Mizzou-Coppin State: Statistical De-Fanging

by Bill C. on Jan 7, 2009 8:00 AM CST in Mizzou Basketball 08-09

Yeah, we're not going to spend a ton of time on this one...I've never been much a fan of torture porn...

	Mizzou	Coppin St
Points Per Minute	2.20	1.38
Points Per Possession (PPP)	1.16	0.72
Points Per Shot (PPS)	1.33	1.08
2-PT FG%	59.5%	39.4%
3-PT FG%	44.8%	22.2%
FT%	50.0%	68.0%

	Mizzou	Eagles
Assists	25	7
Steals	16	8
Turnovers	18	25
(Assists + Steals) / TO	2.28	0.60

	Mizzou	Fangola
Expected Offensive Rebounds	12	13
Offensive Rebounds	12	12
Eq. Rebound Margin	0	-1

Not sure what to say about this one, as the only truly necessary stat is the fact that over a 19-minute span (17:00 of the first half to 18:00 of the second half), Mizzou outscored ~~Angola~~ Coppin State by a score of 51-16, and then tried as hard as possible not to extend the lead anymore.

And because I can't help it, here are the first-half stats:

	Mizzou	Coppin St
Points Per Minute	2.55	0.85
Points Per Possession (PPP)	1.37	0.46
Points Per Shot (PPS)	1.42	0.81
2-PT FG%	63.2%	38.5%
3-PT FG%	47.1%	25.0%
FT%	100.0%	50.0%

	Mizzou	Eagles
Assists	16	4
Steals	9	3
Turnovers	8	17
(Assists + Steals) / TO	3.13	0.41

	Mizzou	Fangola
Expected Offensive Rebounds	5	5
Offensive Rebounds	8	2
Eq. Rebound Margin	+3	-3

Oy...yeah, those looked as bad as I thought they would. Didn't know it was possible to have an (A+S)/TO ratio over 3.0. Now I know.

Stats by StatSheet.com

Player	EqPts*	EqPts/Min	Line
DeMarre Carroll	23.12	1.28	16 Pts, 7 Reb, 5 Stl, 3 Ast
Matt Lawrence	15.68	0.83	18 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 Ast
J.T. Tiller	10.00	0.53	9 Pts, 4 Ast, 2 Stl
Keith Ramsey	8.38	0.60	6 Pts, 5 Reb, 2 Blk
Marcus Denmon	6.62	0.55	4 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Stl
Miguel Paul	5.41	0.28	11 Pts
Laurence Bowers	5.00	0.36	4 Pts, 3 Reb, 1 #1 Highlight on SportsCenter
Steve Moore	4.19	0.38	2 Pts, 2 Reb, 3 Stl
Zaire Taylor	3.51	0.18	4 Pts, 3 Ast, 3 TO
Leo Lyons	2.70	0.19	4 Pts, 3 Ast, 2 Reb
Kim English	2.16	0.14	9 Pts, 2 Reb, 3 TO
Justin Safford	2.03	0.17	1 Pt, 2 Reb, 2 Ast
Jarrett Sutton	-1.08	-0.54	0 Pts
Michael Anderson Jr.	-1.89	-0.16	0 Pts, 3 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO

EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week. Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket. I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.

While I would certainly love to see DeMarre Carroll go up stronger and come up big against teams with good big men, it really is impressive what he can do against a team like this. In just 18 minutes, he managed to fill in every line of the box score except (somehow) for personal fouls.
One concern heading into conference play: Bad Leo is taking residence. In the last four (mostly non-competitive) games, Leo Lyons is averaging just 6.9 EqPts--9.3 PPG and 4.8 RPG. It could certainly be worse, but he hasn't done much since, really, being the only guy on the court to do anything against Illinois. I won't actually get worried about this until Bad Leo takes the court this weekend in Lincoln, but it's a red flag.
There's unfortunately not an EqPt value for sick dunks, otherwise Laurence Bowers would have likely been the team EqPt leader. That was ridiculous...and somehow it doesn't appear to be online yet. Somebody put that thing on YouTube! Guess you can always just watch it on ESPN360...
And how about Matt "Grey Goose" Lawrence responding to my "Start Kim English" clamor by putting together a couple super-nice games, huh?

Alright, that's enough rubber-necking...here's to getting a good start to conference season on Saturday...

Poll

Tuesday night's MVP?

DeMarre Carroll (16 Pts, 7 Reb, 5 Stl, 3 Ast)

4 votes

Matt "Grey Goose" Lawrence (18 Pts)

18 votes

J.T. Tiller (9 Pts, 4 Ast, 2 Stl)

0 votes

Laurence Bowers (Dunk of the Year)

26 votes

48 votes | Poll has closed

Tweet Comment 7 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

In the first half...

the (A+S)/TO ratio should have been even higher…as 8 TO’s for us was WAY over our average I believe…

"Write a wise saying and your name will live forever." - Anonymous
Rock M Nation

by The Beef on Jan 7, 2009 8:21 AM CST reply actions

'tis true...

I actually had to look at the box score again to make sure that was correct. But 16 assists in a half is freaking ridiculous…even though Matt Lawrence didn’t deserve an assist for throwing that alley-oop behind Bowers… :-)

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Jan 7, 2009 8:22 AM CST up reply actions