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UPDATE: Looks like a 28-23 record for the week.
Don't have a ton of time to throw this together, but here are the basics.
Last Week's Results
| Week 7 | Season | |||
| Type/Range |
W-L |
Win% |
W-L |
Win% |
| ALL GAMES |
29-24-1 | .546 | 161-177-6 | .477 |
| Big 12 Games |
4-2 | .667 | 25-30 | .455 |
| Upset Picks |
3-4 | .429 | 11-19-1 | .371 |
| "LOCKS" |
0-0 | N/A | 4-6 | .400 |
| "Feeling Safe" |
4-1 | .800 | 18-17 | .514 |
| "Feeling Queasy" |
1-4 | .200 | 18-15-1 | .544 |
| 0-5 point spread |
12-7 | .632 | 49-46-1 | .516 |
| 5-10 points |
4-8 | .333 | 39-49-2 | .444 |
| 10-20 points | 5-8 | .385 | 31-57-1 | .354 |
| 20-30 points |
3-5 | .375 | 29-19 | .604 |
| 30+ points |
2-0 | 1.000 | 9-11 | .450 |
Another solid week after a series of awful ones, but something feels off about this week's picks. We'll see.
This week's picks after the jump.
Your notes:
- "LOCKS" signify games where the spread and projection are more than 17 points apart. At this point, LOCKS are rare, as Vegas seems to have hacked into my damn computer.
- If there is a "(!)" next to the spread, that means the projection and spread are within 2 points of each other ... and you should probably lay off of these picks if you are the betting type. There are far too many of these this week.
- Verdicts in all caps signify games where the underdog is picked to win straight up.
| Date | Time | Game | Projection | Spread | ATS Verdict |
| 10/21 | 8:00pm | UCLA at Oregon | Oregon by 20.1 | Oregon -22 | Ucla (L) |
| 10/22 | 8:00pm | South Florida at Cincinnati | Cincinnati by 11.5 | Cincinnati -7.5 | Cincy (L) |
| 10/23 | 11:00am | Michigan State at Northwestern | Mich. St. by 25.3 | Mich. St. -6 | Mich. St. (LOCK) (W) |
| Penn State at Minnesota | Penn St. by 2.4 | Penn St. -9.5 | Minnesota (L) |
||
| Purdue at Ohio State | Ohio St. by 40.8 | Ohio St. -24 | Ohio State (W) |
||
| Rutgers at Pittsburgh | Pitt by 18.2 | Pitt -13 | Pitt (W) |
||
| Iowa State at Texas | Texas by 27.1 | Texas -21 | Texas (L) |
||
| Duke at Virginia Tech | Va Tech by 37.9 | Va Tech -26.5 | Va Tech (W) | ||
| Syracuse at West Virginia | WVU by 22.2 | WVU -14 | WVU (L) |
||
| Indiana at Illinois | Illinois by 28.8 | Illinois -14 | Illinois (W) | ||
| Temple at Buffalo | Temple by 1.0 | Temple -7.5 | Buffalo (L) |
||
| Notre Dame at Navy | Notre Dame by 7.5 | Notre Dame -7 (!) | Notre Dame (L) |
||
| 11:30am | Ole Miss at Arkansas | Arkansas by 9.2 | Arkansas -9.5 (!) | Ole Miss (L) |
|
| 12:00pm | Maryland at Boston College | BC by 0.1 | BC -4 | Maryland (W) | |
| Ohio at Miami (OH) | Ohio by 6.5 | Ohio -3 | Ohio (W) | ||
| Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State | ASU by 7.9 | ASU -7.5 (!) | Ark St (W) | ||
| 1:00pm | Wyoming at BYU | BYU by 14.5 | BYU -10.5 | Byu (L) |
|
| 2:30pm | LSU at Auburn | Auburn by 9.4 | Auburn -6.5 | Auburn (W) | |
| Arizona State at California | ASU by 3.9 | ASU +3.5 | ARIZONA ST (L) |
||
| Texas Tech at Colorado | Colorado by 5.8 | Colorado +2.5 | COLORADO (L) |
||
| Connecticut at Louisville | Louisville by 8.5 | Louisville +2 | LOUISVILLE (W) | ||
| Kent State at Bowling Green | BGSU by 8.6 | BGSU +2 | BGSU (L) |
||
| Nebraska at Oklahoma State | Nebraska by 5.5 | Nebraska -6 | Okla St (L) |
||
| Georgia Tech at Clemson | Clemson by 14.8 | Clemson -6 | Clemson (W) | ||
