Nevada: 2009 Projections

by Bill C. on Jun 26, 2009 9:00 AM CDT in Mizzou Football 2009

Nevada Week has come and gone. Before Nebraska Week kicks up on Monday, let's bring it all together.

Monday: Nevada Links
Tuesday: Beyond the Box Score Offensive Preview
Wednesday: Beyond the Box Score Defensive Preview
Thursday: Nevada Q&A

Nevada is being seen as something of a second-tier 'BCS buster' type of team, and as you'll see, the biggest obstacles to their making noise in 2009 come in the first and last games of the season. In between trips to South Bend and Boise, Nevada could very well go undefeated if they catch breaks and play with their hair on fire against Missouri and Fresno State. But even if they do go undefeated in those ten games, winning at Notre Dame and Boise State is a bit much to ask.

Date	Opponent	Proj. W/L	Margin	Record	Conf. Rec.
9/5	at Notre Dame	L	-13.2	0-1
9/12	at Colorado State	W	+5.4	1-1
9/25	Missouri	L	-3.5	1-2
10/3	UNLV	W	+15.3	2-2
10/9	Louisiana Tech	W	+12.7	3-2	1-0
10/17	at Utah State	W	+7.4	4-2	2-0
10/24	Idaho	W	+23.4	5-2	3-0
10/31	Hawaii	W	+6.1	6-2	4-0
11/8	at San Jose State	W	+7.3	7-2	5-0
11/14	Fresno State	L	-1.3	7-3	5-1
11/21	at New Mexico State	W	+14.8	8-3	6-1
11/27	at Boise State	L	-15.4	8-4	6-2

As a whole, these results are pretty locked in--only one game (@ Fresno) is determined by the application of the 4-point home-field advantage. And in the end, unlike a lot of the results for Illinois and Bowling Green, there aren't a ton of closer games here--Fresno's the closest to a tossup, and Mizzou's next.

Alright, your turn. What do you think?

Poll

Nevada projects at 8-4. Thoughts?

Too low. Kaepernick + Taua + an attacking defense = 10-2 or better to me.

7 votes

Yeah, 7-5 to 9-3 is likely. Your projections are pretty much perfect!

38 votes

Their pass defense is awful. You're making way too big a deal out of them. 6-6 at best.

3 votes

48 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

Seriously?

If they aren’t expected to win at South Bend, I don’t expect Mizzou to have any problem with them in Reno.

Until Notre Dame proves otherwise to me, I will assume they will be a lucky to end up at 6-6. To paraphrase Flava – I don’t believe the hype.

Nomination for the "It Was Only A Matter Of Time..." Award: Carlos Zambrano was suspended for "Inappropriate and violent actions on the field and in the dugout."
Only guy crazier than Carlos Zambrano in baseball is Julian Tavarez

by Andy--01 on Jun 26, 2009 3:28 PM CDT reply actions