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Anatomy of "No Gain" -- Missouri's running game against Nebraska

People asking what's wrong with the Missouri running game right now are a dime a dozen. People with answers to that question are far more rare. The analysis that follows is in no way a complete diagnosis of what ails the Missouri rushing attack. Instead, it takes a look at one isolated play in which what looks like a potential big gain is quickly rendered into no gain.

1a_medium

Missouri comes out in a 3x1 Trips Left formation with the back (Derrick Washington) to the weakside. The play call appears to be a counter play to Washington, who approaches as if it is a sweep to the left before quickly planting and moving right. Highlighted here is Ndamukong Suh, who appears to be in a two-technique over the right guard (Kurtis Gregory).

Before we go any further, let's address the playcall (or more importantly for Missouri fans, the play direction). Not since Lewis and Clark came through in the early 1800s have people in Missouri been so worked up about North/South vs. East/West. While the shotgun counter (explained in depth in the middle of the page at this link) is nowhere near the North/South equivalent of say, a halfback lead from an I-formation jumbo set, it is far more North/South than most people are giving it credit for. Just because Washington begins the play moving laterally doesn't mean the play isn't designed to go vertically. The point here is for the pull block and Washington's misdirection to create a lane on the playside. Yes, when executed correctly, it is very much a North/South run.

Star-divide

1b_medium

There's a little bit of trouble from the start, as the snap is low to Blaine Gabbert, who has to bend down to snag it, putting a small hitch in the timing. The other immediate observation to be made is what happens at the defensive tackle spot opposite Suh. Highlighted here is DT Jared Crick, who will shoot the gap thanks to the pulling action of left guard Austin Wuebbels. Here, you can already see Wuebbels preparing to pull into the B-gap on the right side. That leaves left tackle Elvis Fisher alone to chip Crick and then return to his assignment on the defensive end. Center Tim Barnes has to scramble back to push Crick out of the play from behind.

1c_medium

Here we see Crick way upfield with Barnes trailing behind. With this being a counter play, Crick's presence isn't incredibly disruptive, as the run is designed to suck defenders to Missouri's left and then hope the overpursuit opens up the right side. The dearth of defenders in the box and Missouri's numbers advantage make it appear like Washington will have lanes both inside and outside once he reaches the line of scrimmage.

1d_medium

It looks like Gregory has tied up Suh, right tackle Dan Hoch has tied up Pierre Allen, and Wuebbels is out in front to lead for Washington. The second level looks relatively barren, and things are looking promising. Right?

1e_medium

Wrong. Suh fights off an overpowered Gregory, who gets caught leaning a little bit. Just like that, a promising opening for Washington results in minimal gain.

1f_medium

Here we see it from SkyCam. Crick is shaded in a three-technique over Wuebbels, who will be pulling right. The responsibility then gets put on Fisher to chip Crick, buying Barnes time to pick him up. This is all fine and dandy, except for the fact that it leaves Gregory one-on-one with the best defensive tackle in the country.

1g_medium

Wuebbels begins the pull, Fisher gets his chip and Gregory appears to have turned Suh in the proper direction. If your linemen have their butts facing the hole, odds are that they're doing their job. Here we see the linebacker (presumably Will Compton??), stepping up to fill in the gap.

1h_medium

Wuebbels engages the backer effectively, and the hole appears to open for Washington. Looking downfield, it looks like that if Washington can get past the line of scrimmage, he should ideally only have to deal with the safety in the top right corner of the frame en route to a substantial gain. The only problem? Highlighted on the left side is the Suh/Gregory battle, where Suh reads the play and begins to get a beat on Gregory with that right-arm swim move.

1i_medium

Suh latches onto Washington as Gregory dives to try to get a hand on Suh, but it's too little, too late. Washington doesn't even get the chance to make safety Larry Asante miss at the second level, and Missouri is again stuck in second and long with a hobbled quarterback in the midst of a monsoon.

The Takeaway: Screw the "Power of Red," you can rename this play the "Power of Suh." In the play's early development, Nebraska's pass-heavy defensive look and the movement of Missouri's offensive line makes it look like an easy gain. But on this single play, one lost battle in a one-on-one matchup was the difference between 5+ yards and zero yards. These were the kinds of battles that Missouri won consistently in 2007 in run-powered wins over Texas Tech and Arkansas. The players are saying that the failure of the running game is all about "the little things," and on this play, they're absolutely correct.

