Study Hall: Mizzou vs Savannah State

You've got to enjoy a lethargic, unimpressive ... 29-point win.  That was Mizzou's last freebie, so hopefully the realize they are allowed no more funks for the next two months.

Mizzou 74, Savannah State 45

Mizzou
SSU
Points Per Minute
1.85 1.13
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.08 0.66
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.30 0.82
2-PT FG% 56.1% 32.6%
3-PT FG% 25.0% 33.3%
FT% 64.0% 43.5%
True Shooting % 54.4% 37.6%
Mizzou SSU
Assists 13 9
Steals 15 8
Turnovers 12 25
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.33 0.68
Mizzou SSU
Expected Offensive Rebounds 12 14
Offensive Rebounds 11 16
Difference -1 +2


Let's not think too much about this one, shall we?

First half: total lethargy. Mizzou gets outworked and leads by only three at halftime.
Second half: Mizzou turns it on, the end.

Player stats after the jump.

Player Stats

Player AdjGS* GmSc/Min Line
J.T. Tiller 12.6 0.52 24 Min, 9 Pts (3-for-6 FG), 4 Stl, 2 Ast
Justin Safford 11.5 0.55 21 Min, 12 Pts (5-for-8 FG), 6 Reb (2 Off), 2 Blk, 2 TO
Keith Ramsey 10.0 0.37 27 Min, 3 Pts (1-for-3 FG), 6 Reb (5 Off), 3 Ast, 2 Stl, 2 Blk
Mike Dixon 9.7 0.46 21 Min, 10 Pts (4-for-6 FG, 0-for-2 3PT), 3 Stl, 2 TO
Kim English 8.9 0.52 17 Min, 12 Pts (5-for-8 FG, 1-for-3 3PT), 2 Reb
Laurence Bowers 8.2 0.37 22 Min, 7 Pts (2-for-4 FG), 5 Reb, 2 Ast, 2 Stl, 2 TO
Marcus Denmon 8.1 0.37 22 Min, 12 Pts (5-for-12 FG, 2-for-6 3PT), 6 Reb
Miguel Paul 3.1 0.18 17 Min, 5 Pts (1-for-4 FG), 2 Reb, 2 Ast
Tyler Stone 1.1 1.11 1 Min
Zaire Taylor 0.6 0.03 22 Min, 3 Pts (1-for-6 FG, 0-for-3 3PT), 2 Reb, 2 Stl, 2 TO
John Underwood 0.0 0.00 1 Min
Jarrett Sutton 0.0 0.00 1 Min
Steve Moore -1.7 -0.42 4 Min, 2 Reb, 2 TO, 2 PF


* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds.  It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game.  The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

  • This table shows where the game was won.  J.T. Tiller and Keith Ramsey combined for just 12 points on nine shots, but their work on defense and on the glass gave Mizzou what they needed to pull away (7 rebounds, 5 assists, 6 steals, 2 blocks).
  • Laurence Bowers and Zaire Taylor (i.e. the two people I said I wanted to see more offense from a while back): 10 shots in 44 minutes.  Not impressed.  But Party Starter picked it up against Georgia, so as long as he does it when it counts, I guess I'll look the other way.
  • Marcus Denmon: thanks for being able to make a couple of 3's.  You were almost the only one.
  • Steve Moore: what the hell?  Only two fouls in four minutes?  That hurts your fouls-per-second rate!

Three Keys Revisited

From yesterday's preview.

Show Up

Mizzou did indeed show up.  With 19 minutes left in the game.  The first half was nothing but an effort failure, with SSU grabbing almost as many offensive rebounds as Mizzou had defensive rebounds.  Once they started concentrating (with help from Marcus Denmon crashing the boards), they pulled away with ease.  SSU was every bit as bad at shooting the ball as I mentioned yesterday, but they just wanted the ball more.

Rebound!

For the game, the numbers looked at least mediocre -- Mizzou was outrebounded (in terms of expected boards) by three, which is nothing unusual for this team.  But the first half was miserable.

Pace

Despite SSU's best efforts, the game was played at an acceptable 69-possession rate.  Mizzou's will eventually overcame SSU's effort, but it took a while.

Mizzou in Non-Conference Play

Here's a quick look at how Mizzou's final non-conference stats shake down.

Mizzou
SSU
Points Per Minute
2.09 1.54
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.15 0.85
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.31 1.10
2-PT FG% 51.3% 43.6%
3-PT FG% 40.1% 27.0%
FT% 72.1% 69.7%
True Shooting % 57.5% 47.7%
Mizzou SSU
Assists/Gm 18.1 10.3
Steals/Gm 13.1 6.1
Turnovers/Gm 13.7 22.0
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.27 0.75
Mizzou SSU
Expected Offensive Rebounds 191 196
Offensive Rebounds 196 203
Difference +5 +7

 

Player AdjGS/Gm GmSc/Min Line
Laurence Bowers 13.0 0.66 19.8 MPG, 10.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.5 BPG, 1.3 APG, 1.3 SPG
Kim English 12.4 0.56 22.3 MPG, 15.9 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 1.3 APG, 2.1 TOPG
Marcus Denmon 9.4 0.48 19.5 MPG, 11.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 1.3 APG
Keith Ramsey 9.3 0.37 25.3 MPG, 5.7 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 1.7 APG, 1.3 BPG, 1.5 TOPG
Zaire Taylor 8.8 0.36 24.5 MPG, 7.5 PPG, 2.7 APG, 2.2 SPG
J.T. Tiller 8.6 0.38 22.3 MPG, 9.4 PPG, 3.3 APG, 2.3 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 2.1 TOPG
Mike Dixon 8.5 0.44 19.3 MPG, 9.0 PPG, 2.7 APG, 1.3 RPG, 1.3 SPG
Justin Safford 6.0 0.32 18.5 MPG, 7.5 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.3 APG, 1.5 TOPG
Miguel Paul 4.6 0.30 15.4 MPG, 4.4 PPG, 2.6 APG
Tyler Stone 2.1 0.52 4.1 MPG, 2.2 PPG
Steve Moore 1.4 0.13 10.7 MPG, 1.5 PPG, 1.6 RPG
John Underwood 0.7 0.15 4.4 MPG, 0.8 PPG, 1.9 RPG
Jarrett Sutton 0.0 0.01 3.9 MPG, 1.1 PPG

 

  • The rebounding figures actually ended up looking alright, but after the K-State game we'll take another look at the stats against "real" teams -- the Georgia game helped Mizzou's numbers, but only so much.
  • We've seen signs that J.T. Tiller is picking things up heading into conference play.  Here's to hoping he maintains it ... and Zaire Taylor gets it back.

Summary

Not a whole lot of analysis here, I realize, but this game was what it was: an easy cupcake game that wasn't easy for about 21 minutes because of Mizzou's lack of interest.  Power to SSU for fighting their guts out and almost stealing a halftime lead out of the deal, but Mizzou turned it on just in time and won comfortably.  I do wish we wouldn't have waited as long to turn it on -- was hoping to see Stone and Underwood a bit more before conference play -- but oh well.  KSU comes to town in less than 48 hours, and the season starts anew.

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