Mizzou-Cal: Beside the Box Score

Because I'd much rather talk about this game than enter box scores from this weekend's football games (guess what the numbers say: Mizzou got drubbed last night.  Shocking, I know.), let's dive right into this one...

Mizzou Cal
Points Per Minute
2.33 1.65
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.29 1.03
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.21 0.86
2-PT FG% 55.8% 33.3%
3-PT FG% 30.0% 46.2%
FT% 85.0% 56.0%
Mizzou Cal
Assists 22 7
Steals 14 7
Turnovers 17 20
(Assists + Steals) / TO 2.12 0.70
Mizzou Cal
Expected Offensive Rebounds 14 17
Offensive Rebounds 20 19
Eq. Rebound Margin +6 +2
  • Most of the Mizzou turnovers came from two players (Leo Lyons and Miguel Paul had 11), but in the end you're allowed a few more turnovers when you're producing that many assists and that many steals.
  • Mizzou is still a bit deficient on the defensive glass, but they're making up for it with their aggression on the boards on offense.
  • Clearly Mizzou is still taking too many 3's, but...apparently that's part of the aggressive mindset?  I guess?  I'd hate to say "Taker fewer 3's" if it neuters them or something...
  • Safe to say, if Mizzou grabs more offensive rebounds than its opponents AND holds them to 33% on 2-pointers...yeah, they're going to win unless the opponent makes about 17 3-pointers...

Player stats after the jump...

Player EqPts* EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll
20.02 0.91 19 Pts on 12 shots, 6 Reb, 3 Ast
Leo Lyons 14.18 0.64 18 Pts, 8 Reb, 3 Ast, 6 TO, 2 Stl
Marcus Denmon 9.45 0.59 14 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 Stl, 1 Blk, 2 TO
J.T. Tiller 9.45 0.50 4 Pts, 5 Reb, 7 Ast, 2 TO
Zaire Taylor 8.48 0.34 5 Pts, 6 Reb, 2 Stl, 1 Ast
Kim English 6.26 0.45 16 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Ast, 2 TO, 5 PF
Matt Lawrence 5.56 0.37 4 Pts, 3 Reb, 2 Stl
Laurence Bowers 5.14 0.57 4 Pts, 3 Reb, 1 Blk, 1 sick oop dunk
Justin Safford 3.34 0.26 4 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, good defense
Keith Ramsey 3.34 0.22 0 Pts, 3 Blk, 1 Stl
Michael Anderson Jr. 1.25 0.25 0 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Stl
Jarrett Sutton 0.70 0.23 0 Pts, 1 Off Reb
Steve Moore 0.56 0.11 0 Pts, 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 sick oop pass
Miguel Paul -0.83 -0.05 5 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Ast, 5 TO

EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week.  Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.  I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.

  • I guess I'll hold off on giving JT the "Big Game" nickname...he was great in transition, and his 7 assists were great to see, but...I'll make him work for it a bit more first...preferably against Illinois.
  • I loved seeing Kim English find his range today (it's great seeing his confidence grow), but he does need to get a little better at the "little things" stats...his 3's were the dagger today, but his 2 TO's and 5 fouls leave a bit to be desired.  Still, though, he's going to continue to steal Matty Lawrence's minutes (even though Matt did well today despite not having his shot).
  • I like what I see from Steve Moore's hands.  I kind of want to see what he does against a real team's first string...though I kind of also don't want to see that just yet.
  • Marcus Denmon is careless with the ball occasionally, but man...he has great feel with his shot (around the basket, mid-range, and from deep), and he's good for one straight-up pocket-pick a game.
  • Jaureth Bamford (Justin Safford + Keith Ramsey + Laurence Bowers): 37 minutes, 8 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 blocks, 1 steal.  Well-rounded as always.
  • Knock on wood and all, but...I just can't believe how improved DeMarre Carroll has been so far.  He was a bull in a china shop last year, and then he got hurt...now he's healthy AND comfortable in the system, and the results have been extraordinary.
  • DeMarre's success is also taking pressure off of Leo...and making Leo's horrendous ball-handling today a lot easier to handle.
  • Miguel Paul had a tough game today.  All the freshmen will at some point, and at least Mr. Paul's came when the rest of the team was dominating.