| Kansas State at Baylor | Kansas St by 0.8 | Kansas St +6 | KANSAS ST (W) | ||
| Western Michigan at Akron | W. Mich by 12.1 | W. Mich -7.5 | W. Michigan (W) | ||
| Rice at Central Florida | UCF by 31.8 | UCF -22 | C. Florida (W) | ||
| Wisconsin at Iowa | Iowa by 2.7 | Iowa -6 | Wisconsin (W) | ||
| Houston at SMU | SMU by 17.0 | SMU -7.5 | Smu (L) |
||
| 3:00pm | Central Michigan at Northern Illinois | NIU by 12.5 | NIU -9 | N. Illinois (W) | |
| 3:15pm | Marshall at East Carolina | ECU by 18.9 | ECU -12.5 | E. Carolina (W) | |
| 3:30pm | UL-Monroe at Middle Tennessee | MTSU by 10.4 | MTSU -12 | UL-Monroe (L) |
|
| 4:00pm | Washington State at Stanford | Stanford by 42.6 | Stanford -35 | Stanford (L) |
|
| New Mexico State at Idaho | Idaho by 26.9 | Idaho -23.5 | Idaho (W) | ||
| Western Kentucky at UL-Lafayette | ULL by 9.8 | ULL -6 | UL-Lafayette (L) |
||
| Hawaii at Utah State | Hawaii by 16.7 | Hawaii -3 | Hawaii (W) | ||
| 5:00pm | Colorado State at Utah | Utah by 35.0 | Utah -30.5 | Utah (W) | |
| Eastern Michigan at Virginia | Virginia by 17.3 | Virginia -24 | E. Michigan (L) |
||
| 6:00pm | South Carolina at Vanderbilt | S. Caro. by 29.2 | S. Caro -12.5 | S. Carolina (W) | |
| UAB at Mississippi State | Miss. St. by 22.7 | Miss. St. -20 | Miss. St. (L) |
||
| Texas A&M at Kansas | A&M by 29.3 | A&M -14 | A&M (W) | ||
| Alabama at Tennessee | 'Bama by 32.1 | 'Bama -16.5 | Alabama (W) | ||
| Ball State at Toledo | Toledo by 20.7 | Toledo -12 | Toledo (L) |
||
| 6:30pm | Georgia at Kentucky | Kentucky by 4.8 | Kentucky +3.5 | KENTUCKY (L) |
|
| North Carolina at Miami | Miami by 9.6 | Miami -6.5 | Miami (W) | ||
| 7:00pm | Fresno State at San Jose State | Fresno by 20.1 | Fresno -19.5 (!) | Fresno St. (L) |
|
| Air Force at TCU | TCU by 22.2 | TCU -19.5 | Tcu (W) | ||
| Oklahoma at Missouri | Mizzou by 6.5 | Mizzou +3 | MIZZOU (W) | ||
| 8:05pm | Tulane at UTEP | Tulane by 3.9 | Tulane +9.5 | TULANE (W) | |
| 9:00pm | San Diego State at New Mexico | SDSU by 36.3 | SDSU -23.5 | Sdsu (L) |
|
| 9:15pm | Washington at Arizona | Arizona by 16.5 | Arizona -6.5 | Arizona (W) |
Picks I am Feeling Safest About:
-
Texas -21 Iowa State. It's only 21?
-
Miami -6.5 North Carolina. No reason why, really.
-
Utah -30 Colorado State. Utah's rolling.
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WVU -14 Syracuse. This feels like a 20-pointer to me.
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SMU -7.5 Houston. Houston's reeling, and SMU's fast-paced enough to win by 20 if they get an advantage.
Picks I am Feeling Queasiest About:
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Mizzou +3 Oklahoma. I probably don't need to explain why here.
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E. Michigan +24 Virginia. Not sure they can stay that close to any BCS conference team, even UVa.
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Kansas State +6 Baylor. Baylor can be bowl eligible with a win, so maybe they're in for a letdown ... but the first truly big game in Waco for a while could make for a great(ish) atmosphere.
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Stanford -35 Washington State. Wazzu's defense has been improving, and the pace might not be high enough for 35 points.
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Maryland +4 Boston College. No reason why, really.