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2011 NFL Draft Profile: Blaine Gabbert

The right arm is NFL-ready. Is the rest of his game? (Photo by Bill Carter)

If you peruse around the NFL wing of SB Nation (and why wouldn't you?), you're probably well aware that draft prep is in full swing. With Mizzou players once again in demand (hasn't this recent stretch been quite nice?), NFL bloggers and fans having been asking for insight on next string of Tigers to test the NFL waters. I've tried to add my thoughts in this post, but a range of opinions from the community would be greatly appreciated to help paint a full picture for visiting readers. Add your thoughts in the comments.

Blaine Gabbert Draft Profile

MEASUREMENTS: 6-5, 235 pounds, 4.62-4.85 40-yard dash

TWITTER SUMMARY: Forget Mizzou's "system." Between a cannon arm and a 6'5" frame, Gabbert has always seemed genetically engineered to be an NFL quarterback.

STATS, STATS, STATS: Year-by-year stats at Missouri:

2010 (Jr.): 13 games started, 301-of-475 (63.4 percent), 3186 yards (6.7 per attempt), 16 touchdowns, 9 interceptions, 127.03 rating
2009 (Soph.): 13 games started, 262-of-445 (58.9 percent), 3593 yards (8.1 per attempt -- thanks Danario Alexander), 24 touchdowns, 9 interceptions, 140.46 rating
2008 (Fr.): 5 appearances, 5-of-13 (38.5 percent), 43 yards

Star-divide

THINGS THE PROS GET RIGHT:

You can't miss his arm. You just can't. Almost every quarterback can get a receiver the ball on a 15-yard out; very few of them can do it on a rope with zero arc from the opposite hashmark. A lot of quarterbacks can find a receiver along the sideline; very few of them can do it by beating the zone with an 18-yard laser in between a corner and safety sitting in the Cover 2. If you watch Mizzou's game tape, you'll understandably be assaulted by footage of screens and four-yard hooks. Don't mistake what Missouri does with what Blaine Gabbert can do. He steps into his throws regularly, he's largely accurate on his short and intermediate throws, and watching him throw a deep in is a simple pleasure in life.

Scouts and analysts have also talked about his surprising fleetness of foot. No one is mistaking him for Cam Newton, and shifting direction isn't really his forte, but given an open lane, he can make you pay:

Scouts are also right about being concerned about Gabbert's ability to read defenses, and more importantly, feel pocket pressure. Gabbert's reads improved as his career progressed, but Missouri's offense minimizes a lot of the heavy mental lifting that might be required at the next level. In the minds of Missouri fans, the pocket presence will perhaps forever stand out as the one defining criticism of Gabbert's time at Mizzou. In the same way Peyton Manning has an uncanny ability to take small steps to avoid pressure, Gabbert had a preternatural ability to scramble or roll into pressure. And, on a significant number of occasions, Mizzou's offensive line had Gabbert perfectly protected, only to see him roll into trouble when his early options didn't come open.

THINGS THE PROS GET WRONG:

The pros will deservedly drool over Gabbert's arm strength and tight spiral and probably immediately come to the conclusion that he possesses an incredible deep ball. But Gabbert's inability to hit receivers downfield for most of 2010 continued to baffle most Missouri fans.

Now, the pros may be correct in saying that Gabbert is unpolished, though I'm not sure it's entirely a knock on him. Gabbert missed most of his senior season in high school to injury, played almost no time as a freshman, played with an ankle injury that murdered his mobility for the bulk of his sophomore season, and finally had a full healthy season to put it all together in 2010. Is there still room for growth? Absolutely. But while draft analysts evaluate "the final product," so to speak, Gabbert's growth continues to prove that he's still in his formative stages.

NON-FOOTBALL THING YOU MAY FIND ENDEARING/CHARMING/INTERESTING:

Does your fine, upstanding NFL franchise operate within close distance of a market that sells steaks and asparagus? If not, you may be the Baltimore Colts drafting John Elway or the San Diego Chargers drafting Eli Manning.

