Can we please re-draw the Big 12 football schedules at some point?
I'm not going to pretend that this is some sort of major sticking point for me, but we've grown to accept something in Big 12 football schedules that just shouldn't really be accepted--the rotating schedule.
In basketball, obviously it's not very hard--play your division rivals twice, the non-division rivals once, and voila, 16 games. For football, though, you can't play everybody every year (at least, not if you ever want a team from your conference playing in the national title game again), so you rotate. Home-and-away with three non-division rivals for two years, home-and-away with the others the next. Aside from the fact that it has hurt some rivalries--OU/NU, for instance--it works pretty well in theory. In practice, however, the Big 12 just does it wrong, and it affects division races.
For 13 years now, all Big 12 teams have played exactly the same rotating schedule. Mizzou's schedule in 2009 will be what it was in 2005, 2001, and 1997, and what it will be in 2013, 2017, etc., if nothing changes. Now, for Mizzou it's not that big a deal--they get Texas for two years, then Oklahoma. They get Tech for two years, then Oklahoma State. They get ATM for two years, then Baylor. Really, if you're breaking the South division into tiers, that's just about as well as you can do. But what about Kansas and Iowa State?

In 2007, KU's schedule was one of the main reasons they almost (almost!) won the Big 12 North and went 7-1 in conference. In 2009, KU's schedule could be the main reason they don't win. In 2007, KU's south opponents were @OSU, @ATM, Baylor at home. In 2009, @TT, @Texas, OU at home. That's ridiculous. The winner of the division should have a lot more to do with who plays the best in the division, not who has the most beneficial schedule*.
* Granted, I shouldn't complain at all about the 2009 draw since, as I said, it might prevent KU from winning the North, which would be grand.
It's been the same for Iowa State. Seneca Wallace led one of the best Iowa State teams ever in 2002. After a narrow loss to Florida State to start the season, the Cyclones got hot. Really hot. They whipped Kansas, beat an 11-win Iowa team in Iowa City, beat Nebraska, and were the #11 team in the country when this play happened against a 9-win Texas Tech team...
...and it really seemed like Iowa State would be the leader of the Big 12 North race and could make some national noise. And then the Cyclones, in the Top 10 for the first time ever, had to travel to Norman and Austin in back-to-back weeks. They got outscored 70-13 in those two games, and the wheels had flown off. They snuck by an average Mizzou team at home, and then they gave up 99 points combined to Kansas State and Colorado. Their 6-1 start saw a 1-6 finish, and one of the best teams in Iowa State history finished 7-7. Granted, a truly good team would have at least been competitive in Norman and Austin--this wasn't a great team by any stretch, but if they had only played one of those games while complementing the schedule with a game against Baylor, they could have still been in the race for the North.
And then in 2004 and 2005, a much less talented Iowa State team twice came within a loss to Missouri of winning the North without having to play Oklahoma or Texas. Which is just as ridiculous.
In the stratified South, scheduling isn't as much of an issue. OU and Texas are by far the two best programs in the league, and it really doesn't matter who they play from the North. But on a given year, the schedule directly impacts the favorite and the winner in the North, and that's not the way it should be.
Really, the SEC does it wrong too. Their inter-division schedules overcompensate for ongoing rivalries, which is fine, but I don't like the results. For instance, East Division Tennessee (why are they in the East again?) plays West Division Alabama every single year. Meanwhile, they've only played Ole Miss twice in 11 years. Same for Georgia and Mississippi State. Florida plays LSU every year, and they only played Mississippi State twice from 1994 to 2003. In the end, this is just as ridiculous. You should absolutely be playing everybody in your conference on a regular basis.
There is a VERY easy solution for this, and I don't think it takes an advanced degree to figure out. Re-draw the schedules every four years. Break the divisions into three tiers based on the last four years of conference performance and make sure that nobody plays two teams from the same tier. Based on the last four years, that would mean that nobody from the north plays both OU and Texas, OSU and Texas Tech, or Texas A&M and Baylor...and everybody plays at least one of them.
Now, this isn't a perfect solution, for three main reasons:
1) One thing I do enjoy about constant Big 12 rotation is that a student attending Mizzou for four years has the opportunity to see every conference rival visit Faurot Field and the opportunity to roadtrip to every conference rival's stadium/town (I managed this for 9 of 11 rivals). If you're redrawing the docket every four years, you're stil guaranteed of playing each non-division team four times in eight years, however, there's the possibility that you'd play a team the first two years of one four-year span, and the last two years of the next, meaning you'd possibly go four straight years without playing somebody.
2) Every four years, it becomes harder to plan for the upcoming schedule, as you won't know the season's schedule until about February of the upcoming season. Of course, this is minor. The SEC never seems to have the upcoming season's schedule finalized until the preceding offseason, and nobody seems too bothered by it.
3) Quite simply, the balance of power changes. Even in the Big 12 South, where OU and Texas have been dominating every year this decade, the first four years of the Big 12 were completely up for grabs, and it was Texas A&M doing most of the grabbing. The balance of power has shifted in the South once in the existence of the Big 12, but meanwhile, in the North, it shifts about every two years. Since the inception of the Big 12, the North has shifted from Nebraska, to Nebraska & K-State, to K-State & Colorado, to...nobody, to Missouri & Kansas.