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The problem here....

…is that when you do analysis like this, we will demand it more and more often. :-)

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 9:27 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

yup

your right about that! :P

Fight Tigers Fight!

by digideth on Oct 15, 2009 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So what you're saying is...

… I have incentive to not do anything as a way to keep expectations low around here.

I should also add that this analysis yesterday was the result of procrastination of studying for midterms. BOO MIDTERMS. HOORAY ANALYSIS!

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

WOW

As a fellow blogger and journalist let me just say that the work you did here took my breath away in the most heterosexual way possible. MAJOR kudos to you, sir.

by The True Son on Oct 15, 2009 9:51 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah this...this is excellent

But the real question is this: How does Ndamukong Suh apply to Woodrow Wilson’s pre-and-post-WWI worldview?

Chicago White Sox Examiner — I wish I could cuss right now.

by UribeAuction on Oct 15, 2009 10:00 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Refusal to compromise.

The only difference being that Suh would have been able to intimidate Congress into accepting Article X of the Covenant of the League of Nations.

Boom. History’d.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 10:02 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

well played with historical comedy, and...

absolutely amazing analysis!

That was sweet.

Sponsor of the Will Ebner Physical Therapy Center for Will Ebners' Torn Lateral Meniscus Get Better Quick Fund. Or the SWEPTCWETLMGBQF for short.

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Oct 15, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I said that wilson's first name was

Eugene. Its actually thomas. Also, I like how all your work here can be summed up in one word. Suh. And if Congress had accepted Article x, where would we be now?

by mcboomofdoom on Oct 15, 2009 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

One step closer to an international state that just might prevent the human race from blowing itself to smithereens

by Tohoya on Oct 15, 2009 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

AL GORE WOULD BE PRESIDENT!!!!!11!!!!!1!!!!1!1!!!

well not now, but 5 years ago AL GORE WOULD"VE BEEN PRESIDENT1

"The field mouse is fast but the owl sees at night"

by pinkelposse on Oct 15, 2009 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Spot on, RPT

Excellent work.

With all of the bitching about what goes north/south vs. east/west, I think people get fooled by the initial motion instead of seeing how the play fully develops.

"Huey: [narrating] I did battle with ignorance today, and ignorance won. I admit that I'm often... vexed at the behavior of my people. Yeah... 'vexed' is a good word." ~ The Boondocks

by D-Sing on Oct 15, 2009 11:41 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Right

those long runs that K. Law was rocking against Bowling Green started with a huge lateral movement that he then cut upfield. Like a jet sweep that abruptly changed course.

by jschooltiger on Oct 15, 2009 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is a great breakdown

On how one person can make a defense great. We need to return to this next year, when Suh is making millions.

RPT, this is great stuff. Someone’s going to start paying you money to do this soon…

Formerly known as Mizzou Grad

by Ausgiano on Oct 15, 2009 11:42 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Paying ME to do this?

I remain incredibly paranoid that someone is gonna come along and lure Bill C. away with an exorbitant sum so he can spend his days in a nerdery with nothing but an abacus and Microsoft Excel.

And, RMN, I love you guys, but I’m not waking up at 4:45 to compile the Mizzou Links.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 12:28 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions   2 recs

Your fears my have merit

He was, after all, featured in a major publication before the Nebraska game.
I believe he’s guest-hosting Conan next week…

"Wherever you go, there you are" - Buckaroo Bonzai

by brik on Oct 15, 2009 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

a "nerdery"

that is my new absolute favorite word

by jschooltiger on Oct 15, 2009 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I stole it from David Spade's character in Tommy Boy

“My fellow nerds and I will retire to the nerdery with our calculators. "

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

4:55.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

East-west vs. North-South

First of all, Pinkel, as he said, has never been a north-south, 32-iso kind of coach. Most of his runs from Abron to Bad Brad to Temple to D-Wash have been of the stretch/zone blocking or counter/misdirection variety. He’s never been a run-it-into-the-middle-of-the-line, dive-play kind of guy. That’s fine. That’s his philosophy and I guarantee there are some great reasons behind it (more convincing play-action pass, easier to fit guys into the system when you can’t recruit 10 five-star linemen, etc.).

