If by "we are shooting too many threes"

You mean “Matt Lawrence (0-4) is shooting too many threes” then I completely agree.

He was able to pass and play a little D today though, which is a huge step up. If only we could get him to move off ball, dribble… oh, and make his open 3 point attempts he would be a good player.

Until then, he is still too big of a liability.

by mizzouglen on Dec 7, 2008 10:47 PM CST reply actions 0 recs