No need for a Saturday morning live thread with the Mizzou game starting so early, so here's a quick, bare-bones post just to get the picks on record.
It was the picks' first good week in a while last week ... but it looked like it was going to be a lot better. Things started out at an 11-2 clip (.846), and we were still at 24-17-2 until a 1-7 slump brought us back to 25-24-2. Luckily, a nice four-game win streak ended the week.
Last Week's Results
| Week 6 | Season | |||
| Type/Range |
W-L |
Win% |
W-L |
Win% |
| ALL GAMES |
29-24-2 | .547 | 132-153-5 | .464 |
| Big 12 Games |
3-3 | .500 | 21-28 | .429 |
| Upset Picks |
1-3 | .250 | 8-15-1 | .354 |
| "LOCKS" |
1-0 | 1.000 | 4-6 | .400 |
| "Feeling Safe" |
2-3 | .400 | 14-16 | .467 |
| "Feeling Queasy" |
5-0 | 1.000 | 17-11-1 | .603 |
| 0-5 point spread |
7-8 | .467 | 37-39-1 | .487 |
| 5-10 points |
7-12-2 | .381 | 35-41-2 | .462 |
| 10-20 points | 5-3 | .625 | 26-49-1 | .349 |
| 20-30 points |
7-0 | 1.000 | 26-14 | .650 |
| 30+ points |
2-2 | .500 | 7-11 | .389 |
I'm not sure what it is about the 20-30 point range, but the picks in that range continue to do quite well. And yes, the picks I really didn't like went 5-0 last week. Of course they did.
This week's picks after the jump.
Your notes:
- "LOCKS" signify games where the spread and projection are more than 17 points apart. At this point, LOCKS are rare, as Vegas seems to have hacked into my damn computer.
- If there is a "(!)" next to the spread, that means the projection and spread are within 2 points of each other ... and you should probably lay off of these picks if you are the betting type. There are far too many of these this week.
- Verdicts in all caps signify games where the underdog is picked to win straight up.
| Date | Time | Game | Projection | Spread | ATS Verdict |
| 10/13 | 7:00pm | Central Florida at Marshall | UCF by 8.8 | UCF -4.5 | C. Florida (W) |
| 10/14 | 6:30pm | S. Florida at W. Virginia | WVU by 16.9 | WVU -10.5 | W. Virginia (W) |
| Kansas State at Kansas | KSU by 14.8 | KSU -2.5 | Kansas St. (W) | ||
| 10/15 | 7:00pm | Cincinnati at Louisville | Louisville by 2.9 | Louisville +3 | LOUISVILLE (L) |
| 10/16 | 11:00am | Missouri at Texas A&M | Mizzou by 8.1 | Mizzou +3.5 | MIZZOU |
| Boston Coll. at Florida St. | FSU by 24.5 | FSU -21.5 | Florida St. | ||
| Vanderbilt at Georgia | Georgia by 6.9 (?) | Georgia -14 | Vanderbilt | ||
| Arkansas State at Indiana | Indiana by 6.4 (?) | Indiana -10 | Arkansas St. | ||
| Illinois at Michigan St. | MSU by 6.99 | MSU -7 (!) | Illinois | ||
| N.C. State at E. Carolina | N.C. St. by 11 | N.C. St. -7.5 | N.C. St. | ||
| Pittsburgh at Syracuse | Pitt by 7.1 | Pitt -1 | Pittsburgh | ||
| Maryland at Clemson | Clemson by 16.3 | Clemson -14 | Clemson | ||
| Southern Miss at Memphis | So. Miss by 16.7 | So. Miss -14.5 | So. Miss | ||
| Miami-OH at C. Michigan | C. Mich. by 12.5 | C. Mich. by 13 (!) | Miami-OH | ||
| Minnesota at Purdue | Purdue by 5.2 | Purdue -5.5 (!) | Minnesota | ||
| 12:00pm | Miami-FL at Duke | Miami by 29.0 | Miami -19.5 | Miami | |
| Bowling Green at Temple | Temple by 14.5 | Temple -20 | Bowl. Green | ||
| E. Michigan at Ball State | Ball St. by 3.8 | Ball St. -15 | E. Michigan | ||
| 1:00pm | UNLV at Colorado St. | Colo. St. by 1.1 | Colo. St. -3 (!) | Unlv | |
| Army at Rutgers | Rutgers by 8.2 | Rutgers -7 (!) | Rutgers | ||
| Akron at Ohio | Ohio by 17.0 | Ohio -16.5 (!) | Ohio | ||
