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Mizzou-Colorado: Statistical Laughter

Seriously, this was something else...

Mizzou Buffs
Points Per Minute
2.73 1.55
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.44 0.82
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.82 1.15
2-PT FG% 65.0% 38.3%
3-PT FG% 60.0% 28.6%
FT% 67.9% 70.8%
Mizzou Buffs
Assists 26 9
Steals 12 8
Turnovers 10 26
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
3.80 0.65
Mizzou Buffs
Expected Offensive Rebounds 9 14
Offensive Rebounds 7 15
Eq. Rebound Margin -2 +1
  • You're not going to see many conference games that are almost statistically over at halftime.  What's most amazing is, it was 21-17 at one point.  And then Mizzou finished the game at an 86-45 clip.
  • And just think what they could have done if they'd won the rebounding battle!
  • I like Ball Control Index, btw (thanks, rpt)...not only does "BCI" fit pretty well, but I can also pretend that my initials are involved, which is extra fun.  And speaking of BCI...I mentioned a couple of games ago, when Mizzou de-fanged Coppin State, that having a BCI of over 3.00 for a half was ridiculously good.  And then Mizzou almost put up a 4.00 for an entire game...against a conference opponent, no less.
  • I mentioned this in the links, but it really was probably good for everybody involved to show that they don't need Leo to succeed.
  • Oh yeah, and 1.82 points per shot is insanely high.

So in a game where a teams scores about 30 points below its season average, you don't expect to unearth many good performances.  And guess what--you won't here either.

Player EqPts* EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 18.03 0.82 13 Pts, 11 Reb, 2 Ast, 2 Blk
Laurence Bowers 14.95 0.79 16 Pts on 7-for-8 shooting, 3 Reb, 2 Ast, 2 Stl
Marcus Denmon 13.00 0.62 13 Pts, 4 Ast, 3 Reb
Justin Safford 11.74 0.78 13 Pts, 2 Ast, 2 Blk
J.T. Tiller 10.62 0.89 13 Pts on 6 shots, 2 Ast
Kim English 10.48 0.75 12 Pts on 6 shots, 2 Ast, 3 Stl
Miguel Paul 8.66 0.46 8 Pts, 3 Ast
Keith Ramsey 7.55 0.36 5 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Blk
Zaire Taylor 6.71 0.35 4 Pts (all from the FT line), 6 Ast
Matt Lawrence 5.72 0.38 9 Pts, 2 Stl
Steve Moore 1.26 0.14 3 Pts, 2 Reb
Michael Anderson Jr. 0.98 0.10 0 Pts, 2 Reb
Jarrett Sutton -1.26 -0.31 0 Pts

EqPts = a take-off of the Net Equivalent Points idea discussed last week.  Taking points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account, the team's points are re-distributed to figure out who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.  I can go into detail on the formula if anybody asks, but for now just know that that was the intent.

  • Against Nebraska, two players averaged more than 0.50 EqPts Per Minute.  Against Colorado, six did...and one more came close.  This was just a ridiculous game.
  • Gotta love that Bowers went 7-for-8, and that his only miss...was an alley-oop dunk.  He has pushed back ahead of Ramsey in the battle for My Favorite Player, and he is all but commanding more playing time at this point.  The way he played defense last night, I could see a road ref nailing him for five fouls in about four minutes (everything he does seems to be on the borderline between foul and not foul), but if that happens...oh well.  We've got other options.  Dude needs to be on the court as much as possible, least until teams start figuring out his weaknesses.
  • Miguel Paul still made a couple dumb plays, but they were aggressively dumb, and he made up for them with some nice minutes.  It's his first truly decent performance in a while, and hopefully it doesn't stop when we play teams better than Colorado.
  • I was watching Marcus Denmon a lot yesterday...he seemed to be pretty down on himself early on, but once he a) made a shot, and b) made that ridiculous pass to DeMarre for the dunk, he loosened up and started playing really well.  This is the time of year where freshmen start hitting the wall...the competition takes a step up, as does the scouting, and the going is harder for the newbies.  It will be interesting to see what kind of game Denmon has when opponents make adjustments to his style.
  • Meanwhile, Kimmie English looked like a junior or senior out there, and it didn't really even show up statistically (though his stat line was outstanding).  None of the other newbies (not even Ramsey) look as comfortable on the court as he does, and while I was a little surprised that he got the start, I'd been pushing for it for a while, and I don't think he did a thing to dissaude Anderson from starting him again.
  • Zaire Taylor shot tracker: 0.  I realize in a lot of these games, he doesn't have to shoot, but it still makes me nervous.  Having a pass-first point guard is fantastic, but he still needs to occasionally show opponents that he can put up some points like he did against Georgia.
  • Poor Justin Safford--he had possibly his best game as a Tiger, and I'm still calling for Laurence Bowers to get more and more of his minutes.

vs Major Conference teams (and Xavier)

Mizzou Opp.
Points Per Minute


Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.12 0.99
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.31 1.31
2-PT FG% 54.0% 45.9%
3-PT FG% 32.2% 39.1%
FT% 65.0% 64.7%
Mizzou Opp.
Assists 118 91
Steals 76 38
Turnovers 84 138
Ball Control Index
(Assists + Steals) / TO
2.31 0.93
Mizzou Opp.
Expected Offensive Rebounds 87 84
Offensive Rebounds 87 91
Eq. Rebound Margin E +7
  • Mizzou is still doing okay rebounding on the offensive side of the ball, but their defensive rebounding still leaves something to be desired.  This is another area where Bowers can help--even before yesterday, he had by far the best Defensive Rebounds Per Minute average (0.24).  The worst?  DeMarre Carroll at 0.16.
Player EqPts* EqPts/Min Line
DeMarre Carroll 14.30 0.50 15.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 1.4 APG, 1.7 SPG
J.T. Tiller 13.32 0.53 10.0 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.6 APG, 2.0 SPG
Leo Lyons 11.59 0.48 15.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 2.5 APG
Laurence Bowers 7.90 0.82 6.7 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 1.0 APG
Zaire Taylor 7.64 0.30 6.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.7 APG
Marcus Denmon 6.45 0.38 6.6 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 1.3 APG
Keith Ramsey 6.04 0.40 3.4 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 1.3 BPG
Kim English 5.70 0.42 7.4 PPG, 1.1 APG, 1.0 SPG
Matt Lawrence 4.05 0.19 6.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG
Justin Safford 3.25 0.30 3.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG
Michael Anderson Jr.
1.28 0.17 0.0 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1 Coach's son
Miguel Paul 1.12 0.09 2.9 PPG, 1.3 APG
Steve Moore 1.04 0.15 1.5 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
Jarrett Sutton -0.32 -0.09 0 Walk-On 3's
  • Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers Bowers.

Next up: Iowa State on Saturday.  I assume Leo will be back in the starting lineup, though I'd have no problem with him having to earn it back.  Meanwhile, I have to figure English continues to start as well.  We'll see.