Post-GameDay Live Thread and Week 8 BTBS Picks

Top Of Jesse

UPDATE: Looks like a 28-23 record for the week.

Don't have a ton of time to throw this together, but here are the basics.

Last Week's Results


Week 7 Season
Type/Range
W-L
Win%
W-L
Win%
ALL GAMES
29-24-1 .546 161-177-6 .477
Big 12 Games
4-2 .667 25-30 .455
Upset Picks
3-4 .429 11-19-1 .371
"LOCKS"
0-0 N/A 4-6 .400
"Feeling Safe"
4-1 .800 18-17 .514
"Feeling Queasy"
1-4 .200 18-15-1 .544
0-5 point spread
12-7 .632 49-46-1 .516
5-10 points
4-8 .333 39-49-2 .444
10-20 points 5-8 .385 31-57-1 .354
20-30 points
3-5 .375 29-19 .604
30+ points
2-0 1.000 9-11 .450

Another solid week after a series of awful ones, but something feels off about this week's picks.  We'll see.

This week's picks after the jump.

Your notes:

  • "LOCKS" signify games where the spread and projection are more than 17 points apart.  At this point, LOCKS are rare, as Vegas seems to have hacked into my damn computer.
  • If there is a "(!)" next to the spread, that means the projection and spread are within 2 points of each other ... and you should probably lay off of these picks if you are the betting type.  There are far too many of these this week.
  • Verdicts in all caps signify games where the underdog is picked to win straight up.
Date Time Game Projection Spread ATS Verdict
10/21 8:00pm UCLA at Oregon Oregon by 20.1 Oregon -22 Ucla (L)
10/22 8:00pm South Florida at Cincinnati Cincinnati by 11.5 Cincinnati -7.5 Cincy (L)
10/23 11:00am Michigan State at Northwestern Mich. St. by 25.3 Mich. St. -6 Mich. St. (LOCK) (W)
Penn State at Minnesota Penn St. by 2.4 Penn St. -9.5 Minnesota (L)
Purdue at Ohio State Ohio St. by 40.8 Ohio St. -24 Ohio State (W)
Rutgers at Pittsburgh Pitt by 18.2 Pitt -13 Pitt (W)
Iowa State at Texas Texas by 27.1 Texas -21 Texas (L)
Duke at Virginia Tech Va Tech by 37.9 Va Tech -26.5 Va Tech (W)
Syracuse at West Virginia WVU by 22.2 WVU -14 WVU (L)
Indiana at Illinois Illinois by 28.8 Illinois -14 Illinois (W)
Temple at Buffalo Temple by 1.0 Temple -7.5 Buffalo (L)
Notre Dame at Navy Notre Dame by 7.5 Notre Dame -7 (!) Notre Dame (L)
11:30am Ole Miss at Arkansas Arkansas by 9.2 Arkansas -9.5 (!) Ole Miss (L)
12:00pm Maryland at Boston College BC by 0.1 BC -4 Maryland (W)
Ohio at Miami (OH) Ohio by 6.5 Ohio -3 Ohio (W)
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State ASU by 7.9 ASU -7.5 (!) Ark St (W)
1:00pm Wyoming at BYU BYU by 14.5 BYU -10.5 Byu (L)
2:30pm LSU at Auburn Auburn by 9.4 Auburn -6.5 Auburn (W)
Arizona State at California ASU by 3.9 ASU +3.5 ARIZONA ST (L)
Texas Tech at Colorado Colorado by 5.8 Colorado +2.5 COLORADO (L)
Connecticut at Louisville Louisville by 8.5 Louisville +2 LOUISVILLE (W)
Kent State at Bowling Green BGSU by 8.6 BGSU +2 BGSU (L)
Nebraska at Oklahoma State Nebraska by 5.5 Nebraska -6 Okla St (L)
Georgia Tech at Clemson Clemson by 14.8 Clemson -6 Clemson (W)
Kansas State at Baylor Kansas St by 0.8 Kansas St +6 KANSAS ST (W)
