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Know Your Rival: Truman State


That's right, it's that time of year again.  Time to get your basketball nerd on!!!!!  We will use exhibition season to dust off the basketball stats and re-visit the greatness that is StatSheet.com (not that Stat Sheet has any info on Truman State, of course).

Last Year
Truman State: 6-21

TSU Opp
Points Per Minute
1.54 1.74
Points Per Possession (PPP)
0.94 1.06
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.17 1.26
2-PT FG% 45.6% 47.7%
3-PT FG% 32.2% 38.0%
FT% 67.5% 70.0%
True Shooting % 50.4% 54.4%
TSU Opp
Assists/Gm 11.6 11.6
Steals/Gm 6.4 7.4
Turnovers/Gm 14.9 11.5
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.21 1.65
TSU Opp
Expected Offensive Rebounds 321 318
Offensive Rebounds 264 256
Difference -57 -62


As a refresher...
Mizzou: 31-7

MU Opp
Points Per Minute
2.04 1.69
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.14 0.95
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.30 1.20
2-PT FG% 52.7% 46.8%
3-PT FG% 35.3% 30.3%
FT% 67.2% 67.4%
True Shooting % 56.1% 50.9%
MU Opp
Assists/Gm 18.4 11.9
Steals/Gm 10.2 6.2
Turnovers/Gm 11.8 18.3
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.42 0.99
MU Opp
Expected Offensive Rebounds 491 490
Offensive Rebounds 486 484
Difference -5 -6

Star-divide

Player AdjGS/Gm* GmSc/Min 2008-09 Line
Ethan Freeman (6'6, 225, Jr.) 10.8 0.39 27.8 MPG, 9.7 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.0 APG, 2.3 TOPG
Alex Henderson (6'0, 180, Jr.) 8.3 0.31 26.6 MPG, 8.1 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 1.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.4 TOPG
Vesko Filchev (6'10, 280, So.) 5.4 0.43 12.6 MPG, 5.6 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 1.2 TOPG
Brian Nwelue (6'4, 195, Jr.) 3.9 0.24 16.4 MPG, 5.1 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 1.2 TOPG
Stefan Garrison (6'4, 195, Jr.) 0.6 0.04 14.6 MPG, 3.3 PPG
Mart Misiewicz (6'7, 215, Jr.) 2.0 0.31 6.5 MPG, 2.1 PPG
Matt Taylor (6'1, 185, Sr.) 1.1 0.12 9.5 MPG, 1.4 PPG
Andrew James (6'8, 235, Jr.) -1.1 -0.16 7.0 MPG, 0.8 PPG, 1.2 RPG
David Scott (7'0, 275, Jr.) -0.0 -0.01 4.2 MPG, 0.6 PPG
Matt Patterson (5'11, 165, Fr.)
Tom Norton (5'9, 170, Fr.)
Jesse Schrader (6'4, 190, Fr.)

* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds.  It does the same thing my previous measure of choice did (it takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game), only the formula is more used and accepted.  The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

  • Truman's (relative) strengths: Um...experience?  Size?  They've got plenty of both.  Seven of their 12 players are juniors, and one is a senior.  They seem to have plenty of backcourt options, and needless to say, few D2 teams have two guys at least 6'10 and 275 pounds.  That said...um...shouldn't two guys that big have done just a wee bit more than combine for 16 minutes and six points per game for a bad D2 team?  Methinks they're stiffs.
  • Truman's weaknesses: You mean, other than going 6-21 against D2 teams last year?  Probably don't need to go into this one too much.  They return three starters and plenty of upperclassmen from a bad team, but unless they have someone who can bring the ball up the court without turning it over, then make about 16 of 20 3-pointers, they don't have a chance.

Keys to the Game

  1. Show Up.  Sorry, but it's true.  You always want to respect your opponent, especially in light of what happened to Syracuse against LeMoyne, but...no.  While we don't know yet whether Mike Anderson's style can take us to a Final Four (we know it almost can) or win a national title, but we know that when Mizzou has the athleticism advantage that they will have tonight, there is almost no chance of a slip-up.

  2. Rebound.  This will be an interesting stat to watch.  We have very good reason to assume rebounding will once again be Missouri's biggest weakness, and compared to everything else, Truman State was at least a decent rebounding team, not necessarily on the offensive glass, but at least on the defensive glass.  If TSU is able to win the rebounding battle today, even in a huge Missouri win, it could be at least a little bit of a red flag.

  3. Marcus Denmon.  Why?  No particular reason.  I just have it in my head that he could be a huge scoring threat this year and, in the best-case scenario, eventually turn into something resembling Kim English on offense and J.T. Tiller on defense.  Or, perhaps more accurately, Clarence Gilbert with more of a conscience.  He's already proven that he's a tough S.O.B. like Clarence was.  Let's see what he's got.