Season to Date

Player EqPts/Gm EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 19.38 0.74 18.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 2.4 APG
Leo Lyons 15.11 0.66 17.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.55 PPS
Zaire Taylor 8.73 0.34 4.6 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.8 APG
J.T. Tiller 7.66 0.35 6.8 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.1 APG, 2.3 SPG
Marcus Denmon 7.39 0.44 7.3 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 1.9 APG
Matt Lawrence 6.63 0.35 8.6 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 0.9 APG
Miguel Paul 5.25 0.33 5.6 PPG, 2.5 APG, 1.1 RPG
Keith Ramsey 4.29 0.37 3.9 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.6 BPG
Kim English 4.16 0.33 7.4 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.1 APG
Justin Safford 3.46 0.28 3.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.5 APG
Laurence Bowers 3.50 0.40 2.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.7 BPG
Jarrett Sutton 2.00 0.60 3.0 PPG, lots of walk-on cheer
Steve Moore 0.91 0.18 1.2 PPG, 1.6 RPG, Truman Patriot
Michael Anderson Jr. 0.68 0.14 1.2 PPG, 0.8 RPG, 1 coach's son
  • Due to Paul's setback, Zaire Taylor regained the lead in per-minute stats at the point guard position.
  • J.T. Tiller leads in the "intangibles" category, but that obviously doesn't translate here.  He still comes up big against the real teams, though...
  • Jaureth Bamford: 30.5 MPG, 9.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1.4 BPG, 1.3 SPG.
  • And speaking of which...

Versus Real Teams Only*

Mizzou Opp
Points Per Minute
2.06 1.78
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.15 1.00
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.31 1.33
2-PT FG% 53.7% 42.4%
3-PT FG% 31.0% 42.9%
FT% 62.9% 62.8%
Mizzou Opp
Assists 63 34
Steals 39 16
Turnovers 36 61
(Assists + Steals) / TO 2.75 0.82
Mizzou Opp
Expected Offensive Rebounds 39 39
Offensive Rebounds 45 47
Eq. Rebound Margin +6 +8

* At this point, there have been three "real" opponents: Xavier, USC and California.

And the player stats...

Player EqPts/Gm EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 20.48 0.69 21.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.3 APG
J.T. Tiller 14.77 0.66 10.3 PPG, 5.0 APG, 3.7 RPG, 3.0 SPG
Leo Lyons 12.38 0.52 15.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 3.0 APG
Zaire Taylor 7.51 0.26 4.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.7 APG
Marcus Denmon 6.41 0.36 6.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.7 SPG
Laurence Bowers 5.52 0.61 4.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG
Keith Ramsey 4.28 0.37 3.7 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 1.0 BPG
Justin Safford 3.13 0.25 3.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.3 APG
Kim English 2.49 0.20 7.3 PPG, 1.0 APG, lotsa fouls
Matt Lawrence 2.39 0.13 4.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG
Miguel Paul 1.79 0.12 4.0 PPG, 1.3 APG, 1.0 RPG
Michael Anderson Jr. 1.34 0.27
Jarrett Sutton 0.75 0.25
Steve Moore 0.60 0.12
  • Mizzou is holding its own on the glass...still not as good as I'd hope to see considering we're led by two big men (who are much better on the offensive glass than defensive...i.e. they don't block out well), but they're not getting dominated as we feared.
  • Shooting 31% from the 3-point line = still shooting too damn many 3's.  Oh well I guess.
  • LOVE how Tiller just fills out the entire stat sheet...
  • Jarrett Sutton: now under 1 point per minute.  Clearly he's slumping...
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