| 1:30pm | W. Michigan at Notre Dame | Irish by 24.5 | Irish -24 (!) | Notre Dame | |
| 2:30pm | Arkansas at Auburn | Auburn by 12.3 | Auburn -3.5 | Auburn | |
| California at USC | Cal by 5.5 | Cal +2.5 | CALIFORNIA | ||
| Middle Tenn. at Ga. Tech | Ga. Tech by 18.6 | Ga. Tech -19 (!) | Mid. Tenn. | ||
| Iowa at Michigan | Iowa by 2.3 | Iowa -3.5 (!) | Michigan | ||
| Texas at Nebraska | Nebraska by 22.4 | Nebraska -9.5 | Nebraska | ||
| Houston at Rice | Houston by 12.2 | Houston -9.5 | Houston | ||
| Wake Forest at Va. Tech | Va Tech by 30.5 | Va Tech -22.5 | Va Tech | ||
| SMU at Navy | Navy by 2.9 | Navy -1.5 (!) | Navy | ||
| Buffalo at N. Illinois | NIU by 12.9 | NIU -14.5 (!) | Buffalo | ||
| Oklahoma St. at Tex. Tech | OSU by 6.5 | OSU +3.5 | OSU | ||
| 3:00pm | UTEP at UAB | UAB by 8.2 | UAB -2.5 | Uab | |
| Idaho at La. Tech | La Tech by 0.4 | La Tech +1.5 | LA TECH | ||
| BYU at TCU | TCU by 32.7 | TCU -29.5 | Tcu | ||
| 5:00pm | S. Carolina at Kentucky | S. Caro. by 14.5 | S. Caro. -5.5 | S. Carolina | |
| N. Carolina at Virginia | UNC by 8.0 | UNC -6.5 (!) | N. Carolina | ||
| Utah at Wyoming | Utah by 22.8 | Utah -20.5 | Utah | ||
| 6:00pm | Baylor at Colorado | Colorado by 6.0 | Colorado +1.5 | COLORADO | |
| Miss. St. at Florida | Florida by 6.6 | Florida -7.5 (!) | Miss. St. | ||
| UL-Monroe at W. Kentucky | W. Ky. by 2.9 | W. Ky. -2 (!) | W. Kentucky | ||
| Iowa State at Oklahoma | OU by 28.0 | OU -23 | Oklahoma | ||
| Tulane at Tulsa | Tulsa by 7.7 | Tulsa -18.5 | Tulane | ||
| Ohio State at Wisconsin | Ohio St. by 20.9 | Ohio St. -4 | Ohio State | ||
| Kent State at Toledo | Toledo by 12.1 | Toledo -3.5 | Toledo | ||
| UL-Lafayette at Troy | Troy by 19.6 | Troy -20 (!) | UL-Lafayette | ||
| 6:30pm | Fla. Int'l at N. Texas | Fla. Int'l by 2.2 | Fla. Int'l -5.5 | N. Texas | |
| Arizona at Washington St. | Arizona by 33.4 | Arizona -23.5 | Arizona | ||
| 7:00pm | Air Force at San Diego St. | SDSU by 1.1 | SDSU +1 | SAN DIEGO ST. | |
| Boise State at San Jose St. | Boise by 43.4 | Boise -41 | Boise State | ||
| 8:00pm | Ole Miss at Alabama | Alabama by 23.6 | Alabama -20.5 | Alabama | |
| 9:15pm | Oregon St. at Washington | Oregon St. by 12.6 | Oregon St. +1.5 | OREGON ST. | |
| 9:30pm | New Mex. St. at Fresno St. | Fresno by 29.4 | Fresno -30.5 (!) | Nmsu | |
| 10:30pm | Nevada at Hawaii | Nevada by 5.5 | Nevada -6.5 (!) | Hawaii |
Picks I am Feeling Safest About:
-
N.C. State -7.5 East Carolina. I really like N.C. State this season.
-
Southern Miss -14.5 Memphis. Memphis is, um, really bad.
-
La. Tech +1.5 Idaho. No idea why Idaho is favored in this one. It's a long trip, and Idaho's just not very good.
-
UNC -6.5 Virginia. Apparently the Cavaliers shot their wad a month ago, and UNC is a lot better than I'd have expected with what they lost.
-
Oklahoma -23 Iowa State. Needless to say, if Iowa State can lose by 41 at home to Utah ... well ...
Picks I am Feeling Queasiest About:
-
Vanderbilt +14 Georgia. If last week wasn't just a one-week blip for Georgia, the Dawgs will win by much more than 14.
-
Michigan +3.5 Iowa. I think Iowa is perfectly built to shut Denard Robinson down. Iowa by 10-14.
-
S. Carolina -5.5 Kentucky. 5.5 points is such a perfect line for this one with all the letdown potential for South Carolina.
-
Ohio State +4 Wisconsin. Just have a feeling about this one ...
-
New Mexico State +30.5 Fresno State. Fresno's just as likely to win by 45 as 20 ...