Mizzou in the Big 12 Tourney: Statistical Champs

Yes, yes, yes. Since I didn't get a post up about the OSU game, let's make this a double. It'll be quick, as I'm fried and have homework to do, but it needed to be done...
Missouri 67, OSU 59
| Mizzou | OSU |
|
| Points Per Minute |
1.68 | 1.48 |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) |
0.94 | 0.83 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) |
1.05 | 1.00 |
| 2-PT FG% | 54.5% | 48.6% |
| 3-PT FG% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| FT% | 72.2% | 65.0% |
| True Shooting % | 46.6% | 43.5% |
| Mizzou | OSU |
|
| Assists | 13 | 8 |
| Steals | 9 | 6 |
| Turnovers | 10 | 17 |
| Ball Control Index (Assists + Steals) / TO |
2.20 | 0.82 |
| Mizzou | OSU |
|
| Expected Offensive Rebounds | 14 | 14 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 11 | 13 |
| Difference | -3 | -1 |
- The numbers basically tell us what we already knew--this game was u-g-l-y. Shooting ended up about even, and the game ended up decided by...you guessed it...BCI!! Despite having Reid Gettys' OMG favorite point guard of all-time (Byron Eaton), OSU was unable to match Mizzou's passing and turned it over about 4-5 times too many.
| Player | AdjGS* | GmSc/Min | Line |
| Leo Lyons | 20.90 | 0.80 | 15 Pts, 7 Reb (4 Off), 2 Ast, 3 Stl |
| Zaire Taylor | 19.68 | 0.63 | 19 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 2 Stl |
| Matt Lawrence | 13.75 | 0.55 | 11 Pts, 4 Reb, 3 Ast |
| Justin Safford | 5.39 | 0.67 | 4 Pts, 2 Reb |
| J.T. Tiller | 4.45 | 0.13 | 8 Pts, 5 Reb, 4 Ast, 3 TO |
| Marcus Denmon | 0.81 | 0.06 | 2 Pts, 2 Reb |
| Laurence Bowers | 0.81 | 0.27 | 0 Pts, 2 Blk |
| Miguel Paul | 0.40 | 0.08 | 0 Pts, 2 Reb |
| Kim English | 0.13 | 0.01 | 4 Pts |
| DeMarre Carroll | -0.27 | -0.01 | 4 Pts, 7 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO |
| Keith Ramsey | -1.21 | -0.15 | 0 Pts, 3 Fouls |
* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It does the same thing my previous measure of choice did (it takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game), only the formula is more used and accepted. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.
- Leo Lyons and Zaire Taylor won this game, and Goose Lawrence applied the 3-point daggers at the end.
- J.T. Tiller didn't do much of anything offensively, but holy crap did he play great defense in this game.
Missouri 73, Baylor 60
| Mizzou | Baylor |
|
| Points Per Minute |
1.83 | 1.50 |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) |
1.17 | 0.96 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) |
1.43 | 1.07 |
| 2-PT FG% | 47.1% | 50.0% |
| 3-PT FG% | 47.1% | 25.0% |
| FT% | 70.8% | 62.5% |
| True Shooting % | 59.3% | 47.6% |
| Mizzou | Baylor |
|
| Assists | 17 | 8 |
| Steals | 7 | 7 |
| Turnovers | 11 | 13 |
| Ball Control Index (Assists + Steals) / TO |
2.18 | 1.15 |
| Mizzou | Baylor |
|
| Expected Offensive Rebounds | 11 | 13 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 12 | 12 |
| Difference | +1 | -1 |
- This was more Mizzou's style--a True Shooting % in the upper 50%'s, a BCI over 2.0, and even some nice rebounding numbers to boot!
