Ken Pomeroy projects 10-6 conference record for Tigers, 23-7 overall
by MizzouCus on Nov 8, 2010 9:59 AM CST
Email
PrintTake a look at the complete schedule here. Keep in mind, the projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the individual game predictions. (In Mizzou's case, it doesn't equal...the individual game projections give the Tigers at 12-4 conference record and 25-5 overall.)
Here's what jumped out to me. Rankings are according to Ken Pomeroy's system.
Key wins
- 73-71 vs no. 11 Georgetown (Neutral)
- 77-69 vs no. 38 Vanderbilt (Home)
- 76-72 vs no. 8 kansas State (Home)
- 75-72 vs no. 7 Baylor (Home)
- 74-73 vs no. 3 kansas (Home)
Projections says Mizzou goes undefeated at home, including three wins over top-10 teams.
Key losses
- 71-70 vs no. 9 Illinois (Neutral) - First loss of the season
- 71-70 vs no. 35 Texas A&M (Road) - First conference loss
- 73-70 vs no. 17 Texas (Road) - Really? Could happen, but I like our chances here.
- 77-70 vs no. 3 kansas (Road)
- 77-72 vs no. 8 kansas State (Road)
So of our five "projected losses", all are away from home and all are close (three are one-possession games). Three are against top-10 opponents, two of which are on the road.
Pomeroy gives the Tigers 0% chance of finishing undefeated, and 0.03% chance of sweeping the Big 12. (So you're telling me there's a chance...)
The projections give the conference championship to kansas, with Mizzou finishing fifth, I think (loss to Texas gives the Longhorns the tiebreaker and a first-round bye in the Big 12 tournament).
How accurate do you think this is? Would you be happy with this season?
FanPosts may be posted by any RMN member and may not reflect the views of the management staff of Rock M Nation or SB Nation.
12 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
I see us losing 4 games this year, Illinois, @K State, @Kansas, and one wild card game we shouldn't lose...
Finishing 3rd or 4th in the Big 12. I don’t see Texas finishing ahead of us, as I don’t think Texas is going to be THAT good. The Big 12 North will be college basketball this year, and all eyes will be on us, K State, and Kansas as we all fight it out.
Texas very well may finish ahead of us..
Because they only play one game against kU, K St, and us. The south is easier in basketball.
Annoying You Since 1986
Yeah good point...
Speaking of that, what’s going to happen to Big 12 basketball scheduling with the new conference?
Double round robin home/home
18 game schedule.
Annoying You Since 1986
I hope Oklahoma stays lousy for a few more years
So we can pile up the wins on them.
by Professor Chaos on Nov 9, 2010 9:15 PM CST up reply actions
I really like the new basketball scheduling
but not so much the football. Mostly because you can lose games in basketball, and it only makes your team better and you can still make the tournament. Losses in the football season knocks you out of contention so fast.
"Blaine Gabbert sucks at life, bring in little gabbert, he will do better."
-Girl behind me at a game
by jack.nowland on Nov 10, 2010 7:52 PM CST up reply actions
What you mean you don't like opening every conferenence season for the next 15 years wirh Oklahoma?
Annoying You Since 1986
Personally
I think the new scheduling will help recruiting a LOT in football. If we can keep bringing in talented kids, these tough games are what make the season fun!
As long as you win some of them.
Yes
Annoying You Since 1986
Seems fair
and I look forward to beating Kansas by 1 at home. That sounds like it will be a hell of a game.
by Beware the Molinas on Nov 8, 2010 5:17 PM CST reply actions
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
