Mizzou 70, NU 47: Statistical Revenge!
So continuing the boxing analogy from last time, let's go to the cards once again!
Round 1: 10-10. Another opening round full of missed punches and dancing around.
Round 2: 10-9 Mizzou. Mizzou establishes a rhythm and lands the first good shots of the night.
Round 3: 10-9 Mizzou.
Round 4: 10-9 Nebraska. NU strikes back.
Round 5: 10-9 Mizzou. Not a killer lead for Mizzou, but comfortable. And unlike the game in Lincoln, Mizzou is very well-positioned at the halfway point.
Round 6: 10-9 Mizzou. Near knockdown for Mizzou, but Sadler's soldiers fight back.
Round 7: 10-8 Mizzou. Knockdown. NU on the ropes.
Round 8: 10-9 Mizzou. NU all but punched out.
Round 9: Mizzou with the knockout.
| Mizzou | Huskers |
|
| Points Per Minute |
1.75 | 1.18 |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) |
1.05 | 0.71 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) |
1.19 | 0.96 |
| 2-PT FG% | 47.1% | 27.6% |
| 3-PT FG% | 36.0% | 30.0% |
| FT% | 64.7% | 65.0% |
| True Shooting % | 52.6% | 40.7% |
| Mizzou | Huskers |
|
| Assists | 18 | 8 |
| Steals | 11 | 9 |
| Turnovers | 13 | 20 |
| Ball Control Index (Assists + Steals) / TO |
2.23 | 0.85 |
| Mizzou | Huskers |
|
| Expected Offensive Rebounds | 13 | 13 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 12 | 11 |
| Difference | -1 | -2 |
- Mizzou shot relatively close to its conference average, and Nebraska very much did not. Only one Husker (Brandon Richardson, 3-for-5) shot over 50% for the game, and Cookie Miller and Ade Dagunduro combined for 1-for-10. That's a pretty good recipe for massacring Nebraska.
- As Kelly and Link were saying on the radio, Nebraska is well-coached and plays very hard, but with their size and relative talent level, they don't have a ton of margin for error. Needless to say, getting outrebounded while shooting 27.6% from 2-point range, is not going to cut it for them.
- BCI! BCI! BCI!
Player Stats
| Player | AdjGS* | GmSc/Min | Line |
| Leo Lyons | 11.88 | 0.52 | 9 Pts (on 2 FGA), 10 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO |
| J.T. Tiller | 11.41 | 0.71 | 11 Pts, 2 Reb, 4 Ast |
| DeMarre Carroll | 11.06 | 0.43 | 13 Pts, 3 Reb |
| Matt Lawrence | 10.94 | 0.50 | 13 Pts |
| Keith Ramsey | 9.76 | 0.61 | 5 Pts, 4 Reb, 3 Blk |
| Marcus Denmon | 8.59 | 0.33 | 10 Pts, 3 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 Stl, 4 TO |
| Zaire Taylor | 4.94 | 0.25 | 2 Pts, 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 2 Stl |
| Laurence Bowers | 4.24 | 0.61 | 2 Pts, 2 Ast |
| Miguel Paul | 1.65 | 0.12 | 5 Pts |
| Michael Anderson Jr. | 0.35 | 0.07 | 0 Pts, 1 Reb |
| Steve Moore | -0.47 | -0.16 | 0 Pts |
| Justin Safford | -0.94 | -0.19 | 0 Pts, 2 Reb |
| Kim English | -3.41 | -0.20 | 0 Pts (0-for-5 FG), 2 Reb |
* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It does the same thing my previous measure of choice did (it takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game), only the formula is more used and accepted. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.
- The most impressive thing about this win: that Mizzou beat a decent team by 20+ (and it could have been 30+ if we hadn't brought in the scrubs) despite the fact that not a single Tiger played above his head. Five guys between 9 and 13 points, six guys between 8 and 12 game score points...just a fantastic team effort.
- Kim English: terrible shooting, almost nothing in the box score...and one ginormous, crowd-pleasing block.
- The statistical oddity that is Leo Lyons continued. A game after putting up a stat line that made you think he was Clarence Gilbert, Lyons scored 9 points...on two shots. That's 1-for-2 from the field, 7-for-8 from the line. Oh yeah, and he's now shooting 81.7% from the line in conference play. Eh???
- Marcus Denmon and Miguel Paul had very "freshman" days--extreme hit or miss. They were 6-for-13 from the field (3-for-7 from 3-point range) and combined for 4 assists and 3 steals...oh yeah, and 5 turnovers, 5 fouls. Paul still doesn't seem very comfortable on the court right now, but he at least tread water in this game.
