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Study Hall: Mizzou 90, Northwestern State 56

Your Trifecta: Denmon-Ratliffe-Dixon. Your winner: nobody. Though that may have had something to do with the fact that I didn't post a preview thread, and only a few people actually made picks. Go me.

This game was statistically over with 17:00 minutes left. That's a good thing, because Mizzou stopped playing with 9:40 left.

First 30:20: Mizzou 87, Northwestern State 42 (MU 35-for-58 FG, 20 assists, 7 steals, 7 TO)
Last 9:40: Northwestern State 14, Mizzou 3 (MU 1-for-7 FG, 1 assist, 2 steals, 6 TO)

That Mizzou produced the stats below despite doing almost literally nothing for a quarter of the game is pretty damn impressive, huh?

Mizzou 90, Northwestern State 56


Mizzou
NWSU
Pace (No. of Possessions)
67.6
Points Per Minute
2.25
1.40
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.33
0.83
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.38
0.92
2-PT FG% 62.8%
36.6%
3-PT FG% 40.9%
30.0%
FT% 60.0%
61.5%
True Shooting % 62.8%
42.0%




Mizzou NWSU
Assists 21
9
Steals 9
7
Turnovers 13
16
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.31
1.00




Mizzou NWSU
Expected Offensive Rebounds 11
15
Offensive Rebounds 16
16
Difference +5
+1

I'm Running Out Of Words

This was yet another near-perfect statistical performance (for 30 minutes, anyway). Mizzou won the battle on the boards, more than doubled Northwestern State up in terms of ball control numbers (impressive since NWSU relies on pressing and ball control), and shot ridiculously well yet again (despite only Marcus Denmon being able to hit a 3-pointer). Not sure what else there is to say.

Star-divide

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Marcus Denmon
27.3
0.97
28 Min, 31 Pts (11-18 FG, 7-10 3PT, 2-3 FT), 6 Reb, 2 Ast
Ricardo Ratliffe
23.9
1.14
21 Min, 22 Pts (10-11 FG, 2-5 FT), 7 Reb (3 Off)
Mike Dixon
16.8
0.67
25 Min, 19 Pts (7-11 FG, 1-3 3PT, 4-4 FT), 3 Stl, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 4 TO
Kim English
10.6
0.42
25 Min, 9 Pts (4-8 FG, 0-4 3PT, 1-3 FT), 6 Reb (2 Off), 4 Ast, 2 Stl
Matt Pressey
8.7
0.29
30 Min, 5 Pts (2-5 FG, 1-2 3PT), 8 Reb (3 Off), 5 Ast
Steve Moore
3.9
0.17
23 Min, 4 Pts (2-6 FG), 3 Reb (3 Off), 2 Ast
Phil Pressey
0.3
0.01
24 Min, 0 Pts (0-4 FG, 0-2 3PT), 6 Ast, 3 Reb, 2 TO
Andy Rosburg
0.0
0.00
4 Min
Jarrett Sutton
-0.4
-0.07
6 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 3PT), 1 Reb
Kadeem Green
-3.2
-0.23
14 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG), 3 Reb, 3 TO, 4 PF
  • Marcus Denmon's jumper is so pretty that it is always a bit jarring when his shot doesn't go in. Well ... we weren't jarred very much on Friday because most of the jumpers went in. Mizzou shot 40% on 3-pointers despite the fact that Mike Dixon, Kim English and the Presseys combined to go 2-for-11 from beyond the arc. (And even Jarrett Sutton missed one!) All credit goes to Denmon for that. He was unconscious and incredible.
  • Speaking of incredible ... can we bottle up that Ricardo Ratliffe performance and redeploy it during conference play? 'Cardo is shooting incredibly well so far in 2011-12; that baby hook has been nearly unstoppable. This is, to say the least, a very good thing.
  • It's so good to see Kim English playing such well-rounded ball this year. He's always been solid at drawing charges, but this year he's drawing charges, grabbing boards and passing extremely well. And he's apparently watching Hakeem video, too, so there's that. He has improved this year, both in shooting and in doing everything else, and ... well, that's a good thing, too. (Though yes, I am irrationally concerned by his 0-for-4 performance from long-range after I dropped the "He could miss his next 24 and still be shooting 40%" tidbit on multiple jinx-worthy occasions last week.)
  • Phil Pressey in the last two games: zero points (on four shots), 17 assists, three steals, two turnovers. That's just ... weird. And fun. At some point, Mizzou will need him to actually put the ball in the basket again, but for now I'm just going to enjoy the oddity of his stat line.
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Denmon
34%
53%
3.5
35%
53%
9%
3%
Ratliffe
30%
75%
2.2
0%
69%
31%
0%
Dixon
32%
46%
3.6
38%
36%
13%
13%
English
20%
46%
4.1
66%
23%
8%
3%
M. Pressey
9%
47%
3.4
83%
14%
0%
3%
Moore
14%
32%
2.4
63%
32%
0%
5%
P. Pressey
12%
27%
5.0
85%
10%
0%
5%
Green
14%
0%
0.8
0%
25%
0%
75%

