No need for a Saturday morning live thread with the Mizzou game starting so early, so here's a quick, bare-bones post just to get the picks on record.
It was the picks' first good week in a while last week ... but it looked like it was going to be a lot better. Things started out at an 11-2 clip (.846), and we were still at 24-17-2 until a 1-7 slump brought us back to 25-24-2. Luckily, a nice four-game win streak ended the week.
Last Week's Results
|Big 12 Games
|0-5 point spread
I'm not sure what it is about the 20-30 point range, but the picks in that range continue to do quite well. And yes, the picks I really didn't like went 5-0 last week. Of course they did.
This week's picks after the jump.
- "LOCKS" signify games where the spread and projection are more than 17 points apart. At this point, LOCKS are rare, as Vegas seems to have hacked into my damn computer.
- If there is a "(!)" next to the spread, that means the projection and spread are within 2 points of each other ... and you should probably lay off of these picks if you are the betting type. There are far too many of these this week.
- Verdicts in all caps signify games where the underdog is picked to win straight up.
|10/13||7:00pm||Central Florida at Marshall||UCF by 8.8||UCF -4.5||C. Florida (W)|
|10/14||6:30pm||S. Florida at W. Virginia||WVU by 16.9||WVU -10.5||W. Virginia (W)|
|Kansas State at Kansas||KSU by 14.8||KSU -2.5||Kansas St. (W)|
|10/15||7:00pm||Cincinnati at Louisville||Louisville by 2.9||Louisville +3||LOUISVILLE (L)|
|10/16||11:00am||Missouri at Texas A&M||Mizzou by 8.1||Mizzou +3.5||MIZZOU|
|Boston Coll. at Florida St.||FSU by 24.5||FSU -21.5||Florida St.|
|Vanderbilt at Georgia||Georgia by 6.9 (?)||Georgia -14||Vanderbilt|
|Arkansas State at Indiana||Indiana by 6.4 (?)||Indiana -10||Arkansas St.|
|Illinois at Michigan St.||MSU by 6.99||MSU -7 (!)||Illinois|
|N.C. State at E. Carolina||N.C. St. by 11||N.C. St. -7.5||N.C. St.|
|Pittsburgh at Syracuse||Pitt by 7.1||Pitt -1||Pittsburgh|
|Maryland at Clemson||Clemson by 16.3||Clemson -14||Clemson|
|Southern Miss at Memphis||So. Miss by 16.7||So. Miss -14.5||So. Miss|
|Miami-OH at C. Michigan||C. Mich. by 12.5||C. Mich. by 13 (!)||Miami-OH|
|Minnesota at Purdue||Purdue by 5.2||Purdue -5.5 (!)||Minnesota|
|12:00pm||Miami-FL at Duke||Miami by 29.0||Miami -19.5||Miami|
|Bowling Green at Temple||Temple by 14.5||Temple -20||Bowl. Green|
|E. Michigan at Ball State||Ball St. by 3.8||Ball St. -15||E. Michigan|
|1:00pm||UNLV at Colorado St.||Colo. St. by 1.1||Colo. St. -3 (!)||Unlv|
|Army at Rutgers||Rutgers by 8.2||Rutgers -7 (!)||Rutgers|
|Akron at Ohio||Ohio by 17.0||Ohio -16.5 (!)||Ohio|
|1:30pm||W. Michigan at Notre Dame||Irish by 24.5||Irish -24 (!)||Notre Dame|
|2:30pm||Arkansas at Auburn||Auburn by 12.3||Auburn -3.5||Auburn|
|California at USC||Cal by 5.5||Cal +2.5||CALIFORNIA|
|Middle Tenn. at Ga. Tech||Ga. Tech by 18.6||Ga. Tech -19 (!)||Mid. Tenn.|