Western Michigan at Akron W. Mich by 12.1 W. Mich -7.5 W. Michigan (W)
Rice at Central Florida UCF by 31.8 UCF -22 C. Florida (W)
Wisconsin at Iowa Iowa by 2.7 Iowa -6 Wisconsin (W)
Houston at SMU SMU by 17.0 SMU -7.5 Smu (L)
3:00pm Central Michigan at Northern Illinois NIU by 12.5 NIU -9 N. Illinois (W)
3:15pm Marshall at East Carolina ECU by 18.9 ECU -12.5 E. Carolina (W)
3:30pm UL-Monroe at Middle Tennessee MTSU by 10.4 MTSU -12 UL-Monroe (L)
4:00pm Washington State at Stanford Stanford by 42.6 Stanford -35 Stanford (L)
New Mexico State at Idaho Idaho by 26.9 Idaho -23.5 Idaho (W)
Western Kentucky at UL-Lafayette ULL by 9.8 ULL -6 UL-Lafayette (L)
Hawaii at Utah State Hawaii by 16.7 Hawaii -3 Hawaii (W)
5:00pm Colorado State at Utah Utah by 35.0 Utah -30.5 Utah (W)
Eastern Michigan at Virginia Virginia by 17.3 Virginia -24 E. Michigan (L)
6:00pm South Carolina at Vanderbilt S. Caro. by 29.2 S. Caro -12.5 S. Carolina (W)
UAB at Mississippi State Miss. St. by 22.7 Miss. St. -20 Miss. St. (L)
Texas A&M at Kansas A&M by 29.3 A&M -14 A&M (W)
Alabama at Tennessee 'Bama by 32.1 'Bama -16.5 Alabama (W)
Ball State at Toledo Toledo by 20.7 Toledo -12 Toledo (L)
6:30pm Georgia at Kentucky Kentucky by 4.8 Kentucky +3.5 KENTUCKY (L)
North Carolina at Miami Miami by 9.6 Miami -6.5 Miami (W)
7:00pm Fresno State at San Jose State Fresno by 20.1 Fresno -19.5 (!) Fresno St. (L)
Air Force at TCU TCU by 22.2 TCU -19.5 Tcu (W)
Oklahoma at Missouri Mizzou by 6.5 Mizzou +3 MIZZOU (W)
8:05pm Tulane at UTEP Tulane by 3.9 Tulane +9.5 TULANE (W)
9:00pm San Diego State at New Mexico SDSU by 36.3 SDSU -23.5 Sdsu (L)
9:15pm Washington at Arizona Arizona by 16.5 Arizona -6.5 Arizona (W)

Picks I am Feeling Safest About:

  1. Texas -21 Iowa State.  It's only 21?

  2. Miami -6.5 North Carolina.  No reason why, really.

  3. Utah -30 Colorado State.  Utah's rolling.

  4. WVU -14 Syracuse.  This feels like a 20-pointer to me.

  5. SMU -7.5 Houston.  Houston's reeling, and SMU's fast-paced enough to win by 20 if they get an advantage.

Picks I am Feeling Queasiest About:

  1. Mizzou +3 Oklahoma.  I probably don't need to explain why here.

  2. E. Michigan +24 Virginia.  Not sure they can stay that close to any BCS conference team, even UVa.

  3. Kansas State +6 Baylor.  Baylor can be bowl eligible with a win, so maybe they're in for a letdown ... but the first truly big game in Waco for a while could make for a great(ish) atmosphere.

  4. Stanford -35 Washington State.  Wazzu's defense has been improving, and the pace might not be high enough for 35 points.

  5. Maryland +4 Boston College.  No reason why, really.

Latest News

In This Article

Teams
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Rock M Nation

You must be a member of Rock M Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Rock M Nation. You should read them.

Join Rock M Nation

You must be a member of Rock M Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Rock M Nation. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker