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Devil's Advocate: Success at the Wide Receiver position

Do these two men hold the key to success for the Missouri passing game in 2010? (Photo: RMN's own Bill Carter)

Here at Rock M Nation, we pride ourselves in trying to avoid/fight the mob mentality that dominates The Interwebs. All those months of skepticism at RMN about lines of thinking that are a little too easily accepted for our tastes have led me to an unintended fondness for contrarianism. Contrarian pieces on SB Nation are nothing new (the inestimable T. Kyle King penned a fantastic series titled Kyle Gets Contrary for Dawg Sports). But this summer, I'm launching a series titled "Devil's Advocate" in which, regardless of my own personal beliefs, I'll attempt to challenge some of Missouri fans' most commonly-held beliefs. Today's truth to challenge:

"The success of the Missouri receiving corps falls on either Jerrell Jackson or Wes Kemp"

Star-divide

Entering 2009, Bill and I looked at the Missouri receiving corps and expressed reservations about Mizzou potentially not having a true No. 1 threat. Danario Alexander and Jared Perry were inconsistent at best in their first three seasons at Mizzou, and those behind them were still virtual unknowns.

Then the 2009 season played out, and Bill and I couldn't have been more delightfully wrong.

With Alexander now gone [and Perry, for that matter], Missouri fans and coaches have seemingly anointed Jerrell Jackson as the next top target, and it's not altogether unreasonable. Jackson has had flashes of brilliance [the end around against Kansas] interspersed with flashes of bewilderment [the taunting penalty against Kansas]. No one should expect Jackson to replace Alexander, and to Missouri fans' credit, I don't think anyone has. 

Kemp presumably comes in to take Perry's No. 2 role, a spot for which his large frame may be ideally suited. Kemp's hot start to 2009 raised expectations, only to have them slowly dissipate after getting annihilated by Ndamukong Suh on a screen play against Nebraska and crucially dropping a perfectly thrown bomb from Blaine Gabbert against Oklahoma State.

So, that settles it, right? Jackson and Kemp's ability to settle into their roles will determine whether or not the receivers are successful, right? 

Not quite.

Star-divide

When the Missouri offense has clicked at full throttle at times during the last four seasons, there's generally one overlying theme as to why: Options. Chase Daniel's greatest asset as a quarterback was neither his accuracy nor his ability to create as plays broke down. It was his ability to assess a defense's weak points and deliver the ball on time that truly set him apart. Colorado shades its Cover 1 to take away Maclin and/or Franklin? Daniel opts for Coffman instead. Kansas wants to focus on Maclin at Arrowhead in 2007? Daniel finds Alexander and Saunders a combined 16 times.

How many times in 2009 was Danario Alexander able to bail out Blaine Gabbert? On several occasions, Gabbert seemed locked in on Alexander, and thanks to Alexander's superior speed and ability to make plays on the ball, it wouldn't matter. Was it explosive? Absolutely. Was it efficient? Not really.

For Missouri to click on all cylinders, it's going to be absolutely necessary that Gabbert grows from "supremely talented gunslinger" to "supremely talented field general." This means better ball distribution not just for the hell of it, but to better attack the changing weaknesses of opposing defenses. And what is the other crucial element in this equation? Wide receiver depth.

T.J. MoeL'Damian Washington, Michael Egnew, etc. These are the names will determine wide receiver success in 2010. Missouri fans can't and shouldn't expect Maclin- or Danario-esque numbers from Jackson or Kemp in 2010. Instead, what Missouri truly needs is Saunders-esque or Brad Ekwerekwu-esque performances down the line from those in the best position to capitalize against opposing defenses. That means minimization of the drops and the development of consistently solid performances that earn Gabbert's trust.

Explosive years from Jackson and Kemp would be great, but it's the rest of the pass catchers that'll determine the success of the receiving corps [and, ergo, the Mizzou offense] in 2010.

Poll
Which factor is more important to the success of Missouri's aerial attack?
Standout performances by Jackson and Kemp
78 votes
Balance throughout the entire receiving corps
210 votes

288 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 35 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I would like to add...