Prediction

Pain.

Poll
Which Mizzou player will you be watching most closely tonight?
Party Starter Bowers
32 votes
Marcus Denmon
7 votes
Mike Dixon
44 votes
Kim English
42 votes
Steve Moore
11 votes
Justin Safford
20 votes
Miguel Paul
1 votes
Keith Ramsey
2 votes
Zaire Taylor
3 votes
J.T. Tiller
6 votes
Jarrett Sutton
3 votes
Tyler Stone
1 votes
John Underwood
3 votes

175 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 16 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Actually, Marcus is a good choice

Steve W. brought this up too. We (as a fanbase) have a pretty good idea that Taylor, Tiller, and English (Solicitors) are going to contribute, but the backcourt bench play is a question mark. One hopes that Denmon’s healthy, and at least back up to 85% in Andersen level endurance. But his role is certainly elevated this year from a spot shooter to Kim and TJ’s primary backup. And with Goose making Norway his bitch, Marcus is going to need to be the dagger that comes off the bench and racks up 5-8 quick points. Understanding that Paul and Dixon are going to be there too, but those guys are foul machines. Marcus is going to have to be the guy that eats up 20-25 minutes a contest throughout the year, and therefore I believe he needs to come out and play 30 minutes or so of destructive shooting tonight.

San Dimas High School Football Rules!

Formerly known as Mizzou Grad

by Ausgiano on Nov 6, 2009 10:36 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

--HATE FOR TRUMAN STATE RISING--

They rename their school to try to steal our mascot. Those bastards. Shame.

by Big Head on Nov 6, 2009 10:40 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I am just glad the filter at work is still down :-)

"Write a wise saying and your name will live forever." - Anonymous
Rock M Nation

by The Beef on Nov 6, 2009 11:25 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Wow you are living it up!!

"You get a lot of national exposure like that" Weatherspoon said. "Lot of people out there not really talking about the Tigers. . . . .You've got to go out there and get respect if you want it."

by tigers and chiefs fan on Nov 6, 2009 12:51 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bowers.

Not only do I want to see if he’ll take a few 12-foot jumpers, but the chances of him throwing down a mindsphere-blowing dunk are quite high today.

Chicago White Sox Examiner — I wish I could cuss right now.

by UribeAuction on Nov 6, 2009 11:44 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

By the way...is anyone else knowing just a big, red X?

"Write a wise saying and your name will live forever." - Anonymous
Rock M Nation

by The Beef on Nov 6, 2009 12:43 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I checked to see if anyone didn't have any votes

and then promptly voted for Tyler Stone.

Yes – everyone on my team gets a medal.

Go Tigers!

"You get a lot of national exposure like that" Weatherspoon said. "Lot of people out there not really talking about the Tigers. . . . .You've got to go out there and get respect if you want it."

by tigers and chiefs fan on Nov 6, 2009 12:53 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

so what are you going to do for Miguel Paul?

"Write a wise saying and your name will live forever." - Anonymous
Rock M Nation

by The Beef on Nov 6, 2009 1:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Get my secretary to vote for

him from her computer.

BAM!

Done!!

We are all winners!!

"You get a lot of national exposure like that" Weatherspoon said. "Lot of people out there not really talking about the Tigers. . . . .You've got to go out there and get respect if you want it."

by tigers and chiefs fan on Nov 6, 2009 1:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

After 74 votes

I’m the only person who wants to drink victory coffee.

by leghumpingjihadkiller on Nov 6, 2009 1:04 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I went with Moore...not many others did

"Write a wise saying and your name will live forever." - Anonymous
Rock M Nation

by The Beef on Nov 6, 2009 1:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Me too--

Seems like there’s an important place for him if he’s ready to step in.

Once my pants are on, I make gold records.

by Other Side of the Pillow on Nov 6, 2009 3:21 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Steve Moore or Miguel Paul

Either one of those guys could have a breakout season, I believe it!

If you watch Rambo backwards, it's Sylvester Stallone healing people with his magic bullet vacuum.

by ratherfantastic on Nov 6, 2009 3:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Mike Dixon.

because I’ve seen him play in high school and I’d like to see how/if he has progressed. Seems like I’m not alone, he’s got 28 votes. Also, love the prediction.

"The field mouse is fast but the owl sees at night"- Ricky Bobby's belligerent Granddaddy

by pinkelposse on Nov 6, 2009 4:30 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Alma Mater Game

oh yeah! me and pam from “the office” are stoked for this game. should be a good showing if that old truman state bulldog prowess is what i remember it is…

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Nov 6, 2009 6:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

don't hate on truman too much

please? i go there. i root for mizzou every other day of the year.

jd is legend for Cardinals' closer 2010!!

by stlcardinalsfang on Nov 7, 2009 12:30 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

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