But I think where some Tiger fans have a problem (myself included) is that sometimes you’d like to throw in a change-up here or there and run something that is quick-hitting up the middle just to keep the defense honest.

Besides, your analysis of the play was great, and it sort of proves my point. Suh defeats the block of Gregory because Gregory is forced to try to hold the guy out for a couple seconds. That’s a hell of a long time against a top-five NFL draft pick. Running a couple of quick hitters right up the middle of the line — whether successful or not — might have been the change-up to keep Suh or Crick or whomever off balance enough to get the proper blocking angles.

And I say this with the knowledge and understanding that nothing will change. Just my observation.

Was once caught putting at night ... with the 15-year old daughter of the dean

by mitch cumstein on Oct 15, 2009 12:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

This play indeed took longer than most...

…because it was a counter. But in general, with the more straight-forward read play where Washington doesn’t change directions in the backfield, I don’t think things are as slow-developing as most say. My general impression is that the back hits the first hole he’s given, meaning if the play ends up strung out really wide, it’s because the back didn’t have any alleys, not that it was necessarily the design.

You do bring up a point, though, that’s been made elsewhere too: we didn’t double Suh a whole lot (and at least one time when we did, we held him), and instead of questioning the entire running philosophy of Pinkel (not saying that’s what you’re doing—just what a ton of others are doing), that’s the strategic point that deserves the most questioning. We dared him to be great by only singling him more often than not, and he was great.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's also a matter of whether or not the line is zone blocking
My general impression is that the back hits the first hole he’s given, meaning if the play ends up strung out really wide, it’s because the back didn’t have any alleys, not that it was necessarily the design

Missouri tends to have two kinds of blocking:

1) Pull blocking, like the one here. Missouri doesn’t have the horses to line up and charge straight ahead, so this way the line can trap defenders upfield and create O-Line momentum on the pulls in the way teams used to do with Student Body Right/Left. Here, the back’s job is hit the designed hole, presuming it’s open.

2) Zone blocking, in which everyone blocks down to the playside and leaves the backside open. The back is then responsible for selecting his own hole. The inside zone should feature a hole in the interior of the line. The outside zone should have the back beat and outflank the defenders to the outside. And if the defense overpursues (which is very likely against a zone blocking scheme), the cutback lanes are open since the line hasn’t really tried to turn the O-Line in a particular direction — they’re just trying to run them out of play.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:13 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I could be wrong...

…but I’m thinking most of people’s “east-west” complaints are coming from the plays that are zone-blocked…then again, I usually stop reading the complaint posts after about three sentences, so I might be missing something there.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, you're right there.

Where they lament the play being “strung out” though the play is designed for a back to patiently wait on a hole.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

those are the plays...

…where I really do think Washington needs to be more decisive and aggressive. The blocking has had problems, but it does almost feel like he’s waiting too long to find the perfect hole or something.

/says the guy who’s watching the game from the side of the field and has no vantage point of the potential holes

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which brings up an aside:

Can we have SkyCam for EVERY game? Please?

If nothing else, can I have access to game film? Because that’d be awesome.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Oh hell yes.

Tell the higher-ups to start hounding Chad M. about that one!

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

More than once yesterday I yelled, “HIT THE GODAMN HOLES”

Then I’d see some back being agressive, and I’d be all, “great job D-Wash!” Only to realize it was Lawrence or Moore making the play.

Nearly impossible to tell from our vantage point, so I’m not going to let my alcohol-infused rage advocate for removing Washington, but he doesn’t seem to be aggressive enough this year.

by Tohoya on Oct 15, 2009 1:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Couple of things that have been brought up

Questions that have been raised that I don’t have answers to:

— Did D-Wash not hit the hole fast enough? Which is really just a facade for the real question: Would De’Vion or Kendial have hit that hole and should they be getting those carries?

— Should Missouri look at the 2-point vs. 3-point stance? Either way, you’re going to be making a pretty huge sacrifice and concession in one facet of your attack.