According to the stream of photos uploaded to his Twitter account, Gabbert eats a meal consisting of steak and asparagus somewhere in the ballpark of eight days a week (yes, I realize what I said). "Blaine eats steak and asparagus" became such a common storyline that the Columbia Missourian even ran a feature titled Cookin' With Blaine, in which you too can learn the secrets of heating meat and vegetables over medium heat! In fact, Rock M Nation had this photo exclusive the day Gabbert declared for the NFL Draft:

Gabbert_grills_money_medium

And another thing, if you want an interesting soundbite, draft Aldon Smith instead. Everything Blaine Gabbert does seems modeled after an NFL quarterback. That includes his interviews, which range from "intelligently innocuous" to "mind-numbing cliche machine." He'll be a dream for your franchise's media relations crew and a frustrating puzzle for your reporters. Generally speaking, he says exactly what he's supposed to say. Every now and then, he'll give you a glimpse into both his personality and his intellect, making the other 99 percent of his interviews that much more frustrating.

TOTAL SUMMARY GRADING OF OVER/UNDERRATED:

Blaine Gabbert has found a number of champions in the media, but he's also found a number of critics, notably Wes Bunting of National Football Post. And while this bit of fence-sitting isn't a hot sports opinion that will blow up our page views, I kind of agree on both sides. Gabbert has every single physical tool that makes NFL scouts tingly, including a rocket arm that can dent receivers' sternums. And while I think concerns about his "meekness" are overblown (being overly vocal does not immediately equal leadership), the concerns about his ability to read defenses and pressures in real time are very much a concern. But that's what you're getting with Gabbert. You can be concerned about his footwork from under center or his reads. You can't be concerned about his skillset. Ultimately, how much do you trust your coaching staff to turn NFL talent into NFL success?

I CAN HAZ LINKS? Yes, you can:

-- ESPN DraftTracker ($)
-- Mocking The Draft
-- Sporting News
-- CBS Sports
-- Yahoo! Shutdown Corner
-- NFL Draft Scout
-- National Football Post

Just because Gabbert isn't throwing doesn't mean you shouldn't be watching the NFL Scouting Combine on NFL Network through March 1.

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

Display:

Are we sure we want the community to chime in on BG?

“The Community”, as you’re calling them, have attached Blaine to the Hero/Goat yo-yo and have wound him up so many times I’ve lost count. I have defended him, and his respective Tiger teams, countless times across the bar, to people who tell me he’s (amongst other more personally insulting things) “awful, horrible, worst Mizzou QB in a long time, weak-armed, weak-minded, soft, slow…” Whew.

I see an NFL talent squeezed into a passing-spread offense. He has great touch on those over the LB/under the safety throws and can hit all the out routes, spot on. How often was he asked to make those throws in this offense? Not often. Every slant and bubble screen, and jet-reverse-play-action-screen moved this offense down the field, in the way that HCGP and OCDY wanted. But smart football fans, scouts, McShay and Kiper, etc could all see through that.

The kid is big. He’s strong. He’s smart. He has every intangible. I think that slowing the game down for his progression reads is going to be his biggest challenge moving forward.

Any of the Top 10 draft slots would be lucky to have him on their roster. Mike Mayock, on “the Herd” yesterday, said BG was the only QB out of the first bunch that he was “sold” on.

If I was in a war room from pick 11 on, I would be delighted if Blaine fell to me, and it would probably only benefit BG to go somewhere where he would be in competition with an established QB, maybe even back someone up for a year. But if I missed on him in the first round… I’d wait for Dalton out of TCU.

Just one Defender of the Blaine’s take on the situation.

Bet me!

by TigerBartender on Feb 25, 2011 9:41 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

BTW, that's the Tiger "Community" as a whole....

Not RMN. RockM’ers are a level-headed bunch who don’t tolerate much in the way of mindless hysteria-think.

Bet me!

by TigerBartender on Feb 25, 2011 9:46 AM CST up reply actions  

I appreciate this comment

As a fan that “focuses” on QB play, I see some of the same traits and attributes that you have described in your analysis of Blain Gabbert. I admit to two major concerns. 1. I don’t think his upside is nearly as high as Cam Newton’s. 2. Gabbert, statistically, didn’t dominate in his coference and carry his team. His TD/int ratio is rather average considering the spread offense he played.

If Gabbert was unable to put a team on his back in the college, why would he be able to do it on the pro level? Potential franchise QB’s carry the offense over stretches. I have questions as to whether Gabbert is even capable of this.

by Ravens One on Feb 26, 2011 4:43 PM CST up reply actions  

two things

I have the same grill as Blaine. Today. In three months, not so much.

Blaine is a great scrambler when you have WR that like to deliver crushing blocks .

