Missouri 92, Hawaii 80: Study Hall

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Against Hawaii, Mizzou was dealt some adversity with Jordan Clarkson's two quick fouls, and Tim Fuller had to shuffle like crazy in the post, but a lot of players did well, and the Tigers pulled away for a comfortable win in Kansas City.

First:

Your Trifecta: Brown-Criswell-Ross. Hello, Tony.

Links
MUtigers.com: Tigers Top Hawaii, 92-80
MUtigers.com: Hawaii Game Notes
KC Star: Missouri rallies to beat Hawaii 92-80 at the Sprint Center
KC Star: MU notes: Clarkson addresses technical
Post-Dispatch: Mizzou handles Hawaii in KC
The Missourian: Clarkson leads second-half resurgence for Missouri men's basketball
The Missourian: Criswell makes an impact in return from suspension
PowerMizzou: Tigers win in KC return
Fox Sports MW: Tigers sputter, but finally get over the Rainbows
The Maneater: Fans flock to Kansas City for Tigers’ return
The Trib: New crop of Tigers get taste of Kansas City
Mizzou Network: HIGHLIGHTS Mizzou tops Hawaii 92-80 in Kansas City
Mizzou Network: POST-GAME: Jabari Brown Hawaii Post-Game Interview
Mizzou Network: POST-GAME: Tony Criswell Hawaii Post-Game Interview
Mizzou Network: POST-GAME: Tim Fuller Hawaii Post-Game Interview

Mizzou 92, Hawaii 80

Mizzou
Hawaii
Pace (No. of Possessions) 77.5
Points Per Possession (PPP) 1.19 1.03
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.56 1.19
2-PT FG% 63.8% 50.0%
3-PT FG% 33.3% 23.8%
FT% 62.5% 76.0%
True Shooting % 62.9% 51.3%
Mizzou Hawaii
Assists 16 8
Steals 7 5
Turnovers 16 13
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.44 1.00
Mizzou Hawaii
Expected Offensive Rebounds 11.0 14.7
Offensive Rebounds 13 12
Difference +2 -2.7
  • With all context removed, this looks like a pretty solid "Mizzou got its point guard in trouble but beat a decent Big West squad with good size" box score. Mizzou turned the ball over a lot (albeit with a pace that makes those numbers look worse than they were) and fouled a bit too much, but the Tigers got a lot of looks near the hoop, handily won on the glass, and won the ball-control battle by enough to win comfortably. There were defensive lapses, sure, and the whistles were out of control for a while (welcome to college basketball in 2013-14), but the Tigers took care of business.
  • Those shooting numbers are fantastic. Let's rack that up in every game.
  • Considering Hawaii's quality size -- Isaac Fotu and Christian Standhardinger are both 6'8, 220+ with skill -- and Mizzou's questionable post play so far this year, those rebounding numbers (and the number of easy dunks the Tigers produced) are very, very encouraging.
Denny Medley / USA Today Sports

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Jabari Brown 23.5 0.62 38 Min, 23 Pts (8-13 FG, 3-6 3PT, 4-6 FT), 5 Reb (2 Off)
Tony Criswell 14.9 0.68 22 Min, 11 Pts (5-6 FG, 1-1 FT), 9 Reb (2 Off), 4 PF
Earnest Ross 12.5 0.40 31 Min, 12 Pts (4-9 FG, 0-3 3PT, 4-7 FT), 5 Reb, 5 Ast, 2 Stl, 3 TO
Ryan Rosburg 10.4 0.47 22 Min, 9 Pts (4-5 FG, 1-2 FT), 6 Reb, 2 Blk, 4 PF
Keanau Post 7.7 0.85 9 Min, 6 Pts (3-3 FG), 2 Blk
Wes Clark 7.4 0.31 24 Min, 8 Pts (2-3 FG, 1-2 3PT, 3-4 FT), 5 Ast, 2 Stl, 4 TO, 3 PF
Johnathan Williams III 7.2 0.30 24 Min, 7 Pts (3-4 FG, 1-4 FT), 8 Reb (2 Off), 2 TO
Jordan Clarkson 5.3 0.23 23 Min, 13 Pts (5-15 FG, 0-1 3PT, 3-4 FT), 3 Reb, 2 Ast, 3 TO
Shane Rector 1.1 0.15 7 Min, 3 Pts (0-1 FG, 3-4 FT), 2 TO
Stefan Jankovic -0.1 N/A 0+ Min, 1 Reb
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Brown 20% 52% 1.7 24% 53% 18% 4%
Criswell 13% 78% 1.5 47% 47% 6% 0%
Ross 22% 40% 3.9 63% 19% 11% 6%
Rosburg 14% 58% 0.9 0% 67% 20% 13%
Post 15% 100% 0.9 0% 100% 0% 0%
Clark 16% 44% 4.3 75% 8% 8% 10%
JW3 15% 42% 1.6 40% 27% 20% 13%
Clarkson 39% 31% 3.7 36% 46% 9% 9%
Rector 31% 29% 4.4 50% 8% 25% 17%
  • I feel confident in saying that Missouri is going to win any game in which Criswell, Rosburg and Post combine for 33.0 adjusted points. They were great. Criswell played like he had something to prove (and after his somewhat shoddy exhibition play and suspension, he did), Rosburg was well-rounded, and Post played big and handled passes well for easy dunks. Granted, Criswell and Rosburg also managed to commit eight fouls in 44 minutes, but as long as they're both playing well, that doesn't matter.
  • Post in no way logged major minutes, but we did get our first glimpse of Good Keanau yesterday, and it was easy to like what we saw.
  • It felt like Jabari Brown made a lot more than three 3-pointers, didn't it?
  • JW3 does work on the glass. I'd obviously like to see a little more offense from him, but he again proved that he will be a solid role player this year while he gets his full game figured out.
  • The minutes distribution for this game was ... not what I would have expected: JW3 24, Criswell 22, Rosburg 22, Post 9, Jankovic 0+, Torren Jones 0. It worked, though.
  • Wes Clark loses control from time to time, but he really does have a pretty mature game overall. His biggest issue right now could simply be the reach-ins. He's committed seven fouls in two games.
  • Shane Rector could be a hell of a defender at the point. He looked confident and calm for a freshman playing his first collegiate game, but I'm intrigued by the game he brings to the table. Watch the turnovers, though. (That last sentence goes for almost every freshman point guard in the history of college basketball.)
  • This isn't a great free throw shooting team. But I guess we were already catching on to that. It's early, obviously, but Mizzou's only hitting 61 percent of its freebies for the year. Clarkson's great (12-for-14), but Brown and Ross have combined to make just 23 of 41 (56%), and since they're the two players most capable of slashing and drawing contact, they're leaving quite a few points on the board. If each had made three more FTs this year, they would be at 70 percent overall … plus, Brown would be averaging 21.7 points. That they're only six behind a pretty good rate reminds you that we're still dealing with a small sample size with those two (plus, they combined to hit 75% last year), but considering the bigs are in no way adept at hitting free throws either, this could obviously be an issue.

Summary

Solid win. Mizzou was dealt some adversity with Clarkson's two quick fouls, and Tim Fuller had to shuffle like crazy in the post, but a lot of players did well. Unlike the Jordan Clarkson Game against SIU, in which Clarkson was brilliant and nobody else averaged even 0.35 AdjGS per minute, five Tigers averaged at least 0.40 on Saturday, and Clarkson wasn't even one of them. We need a few more games to figure out the real Mizzou, I guess, but yesterday was encouraging.

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.

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