To the checklist!

Marcus Denmon's Usage% needs to be 23% or higher. (Yes!)
Kim English's %T/O needs to be at 10% or lower. (Yes!)
Kim English's Floor% should be at 35% or higher. (Yes!)
Ricardo Ratliffe's %Fouled should be at least 10%. (Yes!)
Phil Pressey's Touches/Possession need to be 3.5 or better. (Yes!)
Mike Dixon's %Pass should be 55% or higher. (D'oh!)
Steve Moore's Touches/Possession should be at least 1.0. (Yes!)

Mizzou has done a phenomenal job of maintaining its identity so far, especially after the first two games.

Summary

Mizzou's 7-0. Time to head to MSG and get No. 8.

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome. As you would expect, someone like Kim English has a high Usage%, while Steve Moore has an extremely low one.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For Steve Moore, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.

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Comments

Display:

Not exactly on topic...but...

Sat next to OSOTP at the game Friday night while he surfed RMN on his iPhone. I’m so jealous – not of his iPhone – just the app. All I want for Christmas is SB Nation’s android app!!!

by tigerfan1 on Dec 4, 2011 10:26 AM CST reply actions  

We're going to learn a lot about this team against Villanova and Old Dominion.

They aren’t great teams, but they’re formidable opponents that we’re going to have to play on the road. So far we’ve played only home games, but it might be a pro-Nova crowd at MSG (or at least more Villanova fans than Mizzou fans) and Old Dominion is a good team that we’re playing in their house. If we can win those two games and get to conference season undefeated, that would be very impressive.

by StopSpe on Dec 4, 2011 10:29 AM CST reply actions  

Two things:

Kim did well driving to the basket, which was something that was pointed out as being missed this year. If he can do that and not get stupid charges, then he’s going to be gold.

Also, Flip is giving up a lot of maybe open looks on layups to really, really open looks for assists. He still passes a little to hard around the basket, but I’m not too disappointed in this play.

Upholding fine Mizzou traditions in Maryland.
MvP, RoC official Nemesis

by Ausgiano on Dec 4, 2011 12:01 PM CST reply actions  

not TOO disappointed eh. Aren’t we a program with expectations all of a sudden ;)

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. Experiencing cheering whiplash for decades..

by Wan Ihite on Dec 4, 2011 5:20 PM CST up reply actions  

12K +

A nice crowd – even if they didn’t all stay until the end.

The sleeper has awoken. . .awakened. . .he woke up.

by SleepyFloyd7 on Dec 4, 2011 1:35 PM CST up reply actions  

well

KG played a miserable game (obviously it’s excusable, baby-steps). Otherwise, what can you find fault with? I’ll be interested to see the Villanova preview piece as I’m completely unfamiliar with their team and personnel this year.

"I try to shoot shots that I know are going to go in."
-Marcus Denmon

by ttt on Dec 4, 2011 1:51 PM CST reply actions  

I don't know

Ratliffe has missed two shots over his last 3 games. And I saw Marcus turn the ball over once against NWST, so he could work on that.

"I try to shoot shots that I know are going to go in."
-Marcus Denmon

by ttt on Dec 4, 2011 4:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Do you know where I could watch it online?

by jrfulmer on Dec 4, 2011 5:13 PM CST via iPhone app up reply actions  

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