|Iowa at Michigan||Iowa by 2.3||Iowa -3.5 (!)||Michigan|
|Texas at Nebraska||Nebraska by 22.4||Nebraska -9.5||Nebraska|
|Houston at Rice||Houston by 12.2||Houston -9.5||Houston|
|Wake Forest at Va. Tech||Va Tech by 30.5||Va Tech -22.5||Va Tech|
|SMU at Navy||Navy by 2.9||Navy -1.5 (!)||Navy|
|Buffalo at N. Illinois||NIU by 12.9||NIU -14.5 (!)||Buffalo|
|Oklahoma St. at Tex. Tech||OSU by 6.5||OSU +3.5||OSU|
|3:00pm||UTEP at UAB||UAB by 8.2||UAB -2.5||Uab|
|Idaho at La. Tech||La Tech by 0.4||La Tech +1.5||LA TECH|
|BYU at TCU||TCU by 32.7||TCU -29.5||Tcu|
|5:00pm||S. Carolina at Kentucky||S. Caro. by 14.5||S. Caro. -5.5||S. Carolina|
|N. Carolina at Virginia||UNC by 8.0||UNC -6.5 (!)||N. Carolina|
|Utah at Wyoming||Utah by 22.8||Utah -20.5||Utah|
|6:00pm||Baylor at Colorado||Colorado by 6.0||Colorado +1.5||COLORADO|
|Miss. St. at Florida||Florida by 6.6||Florida -7.5 (!)||Miss. St.|
|UL-Monroe at W. Kentucky||W. Ky. by 2.9||W. Ky. -2 (!)||W. Kentucky|
|Iowa State at Oklahoma||OU by 28.0||OU -23||Oklahoma|
|Tulane at Tulsa||Tulsa by 7.7||Tulsa -18.5||Tulane|
|Ohio State at Wisconsin||Ohio St. by 20.9||Ohio St. -4||Ohio State|
|Kent State at Toledo||Toledo by 12.1||Toledo -3.5||Toledo|
|UL-Lafayette at Troy||Troy by 19.6||Troy -20 (!)||UL-Lafayette|
|6:30pm||Fla. Int'l at N. Texas||Fla. Int'l by 2.2||Fla. Int'l -5.5||N. Texas|
|Arizona at Washington St.||Arizona by 33.4||Arizona -23.5||Arizona|
|7:00pm||Air Force at San Diego St.||SDSU by 1.1||SDSU +1||SAN DIEGO ST.|
|Boise State at San Jose St.||Boise by 43.4||Boise -41||Boise State|
|8:00pm||Ole Miss at Alabama||Alabama by 23.6||Alabama -20.5||Alabama|
|9:15pm||Oregon St. at Washington||Oregon St. by 12.6||Oregon St. +1.5||OREGON ST.|
|9:30pm||New Mex. St. at Fresno St.||Fresno by 29.4||Fresno -30.5 (!)||Nmsu|
|10:30pm||Nevada at Hawaii||Nevada by 5.5||Nevada -6.5 (!)||Hawaii|
Picks I am Feeling Safest About:
N.C. State -7.5 East Carolina. I really like N.C. State this season.
Southern Miss -14.5 Memphis. Memphis is, um, really bad.
La. Tech +1.5 Idaho. No idea why Idaho is favored in this one. It's a long trip, and Idaho's just not very good.
UNC -6.5 Virginia. Apparently the Cavaliers shot their wad a month ago, and UNC is a lot better than I'd have expected with what they lost.
Oklahoma -23 Iowa State. Needless to say, if Iowa State can lose by 41 at home to Utah ... well ...
Picks I am Feeling Queasiest About:
Vanderbilt +14 Georgia. If last week wasn't just a one-week blip for Georgia, the Dawgs will win by much more than 14.
Michigan +3.5 Iowa. I think Iowa is perfectly built to shut Denard Robinson down. Iowa by 10-14.
S. Carolina -5.5 Kentucky. 5.5 points is such a perfect line for this one with all the letdown potential for South Carolina.
Ohio State +4 Wisconsin. Just have a feeling about this one ...
New Mexico State +30.5 Fresno State. Fresno's just as likely to win by 45 as 20 ...