The point being, you could still end up with an unbalanced schedule if a team that was great or terrible for four years, turns around 180 degrees the next four years. Still, though, even if that happens, it only happens for a four-year span. At this point, Iowa State would just be smart to redshirt and build toward the years where they don't play OU, UT, and Tech, and try to make a run then while giving up on the other two years in the four-year cycle. With re-drawn schedules, imbalance is temporary.
Out of curiosity, I'm going to walk through the Big 12 years over the next few days, to see how much this scheduling strategy may or may not have impacted division races over the last 13 seasons. Even if you don't care, it entertains me, and that counts for something, right?
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I had the EXACT same thoughts earlier in the week.
Granted, I’m all for the schedule keeping Kansas down this year, but I wondered why they couldn’t redraw after four years. The only thing I could think is that the amount of planning that’s required for scheduling because of sponsorships and businesses in the area could be prohibitive. Could they draw after three years while still playing out the fourth to alleviate this?
It's cleanest doing it every four years...
…but yeah, technically they could do it after three. Still, though, the SEC manages to pull it off, so why couldn’t we? You’d obviously know who you were playing in your own division, and you’d know that you’re getting four conference home games (neutral site games like OU/UT, MU/KU aside…but again, those are division games, and you know ahead of time)…I mean, I had the same “sponsorships/businesses?” thought as well, but in the end, that doesn’t make a lot of sense considering you’d still know opponents and dates at least eight months in advance…how much planning do you really need?
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
Ditto
I’ll be keeping track of this series to see how it may have affected things in the past. As you know, we love to live in the past at BOTC.
We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats
Very well done
My initial thought was “meh, screw kU and Iowa State, who cares?” But your point about how it affects our divisional races is very well taken.
Heh, I certainly don't care when it hurts KU and ISU...
…but it screws the years where it helps them…
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
Flawed and erroneous information
First, the SEC is NOT “constantly” redrawing its matchups. Since the conference expanded in 1992, it has made exactly one scheduling change, a change that actually does what you suggest—-eliminating one of the “permanent” East-West rivalry games that teams play against schools outside their division, forcing intra-divisional teams to play each other more often. So, SEC schools now play every opponent in their division each year, one permanent rival in the other division, and two rotating games with teams in the other division. Otherwise, the rotation has stayed exactly as it was in 1992.
And second, Florida and Tennessee BOTH play Vanderbilt every year. There’s no advantage at all for UF (and any advantage to playing Vanderbilt over another team has largely withered away anyway).
Next time, try doing a little research.
by AuricGoldfinger on Apr 19, 2009 10:17 AM CDT reply actions
thanks for the, uhh, comment...
…clearly I should have done more research on the SEC part, but the focus was on the Big 12 and there was no insulting tone to the SEC, so maybe you should have tried a little more honey than vinegar there, huh?
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
fixed now, btw...
…momentarily forgot that Vandy and UF were in the same division—UF plays LSU every year. Correction made.
Rock M Nation
Thrust nunchuk upward!
I'll be interested in reading your future analysis on schedule...
I too wondered about the imbalance in the North scheduling with the South. Kansas and Iowa State definitely get the raw end at this point and I like your idea of reassessing periodically for the sake of fairness and balance. While power shifts over time, it isn’t a given thing over a reasonable period and it doesn’t hit the various teams in the same way (i.e., a bad coaching hire probably doesn’t hurt Texas as bad as Iowa State since Texas will have easier access to better talent).
As a Texas alum, I was initially frustrated by the divisions, where Texas had to face 4 regular rivals every year (meaning teams you have a long history with rather than any equality in the competition) while Oklahoma only had 2 regular rivals and 3 rotating ones. It seemed unfair that OU got to periodically dodge its more nature Big 8 rivalries as well as increase its recruiting presence in Texas by getting put in the South. As time has passed I am not bothered by it since the players don’t have as much tie to the old conferences, but I still think Tech and A&M play harder against us than they do against OU. On the flip side our out-of-division games come against less-heated foes, though I think the North (especially KSU) has played pretty big role in sabotaging a lot of our seasons.
If due to a playoff we had to drop our championship game, I would be interested in seeing a non-divisional schedule. While I like playing OU and A&M every year, I also wouldn’t be averse to scheduling that was a round-robin of all the 12 teams over a 4 year period. It would make for a more interesting season and balance issues could be helped if the rotating was done yearly based on previous year records like in the NFL (perhaps with some added stipulations that made sure each team played all the other teams at least once over a given period).
Great post.
I have to agree that it would be beneficial for all the members to have the schedule realigned every 4 year cycle. Out of curiosity, what would the pairings be in the North for the last 4 year cycle? I assume MiZZOU/Kansas would be the highest, Nebraska/CU next, and KSU/ISU last. Is that right? Not as well defined as the hierarchy in the south (UT/OU, TT/OSU, BU/A&M).
I thought it was kind of weak for Kansas to get a BCS game in a year where they didn’t draw OU or Texas. That said, they did the conference proud by winning that BCS game (easier said than done, ask Bob Stoops).

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