Here's the path:
1.) Auburn becomes the clear number one in the human polls after wins over Alabama in the Iron Bowl and South Carolina in the SECCG. If the number two in the human polls isn't getting many number one votes, it makes them much easier to pass.
2.) With their bias towards recent results, the human polls value Missouri's late win against Oklahoma in the Big 12 championship game very highly. It's enough to get us to number 3, ahead of Michigan State for the first time in the human polls. The Mountain West winner and Boise probably fall behind earlier in the season, as their SOS catches up with them.
3.) The human polls are now fairly consistent in ranking:
4.) The computers continue to hate Oregon and love Missouri. Oregon stays clear of the top 5 in the computer rankings, as they are right now (the comp polls that matter currently have them at 6, 6, 8, 8, 10). Missouri, meanwhile, surges ahead on the backs of two more wins notched over elite competition and sees numbers mildly better than their current ones (1, 2, 2, 2, 3)
5.) Missouri's being ranked 5 places higher on average in the computer polls is enough to counteract the Duck's one place advantage in the human polls. All hell breaks lose in BCS land.
Either way, should make for a great season. Poll analysis can be fun, but let's not let it distract from the product on the field. The rest of the season should be a blast no matter what the polls think of us, and we shouldn't let them put a damper on what should be a wild ride, successful or no.