- Whereas 3-point shooting almost murdered Mizzou against OSU, 3-point shooting basically won the Baylor game.
| Player | AdjGS* | GmSc/Min | Line |
| DeMarre Carroll | 19.23 | 0.60 | 20 Pts, 9 Reb (4 Off), 3 Stl |
| Matt Lawrence | 13.44 | 0.54 | 13 Pts, 2 Reb |
| Leo Lyons | 9.97 | 0.42 | 13 Pts, 7 Reb, 2 Ast, 4 TO |
| Zaire Taylor | 8.23 | 0.28 | 9 Pts, 5 Reb, 4 Ast |
| J.T. Tiller | 7.07 | 0.23 | 4 Pts, 7 Reb, 3 Ast |
| Kim English | 6.84 | 0.40 | 7 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast |
| Keith Ramsey | 6.26 | 0.42 | 4 Pts |
| Miguel Paul | 3.36 | 0.56 | 3 Pts, 2 Ast |
| Marcus Denmon | 1.16 | 0.11 | 0 Pts |
| Laurence Bowers | -0.46 | -0.12 | 0 Pts |
| Justin Safford | -2.09 | -0.35 | 0 Pts |
- DeMarre told Zaire Taylor that he was going to play well after an iffy OSU game, and that he did. He wreaked havoc on the interior of the zone (and even made a killer 3-pointer), and Goose came through big-time from behind the arc. Leo had a few too many turnovers, and it drove down his overall statline, but the three seniors really wanted this one, and they went and took it.
Throughout the season, different freshmen have stepped up at different times, but tourney time was senior time, and all three came through.
Big 12 Tournament
| Player | AdjGS* | GmSc/Min | Line |
| Zaire Taylor | 14.22 | 0.50 | 12.0 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 4.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG |
| Leo Lyons | 13.57 | 0.56 | 12.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.3 SPG |
| Matt Lawrence | 12.79 | 0.58 | 12.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 1.3 APG |
| DeMarre Carroll | 12.39 | 0.38 | 14.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.7 SPG |
| J.T. Tiller | 8.03 | 0.25 | 8.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 3.0 APG, badass defense |
| Justin Safford | 3.14 | 0.34 | 3.7 PPG, 2.0 RPG |
| Miguel Paul | 3.02 | 0.29 | 3.3 PPG, 1.3 RPG |
| Keith Ramsey | 2.20 | 0.19 | 1.3 PPG, 1.3 RPG |
| Marcus Denmon | 1.59 | 0.13 | 2.0 PPG, 1.3 RPG |
| Kim English | 1.39 | 0.12 | 4.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG |
| Jarrett Sutton | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1 minute |
| Michael Anderson Jr. | 0.86 | 0.21 | 4 minutes |
| Steve Moore | 0.37 | 0.18 | 2 minutes |
| Laurence Bowers | -0.24 | -0.08 | 9 minutes |
- It's very indicative of this team that there was no statistically dominant player.
For the tournament, Mizzou's tourney MVP--DeMarre Carroll--was actually Mizzou's 4th-best player statistically. But his leadership in the finals, along with JT Tiller's defense and great contributions from different bench guys each game (Safford and Denmon against Tech, Safford against OSU, English against Baylor), won this tourney for Mizzou. Yes, they ended up with a favorable draw--beating the #7, #9 and #11 seeds on the way to the title, but a) they beat the teams that beat KU and OU, and b) I don't care.
And finally, not to be a downer, but to my buddy Jeffrey, who passed away at the end of January, I just want to say, I choked myself up a bit thinking about how you would have reacted to this, and I've been thinking about you a lot in this awesome run Mizzou has embarked upon in the last month and a half.
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Comments
The Boy: Just wanted to say that I’m sorry for the loss of your friend, and I also wanted to thank you for the great posts you’ve produced all season—these statistical breakdowns are always the first thing I look for after games.
by Professor Chaos on Mar 15, 2009 12:27 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
much appreciated...
…hopefully we have a few more games to review!
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
by Bill C. on Mar 15, 2009 12:45 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about six more?
My 2009 New Years Resolution: Quit feeding the trolls.
by ghtd36 on Mar 15, 2009 12:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
here, here!
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
by FutureMan on Mar 15, 2009 3:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Damnit, why'd you have to bring up JC?
I know God doesn’t care about who wins games, but maybe Jeff’s gotten into the head of some of the angels.
"When he went for that ball and dived over the table, I knew what was next to come. I felt sorry for what Texas Tech had to face after that."
-- J. T. Tiller - 3/12/09
by Andy--01 on Mar 15, 2009 8:52 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
This helps vindicate me...
… for selecting Zaire as my Most Outstanding Player on my official ballot for All Tournament Team.
Yes, DeMarre put up the points, but Zaire did the little things in every single game.
by RPT on Mar 15, 2009 9:31 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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