What do you mean I can't retire at 32?

by Ausgiano on Feb 25, 2011 9:46 AM CST reply actions  

I hope...

that the pressure / scrambling into pressure is something that Blaine can work on or be trained out of.

As far as meekness goes, the post-game interview vs. Oklahoma proved to me this kid has fire and intensity. If I can quote correctly “You’re going to give us respect or we’re going to take it.” No, he didn’t get all WWE red-faced pointing into the camera and holding the microphone arm… but do you really need to? If he falls to Minnesota I am going to be happy for a long time – if they draft him / get their draft card to the table on time, that is…

"When among evil companions, try to fit in." - Wild Bill Donovan

by Kpz1234 on Feb 25, 2011 10:33 AM CST reply actions  

i hope not.

the vikes are known for qb development like jenny craig is known for beer and hot wings.

"You can't get a job without experience and you can't get experience until you have a job. Once you solve that problem you are home free." -Jack Buck

by threadkiller on Feb 25, 2011 12:29 PM CST up reply actions  

And I’d say that with new ownership and new coaching staff this year, chances are much better than before.

"When among evil companions, try to fit in." - Wild Bill Donovan

by Kpz1234 on Feb 25, 2011 9:02 PM CST up reply actions  

i hope not. ;-)

"You can't get a job without experience and you can't get experience until you have a job. Once you solve that problem you are home free." -Jack Buck

by threadkiller on Feb 25, 2011 10:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Two things of my own.

Like others, Blaine’s #1 skill he needs to work on is feeling the rush and stepping up/footwork in the pocket. Because of this, I think Blaine would benefit from going somewhere in which he has time to really improve in that area. I think it is easily fixable, but it may take a season of being a backup. There were times this year, especially during the OU and A&M games where Blaine seemed to really improve in that area, and his numbers in those games seemed to reflect that. So, the ability to do it is there, but he needs to be able to do it all the time.

Second, I am so happy to have had Blaine at Mizzou during his career, but there were times when I wondered if it wouldn’t have been better for Blaine if he’d gone to a school that runs a more pro-style set. At times, to me at least, he seemed like a square peg in a round hole running the spread offense. It led me to start thinking that with Blaine’s talents and size that he’d maybe be a better pro than college quarterback due to the system. I may be way off on this, but I think Blaine could have been a better college QB had he been under center taking 3, 5, and 7 step drops or running play action fakes.

All that being said, I’m very happy for Blaine and wish him the absolute best at the next level. I think whatever team drafts him will ultimately be very happy with their pick even if it’s a year or two down the road. I will miss Blaine at Missouri, but I will be proud that he’ll be representing Mizzou at the next level.

He hit it good. He hit it good.

by Jack618 on Feb 25, 2011 11:53 AM CST reply actions  

My take

Blaine Gabbert is the hardest throwing quarterback I’ve ever seen in college (I’m not an obsessive fan but I’ve seen my share of games). When he tries to throw it hard, it’s an absolute rocket. Therefore I think it’s telling that he’s also skilled at the touch passes that require lofting it over the linebackers.

When Mizzou had Chase Daniel, the offense was a machine largely because Chase was almost robotic in his consistency; though there were some throws that were never asked of him. With Blaine Gabbert, Mizzou’s offense was not quite as efficient, mainly I think because Gabbert wasn’t as consistent. However, with Blaine you knew that each play was an opportunity for greatness, because he had much more of an arm than Chase.

For instance the Nebraska game in 2010 was mostly a disaster because Nebraska’s d-line was in Gabbert’s face before a one-mississippi count on most plays, but Mizzou still converted the first three third downs of the second half, almost primarily because of absolutely sick throws from Blaine (one example here: beware, it uses a free tribune click!.) It’s what made Mizzou fans hopeful in that game, and what made Nebraska fans nervous.

Like many others have said, his pocket presence was shaky at times, but definitely something that’s a lot easier to fix than a weak arm or poor accuracy.

"I have CDO. It's like OCD, but the letters are in alphabetical order. Like they should be."

by BigMOman on Feb 25, 2011 1:25 PM CST reply actions  

I also like...

the speed of his delivery on the 8-15 yard passes. His arm hardly has to come back. He doesn’t have a wind up.

Reminds me of one Dan Marino, in that regard. I guess also the hair at times.

Good luck Blaine. Get those feet and feelers right and you’ll do fine.

Dr. Ausgiano schools me in the classroom and on the field of battle

by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Feb 25, 2011 2:28 PM CST reply actions  

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