An addendum. I was looking at Domino’s basic numbers from last year (ESPN’s), and without the YAC, to me it looks like, aside from the Illinois game, Gabbert locked on to him at the Colorado game. Again, I don’t have his YAC numbers, which I assume are high. But what this limited information tells me is that Gabbert TRIED to start out the year spreading it around, then figured out that Alexander was money. Honestly, I see this next season playing out a bit like that, though I do believe the spread will be distributed to 2-3 specific individuals…but I also believe this will be accompanied by a more balanced rushing/passing numbers. Not more rushes, but I believe more out of the rushing attempts.

Formerly known as Mizzou Grad

http://twitter.com/Ausgiano

by Ausgiano on Jun 17, 2010 9:30 AM CDT reply actions  

This -- absolutely

Gabs isn’t much at all like Chase Daniel. Gabs is more of a go-to-my-guy-until-they-stop-it QB rather than the answer-to-every-riddle QB that was Daniel.

That’s why I picked “standout performances.” Unlike last year when Gabbert had no real on-field history with any of the receivers, this year he’ll have had game experience with Kemp and Jackson while the new guys will be trying to catch up. He’s going to lean on them. That is his personality.

I’m cool with that. The trick is, like RPT mentions, is to break his tendency to lock on right at the snap. If he can learn that we may not see him in Columbia for a third year.

"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin

by dcrockett17 on Jun 17, 2010 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

I voted for:

standout performances from Jackson and Kemp. I know Balance seems better, but it seems like whenever we have balance it’s a bunch of people getting 3-400 yards and 1-3 touchdowns each. I’d rather have two guys putting up 1000 yards and grabbing 6-7 TDs than that.

by JohnMatuszakloveschunk on Jun 17, 2010 9:33 AM CDT reply actions  

I also vote for Jackson and Kemp, because of the numbers game

If one or two of Moe/Woodland/Washington/Egnew/Stricker/any of the freshman don’t play well, then they get replaced by the next in the line. It’s more certain that we’ll get acceptable production from that area, even if the attrition takes a little time. On the other hand, Jackson and Kemp are pretty entrenched, and save injury, are going to play the vast majority of snaps. If they underperform, then they have the capability to drag down the passing attack moreso than a guy who will simply lose his spot if he drops a couple balls.

"I'm a genius, but I'm a misunderstood genius."
"What's misunderstood about you?"
"Nobody thinks I'm a genius."

by Transmogrified Tiger on Jun 17, 2010 9:43 AM CDT reply actions  

I could see it going either way

I mean Denario’s problems were largely from injuries, but it seems our receivers can go from stud to dud and back again depending on the year.

I can’t believe I just typed out “stud to dud” I deserve a banning just for that.

by asdtg2 on Jun 17, 2010 10:12 AM CDT reply actions  

I think ideally we get both.

In 2007 and 2008, it wasn’t an either-or situation. The ball was still getting spread around a lot, but Maclin in particular was a threat to break a huge play at any given moment, but the fact of the matter was that we had other receivers (and tight ends) all over the place who had no problem coming down with the ball and making some plays.

That being said, I feel pretty good about the possibility of both of those things happening again. That is, that at least one player will turn into that big play threat, and that everyone else will be at least able to play possession. In general, I have every confidence in this coaching staff’s ability to assemble a high-scoring offense, especially if Gabbert makes the jump we all hope he does in terms of the mental game and the running game comes together like we all thought it would last year.

Making fun of the "Mizzou Needs a Fullback" Club since...well, for a while, anyway.

by jaeger on Jun 17, 2010 10:56 AM CDT reply actions  

I've long been a believer in balance

but balanced poor performances get you nowhere. You need several high level performers paired with a couple of very high level performers.

by AlaTiger on Jun 17, 2010 10:57 AM CDT reply actions  

was anyone really "mad" at jerrell when he got that taunting penalty?

I thought it was funny as hell.

