Mizzou 70, NU 47: Statistical Revenge!

So continuing the boxing analogy from last time, let's go to the cards once again!

Round 1: 10-10.  Another opening round full of missed punches and dancing around.

Round 2: 10-9 Mizzou.  Mizzou establishes a rhythm and lands the first good shots of the night.

Round 3: 10-9 Mizzou.

Round 4: 10-9 Nebraska.  NU strikes back.

Round 5: 10-9 Mizzou.  Not a killer lead for Mizzou, but comfortable.  And unlike the game in Lincoln, Mizzou is very well-positioned at the halfway point.

Round 6: 10-9 Mizzou.  Near knockdown for Mizzou, but Sadler's soldiers fight back.

Round 7: 10-8 Mizzou.  Knockdown.  NU on the ropes.

Round 8: 10-9 Mizzou.  NU all but punched out.

Round 9: Mizzou with the knockout.

Mizzou Huskers
Points Per Minute
1.75 1.18
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.05 0.71
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.19 0.96
2-PT FG% 47.1% 27.6%
3-PT FG% 36.0% 30.0%
FT% 64.7% 65.0%
True Shooting % 52.6% 40.7%
Mizzou Huskers
Assists 18 8
Steals 11 9
Turnovers 13 20
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.23 0.85
Mizzou Huskers
Expected Offensive Rebounds 13 13
Offensive Rebounds 12 11
Difference -1 -2
  • Mizzou shot relatively close to its conference average, and Nebraska very much did not.  Only one Husker (Brandon Richardson, 3-for-5) shot over 50% for the game, and Cookie Miller and Ade Dagunduro combined for 1-for-10.  That's a pretty good recipe for massacring Nebraska.
  • As Kelly and Link were saying on the radio, Nebraska is well-coached and plays very hard, but with their size and relative talent level, they don't have a ton of margin for error.  Needless to say, getting outrebounded while shooting 27.6% from 2-point range, is not going to cut it for them.
  • BCI!  BCI!  BCI!

Player Stats

Player AdjGS* GmSc/Min Line
Leo Lyons 11.88 0.52 9 Pts (on 2 FGA), 10 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO
J.T. Tiller 11.41 0.71 11 Pts, 2 Reb, 4 Ast
DeMarre Carroll 11.06 0.43 13 Pts, 3 Reb
Matt Lawrence 10.94 0.50 13 Pts
Keith Ramsey 9.76 0.61 5 Pts, 4 Reb, 3 Blk
Marcus Denmon 8.59 0.33 10 Pts, 3 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 Stl, 4 TO
Zaire Taylor 4.94 0.25 2 Pts, 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 2 Stl
Laurence Bowers 4.24 0.61 2 Pts, 2 Ast
Miguel Paul 1.65 0.12 5 Pts
Michael Anderson Jr. 0.35 0.07 0 Pts, 1 Reb
Steve Moore -0.47 -0.16 0 Pts
Justin Safford -0.94 -0.19 0 Pts, 2 Reb
Kim English -3.41 -0.20 0 Pts (0-for-5 FG), 2 Reb

* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds.  It does the same thing my previous measure of choice did (it takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game), only the formula is more used and accepted.  The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

  • The most impressive thing about this win: that Mizzou beat a decent team by 20+ (and it could have been 30+ if we hadn't brought in the scrubs) despite the fact that not a single Tiger played above his head.  Five guys between 9 and 13 points, six guys between 8 and 12 game score points...just a fantastic team effort.
  • Kim English: terrible shooting, almost nothing in the box score...and one ginormous, crowd-pleasing block.
  • The statistical oddity that is Leo Lyons continued.  A game after putting up a stat line that made you think he was Clarence Gilbert, Lyons scored 9 points...on two shots.  That's 1-for-2 from the field, 7-for-8 from the line.  Oh yeah, and he's now shooting 81.7% from the line in conference play.  Eh???
  • Marcus Denmon and Miguel Paul had very "freshman" days--extreme hit or miss.  They were 6-for-13 from the field (3-for-7 from 3-point range) and combined for 4 assists and 3 steals...oh yeah, and 5 turnovers, 5 fouls.  Paul still doesn't seem very comfortable on the court right now, but he at least tread water in this game.
  • I really do like Justin Safford, but...Laurence Bowers: better than Justin Safford.  Clearly.  And I think, slowly but surely, Mike Anderson is coming to grips with that.  And oh, what a dunk that was.

vs Big 12
Mizzou: 9-freaking-2

Mizzou Opp.
Points Per Minute
1.98 1.69
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.10 0.94
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.33 1.18
2-PT FG% 51.5% 47.2%
3-PT FG% 38.9% 32.6%
FT% 67.2% 70.3%
True Shooting %
56.5% 51.3%
Mizzou Opp.
Assists 199 136
Steals 111 75
Turnovers 138 209
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.25 1.01
Mizzou Opp.
Expected Offensive Rebounds 137 139
Offensive Rebounds 110 130
Difference -27 -9


Player AdjGS/Gm* GS/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 18.29 0.64 18.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG
Leo Lyons 12.38 0.55 13.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.9 APG
J.T. Tiller 9.54 0.38 8.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.5 APG, 2.1 SPG
Zaire Taylor 8.73 0.32 6.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.9 APG, 1.3 SPG
Matt Lawrence 7.07 0.36 7.3 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 1.1 SPG
Marcus Denmon 6.37 0.35 7.7 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.4 APG
Kim English 5.82 0.33 7.1 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 1.5 APG
Keith Ramsey 5.63 0.32 4.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.1 BPG
Laurence Bowers 3.55 0.56 3.1 PPG, 1.7 RPG
Justin Safford 1.87 0.28 2.2 PPG, 1.6 RPG
Miguel Paul 1.49 0.17 1.9 PPG, 1.1 APG
Jarrett Sutton 0.31 0.10 1 great walk-on
Michael Anderson Jr. 0.20 0.04 1 great coach's son
Steve Moore -0.18 -0.05 0.8 PPG
  • Yeah, DeMarre almost HAS to be 1st-team all-conference at this point, doesn't he?

Rachel Phelps Update: one piece of the puzzle (i.e. wins to basically clinch an NCAA Tourney bid) to go.  Nothing in the world would have convinced me we'd be one win from the 10-conference-wins plateau...after 11 games.  To the video!

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