Missouri 89, SE Louisiana 53: Study Hall

Dak Dillon-USA TODAY Sports

Since CenturyLink has decided for the third straight day that I don't need better than about 1KB of internet before 9am, I can't really pull links for a links post. So we'll start with basketball. (You're getting so very close to Mediacom Territory, CenturyLink, just so you know.)

Your Trifecta: Brown-Clark-Ross. I expected three guards ... just not THESE three guards...

Winning by 36 is more fun than barely beating UCM.

Missouri 89, Southeastern Louisiana 53

Mizzou
SE LA
Pace (No. of Possessions) 65.1
Points Per Possession (PPP) 1.37 0.81
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.56 0.85
2-PT FG% 55.9% 41.2%
3-PT FG% 52.2% 25.0%
FT% 55.6% 66.7%
True Shooting % 64.6% 41.0%
Mizzou SE LA
Assists 14 17
Steals 5 2
Turnovers 9 9
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.11 2.11
Mizzou SE LA
Expected Offensive Rebounds 11.2 14.5
Offensive Rebounds 13 8
Difference +1.8 -6.5
  • SE Louisiana: 17 assists on 21 baskets. That feels like something a little worrisome, like teams with good ball movement will be able to score quite a bit on Missouri this year. But a) teams with good ball movement score quite a bit against anybody, and b) SELA still averaged just 0.81 points per possession.
  • It was definitely all or nothing for SELA. Seventeen assists usually suggests quality offensive flow, but SELA still shot just 41 percent on 2-pointers, 25 percent on 3-pointers, and got to the line just six times. Mizzou was called for 14 fouls but almost never got whistled in the act of shooting.
  • Only 36 fouls! Better than 73.
  • Mizzou kind of wasted a great 3-point shooting night when it didn't need one, but I guess the bright side is that even if the Tigers went 6-for-23 instead of 12-for-23, they still win by 18.
  • Ten players played at least 11 minutes for Missouri. Seven of them had a defensive rebound rate of at least 16 percent, including Wes Clark (22%), Mizzou's smallest player. That's quality team rebounding right there. Of course, team rebounding means minimal transition and pace; and 65 possessions is a pretty slow pace. But I won't complain about aesthetics in a 36-point win.
Dak Dillon / USA Today sports

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Jabari Brown 16.9 0.54 13 Min, 19 Pts (6-11 FG, 2-5 3PT, 5-10 FT), 7 Reb, 2 Stl
Wes Clark 16.3 0.63 26 Min, 13 Pts (5-9 FG, 3-3 3PT), 7 Reb, 4 Ast
Earnest Ross 12.1 0.43 28 Min, 12 Pts (4-8 FG, 3-5 3PT, 1-4 FT), 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 3 Blk, 2 TO
Stefan Jankovic 11.8 0.66 18 Min, 9 Pts (3-5 FG, 2-3 3PT, 1-3 FT), 5 Reb (2 Off), 2 Ast
Johnathan Williams III 7.7 0.39 20 Min, 7 Pts (2-2 FG, 3-4 FT), 6 Reb, 2 TO
Jordan Clarkson 7.1 0.31 23 Min, 14 Pts (5-12 FG, 1-5 3PT, 3-3 FT), 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO, 3 PF
Ryan Rosburg 6.3 0.42 15 Min, 7 Pts (3-4 FG, 1-1 FT), 2 Reb, 3 PF
Torren Jones 3.1 0.26 12 Min, 3 Pts (1-1 FG, 1-2 FT), 3 Reb, 2 PF
Corey Haith 3.0 0.60 5 Min, 3 Pts (1-1 3PT)
Keanau Post 0.9 0.08 11 Min, 2 Pts (1-3 FG), 3 Reb
Danny Feldmann -0.4 -0.04 11 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 3PT)
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Brown 27% 44% 2.6 23% 42% 31% 4%
Clark 18% 60% 3.8 72% 28% 0% 0%
Ross 22% 40% 3.4 57% 26% 11% 6%
Jankovic 18% 55% 3.3 61% 26% 13% 0%
JW3 15% 50% 2.0 45% 15% 25% 15%
Clarkson 36% 37% 3.9 40% 41% 8% 10%
Rosburg 19% 59% 2.4 50% 34% 7% 9%
Jones 8% 62% 0.7 0% 38% 62% 0%
Post 14% 29% 0.8 0% 100% 0% 0%
  • Granted, I'd prefer he make better than 50 percent of his free throws, but if Jabari Brown has improved his ability (and his decision-making) to include hurling himself at the basket any time a defense over-pursues on the perimeter, he's going to score a lot of points this year. Only poor FT shooting held him under 20 points.
  • Wes Clark was 3-for-12 from the field in exhibition play, 0-for-5 from 3-point range. He was … a little better than that on Friday night. I won't overreact to the good or the bad, but let's just say that any time Clark is posting better than 15 on the AdjGS scale, Mizzou's probably winning.
  • Also: Anytime JW3 and Jank are combining for double-digit points and rebounds, Mizzou's in very good shape. That was just about the perfect Jankovic on Friday night: an extra shooting guard on offense and an actual rebounding presence on defense. When he's on (never a given), he makes it nearly impossible for an opponent to match up with Missouri. Mizzou just has to be good enough overall that it doesn't have to count on Jank.
  • But back to JW3 … that's exactly what we want to see from him this year. He doesn't have to post 15 & 10, but if he can get to 7-11 points and 5-9 rebounds, he's going to be a lovely asset as a freshman.
  • He didn't do much (nor did he have to), but Jordan Clarkson is a really smooth athlete. He seems very much in control and confident, he finishes around the rim, and while he was more shooting guard than point guard on Friday, that's just fine when Wes Clark is doing what Wes Clark did. Obviously the fouls are a bit worrisome, but that goes for all of college basketball right now until the rules changes begin to loosen up play a bit.
  • It's been a while since I was as scared of a free throw motion as I am of Torren Jones'. He went 1-for-2 from the line, and honestly, I'll take that every time. If he can avoid dipping below 50 percent, he's got enough assets -- hustle and power, basically -- to put in 8-12 minutes per game this year.

Summary

We saw a lot of exciting things from the youngsters on Friday night, but now they have to prove they can deliver again and again.

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.

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