I plan on doing a little stat analysis for each Mizzou game, but it's not to the play-by-play level, so we won't be using the "Beyond the Box Score" moniker. Instead, we'll just hang out beside the box score for a bit.
(Here's the official box score.)
Mizzou 92, Oral Roberts 83
| Mizzou | ORU | |
| Points Per Minute |
2.30 | 2.08 |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) |
1.29 | 1.17 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) |
1.42 | 1.54 |
| 2-PT FG% | 55.8% | 42.5% |
| 3-PT FG% | 46.2% | 57.1% |
| FT% | 66.7% | 78.1% |
| Mizzou | ORU | |
| Assists | 18 | 10 |
| Steals | 10 | 6 |
| Turnovers | 10 | 12 |
| (Assists + Steals) / TO | 2.80 | 1.33 |
| Mizzou | ORU | |
| Expected Offensive Rebounds* | 12 | 12 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 13 | 11 |
| Eq. Rebound Margin | +1 | -1 |
* This is an idea discussed last week. Depending on the number of 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and FTs shot, you can generate a number of expected offensive rebounds and compare that to the actual number.
- Mizzou won this game on offense. They forced only 12 turnovers, but 1.29 points per possession is very high. They shot well and passed well, and though Oral Roberts is not a Big 12 caliber team, they're at least a solid mid-major, and 1.29 PPP is high against even that level of team. And as we'll see in the player analysis, I'm giving DeMarre Carroll and Miguel Paul a lot of credit for that offensive efficiency.
- ORU's Robert Jarvis scored 34 points on just 18 shots, accounting for a large % of ORU's offensive success. Jarvis aside, the Golden Eagles averaged just 1.36 points per shot (39% FG)...which is still pretty high, but better.
- Thanks to Leo Lyons' 8-for-10 performance from the FT line, Mizzou actually approached 70% as a team. Of course, 70% still isn't very good. Mizzou's guards went 6-for-9 from the line...67% isn't great, but it's also a small sample size, so we'll allow it for now.
Player analysis after the jump.
| Player | EqPts* | EqPts/Min | Line |
| Leo Lyons | 22.73 | 0.81 | 26 Pts, 8-for-10 FTs, 8 Reb, 4 OffReb |
| DeMarre Carroll | 21.64 | 0.72 | 16 Pts, 8 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 Stl |
| Miguel Paul | 12.92 | 0.68 | 9 Pts, 5 Ast, 1 Stl |
| Matt Lawrence | 10.43 | 0.40 | 8 Pts, 2 Ast, 2 Reb |
| Zaire Taylor | 7.94 | 0.38 | 11 Pts, 3-for-6 FGs, 3 Reb, 2 Stl |
| Kim English | 5.76 | 0.58 | 4 Pts, 2-for-3 FGs, 2 Ast |
| Marcus Denmon | 4.67 | 0.27 | 2 Pts 1-for-2 FGs, 2 Reb, 2 Stl |
| Keith Ramsey | 2.02 | 0.22 | 4 Pts, 1 Stl, 1 Blk |
| Justin Safford | 1.87 | 0.23 | 5 Pts, 2-for-3 FGs, 3 Reb, 4 PF |
| Laurence Bowers | 1.25 | 0.25 | 1 Reb, 1 Blk |
| J.T. Tiller | -0.47 | -0.02 | 7 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 TO, 4 PF |
| Steve Moore | DNP | ||
| Michael Anderson Jr. | DNP | ||
| Jarrett Sutton | DNP |
EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week. Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket. I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.
- Best game yet from Miguel Paul, who managed 5 assists and a steal in just 19 minutes. Zaire Taylor played well, but Paul played better.
- Four assists from DeMarre Carroll. Nice. DeMarre and Leo switched roles, as Leo took the shots and DeMarre found the open man.
- I order these by EqPts scored. In theory, you'd like to see the EqPts/Min figure go from highest-to-lowest on this list as well, as that would suggest that Mike Anderson played the best performers the most. That said, Anderson did a pretty good job here. The only area that could have been better was at SF, where Matt Lawrence's 26 minutes were probably a bit much, and Kim English's 10 minutes were not quite enough.
- JT Tiller's 3 turnovers and 4 fouls put him in the negative. He wasn't needed much yesterday, so instead of saying he had a bad game, we'll say he was saving himself for more important occasions.
- At some point, we need to just start considering Safford, Ramsey and Bowers all one player. What was that one player's (Jaureth Bamford) line? 22 minutes, 9 points on 5 shots, 5 rebounds (1 offensive), 1 assist, 1 steal, 2 blocks. Not bad. Oh yeah, and 5 fouls.
Season to Date
| Player | EqPts/Gm | EqPts/Min | Line |
| DeMarre Carroll | 20.39 | 0.72 | 19.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 2.7 APG |
| Leo Lyons | 16.81 | 0.69 | 18.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.56 PPS |
| Zaire Taylor | 8.81 | 0.33 | 5.0 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.8 APG |
| J.T. Tiller | 8.34 | 0.37 | 8.0 PPG, 2.8 APG, 2.5 SPG |
| Marcus Denmon | 6.97 | 0.40 | 5.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Matt Lawrence | 6.28 | 0.31 | 8.3 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 39.5% FG |
| Miguel Paul | 6.08 | 0.39 | 6.2 PPG, 2.3 APG, 0.15 APM |
| Keith Ramsey | 3.78 | 0.36 | 4.2 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 1.5 OffRPG |
| Justin Safford | 3.02 | 0.25 | 4.0 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.8 FoulsPG |
| Kim English | 2.90 | 0.24 | 5.0 PPG, 1.5 RPG |
| Laurence Bowers | 1.95 | 0.24 | 1.3 PPG, 2.8 RPG |
| Jarrett Sutton | 1.77 | 0.59 | 3.0 PPG, 1 Point Per Minute! |
| Michael Anderson Jr. | 1.08 | 0.20 | 1.0 PPG, 1 Coach's son |
| Steve Moore | -0.34 | -0.07 | 1.7 PPG, 0.7 RPG, 0.3 BPG |
- Clearly we need to play Jarrett Sutton more...at 20 minutes per game, he'd average 20 points, right? Ri...right? That's how stats work, right?
- Sutton's greatness aside, the minutes distribution is pretty strong. I do think Paul will slowly overtake Taylor for PT...don't really care who starts, but Paul will start getting more and more of the key minutes.
- I also like how Marcus Denmon continues to figure out ways to contribute despite his shot not falling. He only took two shots against ORU but still contributed. He and English should continue to overtake Matt Lawrence as well...at least in games where Lawrence's shot isn't falling.
- Jaureth Bamford: 28.0 MPG, 9.0 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.0 BPG, 0.7 SPG. Not bad at all.
I'm cranking through this quickly, so if I need to explain something in the stats, just ask in comments...