- I really do like Justin Safford, but...Laurence Bowers: better than Justin Safford. Clearly. And I think, slowly but surely, Mike Anderson is coming to grips with that. And oh, what a dunk that was.
vs Big 12
Mizzou: 9-freaking-2
| Mizzou | Opp. |
|
| Points Per Minute |
1.98 | 1.69 |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) |
1.10 | 0.94 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) |
1.33 | 1.18 |
| 2-PT FG% | 51.5% | 47.2% |
| 3-PT FG% | 38.9% | 32.6% |
| FT% | 67.2% | 70.3% |
| True Shooting % |
56.5% | 51.3% |
| Mizzou | Opp. | |
| Assists | 199 | 136 |
| Steals | 111 | 75 |
| Turnovers | 138 | 209 |
| Ball Control Index (Assists + Steals) / TO |
2.25 | 1.01 |
| Mizzou | Opp. | |
| Expected Offensive Rebounds | 137 | 139 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 110 | 130 |
| Difference | -27 | -9 |
| Player | AdjGS/Gm* | GS/Min | Line |
| DeMarre Carroll | 18.29 | 0.64 | 18.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG |
| Leo Lyons | 12.38 | 0.55 | 13.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.9 APG |
| J.T. Tiller | 9.54 | 0.38 | 8.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.5 APG, 2.1 SPG |
| Zaire Taylor | 8.73 | 0.32 | 6.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.9 APG, 1.3 SPG |
| Matt Lawrence | 7.07 | 0.36 | 7.3 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 1.1 SPG |
| Marcus Denmon | 6.37 | 0.35 | 7.7 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.4 APG |
| Kim English | 5.82 | 0.33 | 7.1 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 1.5 APG |
| Keith Ramsey | 5.63 | 0.32 | 4.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.1 BPG |
| Laurence Bowers | 3.55 | 0.56 | 3.1 PPG, 1.7 RPG |
| Justin Safford | 1.87 | 0.28 | 2.2 PPG, 1.6 RPG |
| Miguel Paul | 1.49 | 0.17 | 1.9 PPG, 1.1 APG |
| Jarrett Sutton | 0.31 | 0.10 | 1 great walk-on |
| Michael Anderson Jr. | 0.20 | 0.04 | 1 great coach's son |
| Steve Moore | -0.18 | -0.05 | 0.8 PPG |
- Yeah, DeMarre almost HAS to be 1st-team all-conference at this point, doesn't he?
Rachel Phelps Update: one piece of the puzzle (i.e. wins to basically clinch an NCAA Tourney bid) to go. Nothing in the world would have convinced me we'd be one win from the 10-conference-wins plateau...after 11 games. To the video!
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one other tidbit:
In 2006-07, the average second half score was Mizzou 40.6, Opponents 38.2.
In 2007-08, it was Mizzou 37.9, Opponents 37.1.
In 2008-09, it’s Mizzou 45.2, Opponents 34.7.
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
Fatigue
Mike will use it as a weapon.
by Zou want a piece? on Feb 14, 2009 7:39 PM CST up reply actions
From the "Things you wouldn't have guessed" file
Carroll is 7 for 15 from 3 in conference play, including 4 of his last 5.
by Transmogrified Tiger on Feb 14, 2009 8:40 PM CST reply actions
Should have been 4 of last 4
That last three attempt was one of the uglier shots I’ve seen all year.
http://www.RockMNation.com
A Blog for Ol' Mizzou
i acutally got to go to this game
first of all, it was awesome to see the place packed. i hope they keep it up.
kimmies block was freaking fantastic. right before it happened the guy behind me said, “ah, just let him go” referring to the nebraska player. it was hilarious.
however, one of the best moments besides bowers dunc and kimmie’s block was ramsey’s tomahawk block in the 2nd half. the block was just awesome if only because it was completely unnecessary. he could have easily just caught the ball probably without even jumping but the fact the fact that he got airborne and just smacked the crap out of it was just great.
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
How cool would it be...
If the Tigers did an AMEX-esque commercial if they get to the Dance?
I'm the guy that keeps Mr. Death in his pocket.
by Mizzou Grad on Feb 14, 2009 9:08 PM CST reply actions 2 recs
"We're contenders now!"
Excellent comment, Grad. Rec’d.
http://www.RockMNation.com
A Blog for Ol' Mizzou
Nick King got the shot
from the Trib site

Re
Dunk
U
Lus
The sleeper has awoken. . .awakened. . .he woke up.
man i hate espn
the highlights for this game just sucked. and what asshat decided not to include kimmie’s block? ridiculous… i mean that block was tayshaun prinesque.
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
I thought the same thing
but they just showed the highlight on Midnight Madness…I’m sure there was someone in the 5th row that appreciates getting a basketball spiked right at them…

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