Mizzou 92, Central Missouri 79: Study Hall

USA TODAY Sports

Your Trifecta: Clarkson-Ross-Brown. Again, get used to this.

First, some links.

MUtigers.com: Mizzou Tops Central Missouri, 92-79
MUtigers.com: Post Game Quotes

Head Coach Frank Haith Quotes:

On Tonight's Game...

"Give Central Missouri credit. Kim's (Anderson) teams are always well-coached and they came out playing with great pride and really tested our club. We knew this was going to be a challenging game and my hats are off to them. We just made a few more plays down the stretch and were able to get some timely shots to finally fall in the final 10 minutes."

On Freshman Johnathan Williams III...

"Johnathan (Williams) settled down in the second half and was able to make some plays for us. He is getting better every day and I anticipate him improving each time we step on that court. I was really pleased with his rebounding. He grabbed 13 and found a way to make contributions on both ends of the court."

On playing with a quicker lineup in the second half...

"It was a group that was producing for us in the second half. Earnest was hitting a few shots, as were Jabari and Jordan, but we have to be more consistent on the defensive end. They were zoning us and that was open and those guys made the open plays."

The Trib: Tigers rally late to top Central Missouri
The Missourian: Missouri basketball defeats University of Central Missouri in final exhibition
KC Star: MU needs second-half rally to beat Central Missouri in exhibition basketball game
Post-Dispatch: Mizzou basketball avoids scare from Mules
PowerMizzou: Tigers survive exhibition scare
Mizzou Network: HIGHLIGHTS: Mizzou vs. Central Missouri
Mizzou Network: Post-Game: Haith on win over Central Missouri
Mizzou Network: Post-Game: Earnest Ross on his 25 pts against Central MO

Clarkson
After year on sidelines, Jordan Clarkson ready to run Missouri’s offense - KansasCity.com

I did not see one second of this game.

I followed along on Twitter and chatted with people who saw it, but I did not personally see one second, one shot, one possession. That's rare, but when it happens, I tend to go about these game recaps in a different way: I ask questions to the field.

Mizzou 92, Central Missouri 79

Mizzou
Mules
Pace (No. of Possessions) 69.7
Points Per Possession (PPP) 1.32 1.13
Points Per Shot (PPS) 2.30 1.98
2-PT FG% 54.3% 60.5%
3-PT FG% 33.3% 25.9%
FT% 72.1% 46.2%
True Shooting % 61.4% 52.2%
Mizzou Mules
Assists 11 19
Steals 2 4
Turnovers 9 4
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.44 5.75
Mizzou Mules
Expected Offensive Rebounds 12.5 13.9
Offensive Rebounds 15 9
Difference +2.5 -4.9

BCI! BCI! BCI!

So ... yeah. UCM didn't just win the ball control battle; the Mules destroyed Mizzou in the ball control battle. Now, Mizzou's offense didn't do too poorly in this regard, and the starters, the guys who will be handling the ball the most this year, did well. Once again, Jordan Clarkson and Jabari Brown combined for a lovely BCS -- seven assists, one steal, two turnovers -- and Wes Clark settled down quite a bit as well. But UCM had Mizzou's defense on a string for a good portion of the game.

When you don't force turnovers, you are victim to a team's shooting. For a while, UCM shot well enough to stay close, then lead. And even though the Mules cooled off late, they still averaged 1.13 points per possession, an absurdly high average for a Division II squad, even one as well-coached and sound as Kim Anderson's squad. That's alarming; it's not a death knell -- among other things, a) Oklahoma City didn't exactly light up the D in the first exhibition, and b) we're still talking exhibitions -- but it's a red flag.

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Jordan Clarkson 25.4 0.77 33 Min, 24 Pts (7-14 FG, 1-5 3PT, 9-10 FT), 3 Reb, 3 Ast
Earnest Ross 25.0 0.78 32 Min, 25 Pts (7-13 FG, 4-9 3PT, 7-10 FT), 9 Reb (2 Off)
Jabari Brown 19.8 0.60 33 Min, 19 Pts (3-9 FG, 2-4 3PT, 11-12 FT), 5 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 TO
Johnathan Williams III 12.0 0.38 32 Min, 8 Pts (3-5 FG, 2-6 FT), 13 Reb (6 Off), 2 Blk, 3 PF
Wes Clark 4.0 0.16 25 Min, 4 Pts (1-6 FG, 0-2 3PT), 4 Ast
Tony Criswell 4.0 0.24 17 Min, 5 Pts (2-3 FG, 0-1 3PT, 1-2 FT), 7 Reb (2 Off), 5 PF
Ryan Rosburg 1.4 0.20 7 Min, 3 Pts (1-2 FG, 1-1 FT), 3 Reb (2 Off), 4 PF
Torren Jones 1.1 0.16 7 Min, 2 Pts (1-1 FG, 0-2 FT), 2 Reb (2 Off)
Keanau Post -1.4 -0.17 8 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG)
Stefan Jankovic -1.4 -0.23 6 Min, 2 Pts (1-2 FG), 2 TO
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Clarkson 27% 52% 3.4 46% 36% 18% 0%
Ross 27% 46% 1.9 0% 62% 33% 5%
Brown 24% 43% 3.8 55% 21% 20% 5%
JW3 13% 40% 0.9 0% 49% 41% 10%
Clark 11% 32% 3.4 80% 20% 0% 0%
Criswell 14% 44% 0.9 0% 56% 26% 19%
Rosburg 23% 36% 1.5 0% 54% 19% 27%
Jones 20% 32% 1.4 0% 29% 41% 29%
Post 6% 0% 0.4 0% 100% 0% 0%
Jankovic 32% 22% 1.9 0% 50% 0% 50%
  • Earnest Ross and Jabari Brown: 6-for-13 from 3-point range. Everybody else: 1-for-8.
  • Wes Clark in exhibition play: 3-for-12 shooting, 0-for-5 from 3-point range.
  • Adj. GS per minute in exhibition play:
    0.60 or higher: Earnest Ross (0.77), Jordan Clarkson (0.64), Jabari Brown (0.63)
    0.40 - 0.60: Nobody
    0.20 - 0.40: Johnathan Williams III (0.35), Stefan Jankovic (0.28)
    0.10 - 0.20: Ryan Rosburg (0.13), Tony Criswell (0.13), Torren Jones (0.12)
    0.00 - 0.10: Wes Clark (0.06), Keanau Post (0.05)

    Or, to put it another way, Clarkson-Brown-Ross and a whole lot of nothing. That could be an issue.
  • First half: 28 fouls. TWENTY-EIGHT FOULS IN TWENTY MINUTES. (Tony Criswell and Ryan Rosburg: 24 minutes, nine fouls.) Please, oh please, let them be right when they say that teams will adjust, and games won't still be lasting 2.5 hours in March. I know why the rules are being enforced so strictly, I really do; and I hope it works. But wow, if it doesn't, college basketball just went from sometimes unwatchable to simply unwatchable.

Summary

Alright, so here are the questions for the field:

1. What was UCM doing on offense that made them so completely invulnerable to turnovers and so dominant in the ball-control game?

2. Mizzou basically has a Big Three this year in Clarkson, Brown, and Ross. Who's most likely to make this Big Three a Big Four?

3. You must pick two of the following players to start at the 4 and 5 for Missouri: JW3, Keanau Post, Ryan Rosburg, Tony Criswell, Torren Jones, or Stefan Jankovic. Who do you choose?

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.

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