— Should that week’s gameplan have made giving Suh extra attention a priority?

— Should Fisher have cut Crick and let the backside run free? A PM poster made a great point Missouri backs were constantly getting caught from the backside (even on big runs in big drives) by Nevada.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:09 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

In theory, it should.

That’s also reliant on making sure that Wuebbels is quick enough to hit the hole before Washington.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

De'Vion's problem the other night...

…was almost that he was going too fast. He burst through the line running too fast to adapt when a tackler was on him, and he’d run straight into a linebacker at full speed. He’s not really big enough to win a battle like that. D-Wash is pretty much the exact opposite—he may be hitting the holes too slowly, but his footwork is great, and he almost always positions his body to fall forward.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It seems like a no-win situation to the fans

They aren’t happy with the physical runner whose success is largely predicated on smart runs where he deliberately sets up his blockers.

They aren’t happy with the faster back whose unable to break big runs because he’s bypassed his blockers.

by RPT on Oct 15, 2009 1:23 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

and rec'd because when you're a coach it's a lose/lose, unless you win

Sponsor of the Will Ebner Physical Therapy Center for Will Ebners' Torn Lateral Meniscus Get Better Quick Fund. Or the SWEPTCWETLMGBQF for short.

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Oct 15, 2009 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

and if you win...

…it’s because of the players, not you.

Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!

by Bill C. on Oct 15, 2009 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh yeah, totally

Sponsor of the Will Ebner Physical Therapy Center for Will Ebners' Torn Lateral Meniscus Get Better Quick Fund. Or the SWEPTCWETLMGBQF for short.

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Oct 15, 2009 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is one of the things I really really like about D-Wash

Though people say he runs too upright, I would like to argue that allows for his center of gravity to be directly underneath him allowing a two fold potential benifit.

a) Easier to get up to full speed once it is needed, because there is less fraction of body weight required to “pull” (can delay longer to find the perfect hole)

b) Can adjust to initial contact quicker, and put a bit more force into it which should result in falling forward

I love the way he runs man, in a completely heterosexual way of course.

Sponsor of the Will Ebner Physical Therapy Center for Will Ebners' Torn Lateral Meniscus Get Better Quick Fund. Or the SWEPTCWETLMGBQF for short.

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Oct 15, 2009 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

D-Wash is pretty much the exact opposite—he may be hitting the holes too slowly, but his footwork is great, and he almost always positions his body to fall forward.

A very undervalued quality in backs. I can live with a little less explosion if we can count on him to generally get us what’s there. I’d say he has done that.

"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin

by dcrockett17 on Oct 15, 2009 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent job RPT

I know the Seahawks fans—my favorite NFL team—over at Field Gulls will be interested in this, mostly in because of Suh, but will appreciate the analysis. I put up a fanshot at Field Gulls linking back to this site.
-
I think that although Washington has lost some explosiveness from last season, the thing that is compelling is that none of the other backs did anything either. We got worked this year the way they did last year. Football just seems to be such a game of overreaction from the fans.

This offensive line group just hasn’t gelled, and I suppose it may never. But the odds are that it will get better. Were it even just a little bit better a week ago we likely put the game out of reach.

"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin

by dcrockett17 on Oct 15, 2009 3:09 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

What's a counter?

What do tigers dream of when they take a little tiger snooze? Do they dream of mauling zebras, or Halle Berry in her Catwoman suit?

by ghtd36 on Oct 15, 2009 3:30 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

What's a battle?

What do tigers dream of when they take a little tiger snooze? Do they dream of mauling zebras, or Halle Berry in her Catwoman suit?

by ghtd36 on Oct 15, 2009 4:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

beautiful work RPT

you could absolutely see that monster hole but my man Gregory just got Suh-ed (see what did there) on that play.

"The field mouse is fast but the owl sees at night"

by pinkelposse on Oct 15, 2009 3:46 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Washington doesn’t even get the chance to make safety Larry Asante miss at the second level

Instant touchdown.

Brilliant write-up, RPT. stands, applauds, weeps like a child

by s dub on Oct 15, 2009 7:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Didn’t mean to bold that, oh well.

by s dub on Oct 15, 2009 7:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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