Great Odin's Raven I love Mike "The Predator" Dixon!

by pinkelposse on Jun 17, 2010 10:59 AM CDT reply actions  

I was

I’m not a fan of stupidity

by AlaTiger on Jun 17, 2010 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions  

For some reason

I can’t remember it. Can somebody refresh my memory please

by 65 Toss Power Trap83 on Jun 17, 2010 11:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

Actually, Danario had the ball.

Jerrell was just following him in.

But yeah, I thought it was hilarious. Absolutely merited a penalty, but it was hilarious nonetheless.

Making fun of the "Mizzou Needs a Fullback" Club since...well, for a while, anyway.

by jaeger on Jun 17, 2010 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

ya that was it.

I couldn’t remember if jerrell had the ball or was just in a caravan.

Great Odin's Raven I love Mike "The Predator" Dixon!

by pinkelposse on Jun 17, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

Last year

it was somewhat funny because it was added to the kickoff.

If that play were to happen next year, when it would be taking points off the board?

Not so funny.

Pigskin Punditry
Follow me on Twitter
I reject your reality and substitute my own." ~ Adam Savage, Mythbusters

by D-Sing on Jun 17, 2010 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Agreed. Although that's more about the absurdity of the new rule than anything else.

Making fun of the "Mizzou Needs a Fullback" Club since...well, for a while, anyway.

by jaeger on Jun 17, 2010 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pinkel was mad, but it wasn't at Jerrell

I was standing about 15 feet from Pinkel on the sidelines, and holy crap did he lose his s**t. He even threw his visor. Yeah.

Chicago White Sox Examiner — IT'S A JEEP THING YOU WOULDN'T UNDERSTAND

by UribeAuction on Jun 17, 2010 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

Not at Jerrell?

The officials then?

"I'm a genius, but I'm a misunderstood genius."
"What's misunderstood about you?"
"Nobody thinks I'm a genius."

by Transmogrified Tiger on Jun 17, 2010 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

He may have been pissed at Jerrell

but his vitriol seemed reserved for the officials.

Chicago White Sox Examiner — IT'S A JEEP THING YOU WOULDN'T UNDERSTAND

by UribeAuction on Jun 17, 2010 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

haha good 'ole pinkel.

i’m just glad that the pinkel-stoops “visor wars” will continue

Great Odin's Raven I love Mike "The Predator" Dixon!

by pinkelposse on Jun 17, 2010 2:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

I mean, it was dumb

But on the other hand, if I were 20 and crazy athletic and all fired up and playing Kansas, I’m not ruling out the possibility that I might pick up a taunting penalty.

by Professor Chaos on Jun 18, 2010 5:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

I went with balanced

If there are individuals stepping up every game, and we have a difficulty predicting who that receiver is, than I feel pretty confident about Mizzous chances.

Given enough velocity even a pig will fly

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Jun 17, 2010 11:11 AM CDT reply actions  

well....
How many times in 2009 was Danario Alexander able to bail out Blaine Gabbert? On several occasions, Gabbert seemed locked in on Alexander, and thanks to Alexander’s superior speed and ability to make plays on the ball, it wouldn’t matter. Was it explosive? Absolutely. Was it efficient? Not really.

To Gabbert’s credit, he did have one receiver with exponentially more talent than the others. I remember Chase Daniel, on several occasions, locking in on a certain player. -———>#9

With some transcendent players you can trade explosiveness for efficiency and make for a successful gameplan.

by Zou want a piece? on Jun 17, 2010 11:13 AM CDT reply actions  

-

By no means am I disagreeing with your analysis in the next paragraph, but when you have a player like D. Alexander, you just have to get him the damn ball

by Zou want a piece? on Jun 17, 2010 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

I voted for balance throughout the receiving corps

Although if Gabbert can get the ball to two wide receivers instead of half of his yardage going to one guy, I’m willing to consider that balance.

Pigskin Punditry
Follow me on Twitter
I reject your reality and substitute my own." ~ Adam Savage, Mythbusters

by D-Sing on Jun 17, 2010 12:03 PM CDT reply actions  

I voted for standout performances by Kemp and Jackson.

If you had just one of them performing superbly, I’d take the corps as a whole, but two standout receivers gives you double the reliability. Imagine if Gabbert had the confidence he had for Alexander in Kemp, or Perry as well.

"I'm pretty sure there's more to life than being really, really, ridiculously good looking. And I plan on finding out what that is."

by CEW on Jun 17, 2010 12:05 PM CDT reply actions  

I think we need more of a balanced attack

spreading the ball so we’re not predictable. We need to be better at running the ball than we were last year, but we also have to have the TE back in the mix. I think that killed a lot of opportunity for the WR’s since it didn’t take long for D’s to figure out that we weren’t throwing to our ends.

 TJ Moe will be known now as “Mr. Automatic”. Drops are a thing of the past and he’ll be the clutch guy who will get the yards we must have to sustain a drive.

 Gabbert has to develop the touch to drop a pass on the tall TE’s like Daniel did. I don’t recall a single fade to the corner from him last year. Our ends are 6’5"+ and we need to use that to our advantage. But in 2009, Jones caught 8 passes and Egnew snagged all of 3 and between them they had 0 TD’s. That has to change if we want to keep defenses honest.

Steve

by thedad on Jun 17, 2010 12:05 PM CDT reply actions  

That's a little bit of a misunderstanding, though.

Talking about the TE’s. Danario spent pretty much the whole year playing TE, in terms of lining up where Coffman and Rucker did. Tight end in Missouri’s spread mostly just seems to mean “big receiver,” and Danario was that.

As far as the lack of fade routes, it seems like we just weren’t in the red zone that much last year (because of how explosive our offense was), and when we were, we relied on the run game, which was supposed to be a strength.

Bottom line, I don’t think it matters whether Gabbert throws the fades, whether Jones or Egnew turns into a regular target in the red zone, or whether or not TJ Moe turns into a monster. Whatever works is what we should do, and like I said, I think this coaching staff has earned confidence in their ability to put together an offense that will score points.

Making fun of the "Mizzou Needs a Fullback" Club since...well, for a while, anyway.

by jaeger on Jun 17, 2010 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wouldn't standout performances by Kemp/Jackson theoretically help...

guys like Moe, Washington, Woodland, Egnew, etc.? If the defense has put more effort into shutting down Jackson/Kemp, wouldn’t that open up more space for the secondary guys?

Of course, that’s assuming Moe can catch the ball…which doesn’t seem to be a given.

Chicago White Sox Examiner — IT'S A JEEP THING YOU WOULDN'T UNDERSTAND

by UribeAuction on Jun 17, 2010 12:25 PM CDT reply actions  

Are you saying

Pressure is cumulative? You better wait until November, sir.

by hed64 on Jun 17, 2010 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

I hate to say that it all rests on Kemp and Jackson, because it really doesn't.

It could be anybody that steps up to be a number 1 guy, and we do need a go-to receiver. Daniel had Rucker and Coffman as his go-to pass-catchers his first year as a starter, then he got Maclin to go along with them. Last year, Gabbert really only had one guy that he knew could make a play: that was Alexander. Gabbert is a very good quarterback, but he needs to have at least one or two guys that he knows will make a play for him. It could be Jackson or Kemp, it might be a younger receiver like TJ Moe, but there needs to be somebody to step up into a playmaker role.

by StopSpe on Jun 17, 2010 3:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Has anyone played the NCAA 11 Demo yet?

Mizzou is in it. And Kemp has 75 Speed. Compared to Gabbert’s 79 Speed. Anyone feel like this is inaccurate or is it just me?

It's not the size of the dog in the fight; it's the size of the fight in the dog.
- Mark Twain

by T3T on Jun 17, 2010 4:02 PM CDT reply actions  

I've just never seen a WR with Speed less than 78 in these games before Kemp.

It's not the size of the dog in the fight; it's the size of the fight in the dog.
- Mark Twain

by T3T on Jun 17, 2010 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

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