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Study Hall: Mizzou vs Harris-Stowe

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We continue our Life Could Be Worse Sunday by reflecting on our first look at the 2010-11 Mizzou Basketball team.

Well that was pretty fun, no?  Below we'll take a look at team stats and player stats just as we will during the season.  Be sure to note the new player tendency table after the jump -- this is perhaps the best way we can learn things about this team even in easy blowouts.

Mizzou 114, Harris-Stowe 60

Mizzou
Opp.
Points Per Minute
2.85 1.50
Points Per Possession (PPP)
1.37 0.72
Points Per Shot (PPS)
1.48 1.07
2-PT FG% 47.2% 33.3%
3-PT FG% 41.7% 35.7%
FT% 77.3% 68.0%
True Shooting % 59.2% 44.8%
Mizzou Opp.
Assists 18 12
Steals 16 4
Turnovers 10 27
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
3.40 0.59
Mizzou Opp.
Expected Offensive Rebounds 17 15
Offensive Rebounds 23 11
Difference +6 -4


Not much to glean here.

Mizzou's good, Harris-Stowe is tiny.  Mizzou had extreme size and athleticism advantages, and they took advantage of it.  The rebounding edge was huge, the BCI edge was comical, the free throw shooting was lovely, nobody got hurt, and it was a fun evening at Mizzou Arena.

If we're picking nits...

Nothing alarming really took place Friday night.  Clearly.  But if we're looking for imperfections, here are some areas for improvement:

  • Harris-Stowe shot 36% from 3-point range. Mizzou was all over the place, jumping into passing lanes and creating chaos, but that occasionally led to breakdowns and open 3's.  That they shot better on 3's than 2's is a bit funny.
  • You'd like for Mizzou to shoot better than 47% on 2-pointers.  Ricardo Ratliffe missed some chipshots you know he's made plenty of times in his career, and maybe the touch will come with time, but considering the size advantage and likely ease of shots, you'd like to see Mizzou over 50%.
  • Mizzou committed ten turnovers.  Six came from Ratliffe, and I will, for now, assume (and hope) that's a bit of an outlier.  That means the other 11 players only combined for four, so we won't sound the alarms just yet.

That's really about it.  It was an easy exhibition game, and Mizzou took care of business.

Mizzou Player Stats

Player
AdjGS* GmSc/Min Line
Laurence Bowers 20.8 1.16 18 Min, 23 Pts (5-11 FG, 13-14 FT!), 6 Reb (5 Off)
Kim English 15.2 0.76 20 Min, 18 Pts (6-10 FG, 4-6 3PT, 2-2 FT)
Phil Pressey 15.0 0.62 24 Min, 12 Pts (5-11 FG, 1-4 3PT, 1-2 FT), 6 Reb (4 Off), 7 Ast, 2 Stl
Mike Dixon 14.9 0.74 20 Min, 15 Pts (6-10 FG, 3-4 FT), 4 Reb, 3 Ast
Justin Safford 11.9 0.70 17 Min, 9 Pts (3-7 FG, 3-5 FT), 12 Reb (5 Off)
Ricky Kreklow 10.6 0.51 21 Min, 9 Pts (3-5 FG, 3-5 FT), 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 4 Stl
Ricardo Ratliffe 10.0 0.46 22 Min, 15 Pts (3-9 FG, 9-12 FT), 10 Reb (4 Off), 4 Blk, 6 TO
Matt Pressey 5.6 0.26 21 Min, 5 Pts (2-8 FG, 1-4 3PT), 3 Reb, 3 Stl, 2 Reb
John Underwood 4.6 0.41 11 Min, 2 Pts (2-4 FT), 4 Reb (2 Off), 3 Blk
Jarrett Sutton 2.0 0.51 4 Min, 3 Pts (1-2 3PT)
Kadeem Green 1.8 0.23 8 Min, 3 Pts (1-3 FG, 1-1 FT), 3 Reb
Steve Moore 0.0 0.00 14 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG), 2 Blk, 5 PF


* AdjGS = a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds.  It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game.  The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Good

  • Bowers, Ratliffe and Safford combined to go 25-for-31 from the FT line.  That's 80.6%.  That's ... um, awesome.
  • Phil Pressey had 7 assists, 2 steals, and one turnover.  That's a BCI of 9.0.  Considering how much Pressey will be handling the ball this season (wait till you see the stats below), that's very, very encouraging.  Yes, the competition will get infinitely better, but that was a great starting point.
  • Ricky. Kreklow. Is. Everywhere.  I called him an octopus with Zac Efron hair in the comments thread.  He hurled himself into passing lanes and made open 3's.  I'll take that.  And I actually giggled out loud when he made the halfcourt 'set' to Pressey to start the breakaway.  And the play where he tipped the pass, dove to slap it toward the middle of the court, and Phil Pressey hit the nitro button to suddenly streak ahead of everybody else for the layup?  Yikes.  These kids are play-makers.  And we get them for four years (probably).
  • With Steve Moore in foul trouble, John Underwood did a damn fine Steve Moore impression.  Blocks, rebounds, picks, and a couple of free throws.  Perfectly happy with that.
  • Jarrett Sutton made a 3!  Sutton is making a nice claim for "Best Walk-On Since Chip Walther" status, though the fact that he's been around for about 12 seasons now seems like an unfair advantage.

Less Good

  • Six turnovers for Ratliffe.  Obviously.
  • Five fouls in 14 minutes for Steve Moore.  Obviously.
  • Kim English is still all points, little else in the box score.  With the role players this team could have, that might not be a bad thing.  But still ... would love to see more than 1 rebound, 1 assist and 1 steal in 20 minutes ... even if just by accident.
  • The Presseys combined for just 17 points on 19 shots.  Guards typically have a lower Pts Per Shot than others, but you still need that in the 1.1 or 1.2 PPS range instead of 0.9.

Now we enter the "new stats" portion of the study hall.  Like I said, this might tell us more about the cupcake games than anything else.

Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Laurence Bowers 38% 47% 3.7 21% 40% 35% 4%
Kim English 20% 57% 2.1 34% 58% 8% 0%
Phil Pressey 20% 49% 5.5 76% 20% 3% 2%
Mike Dixon 22% 58% 3.7 58% 33% 9% 0%
Justin Safford 20% 42% 2.3 36% 43% 21% 0%
Ricky Kreklow 11% 52% 2.0 66% 28% 0% 6%
Ricardo Ratliffe 35% 29% 2.5 0% 39% 35% 26%
Matt Pressey 14% 32% 2.9 69% 31% 0% 0%
John Underwood 6% 38% 0.6 0% 0% 100% 0%
Jarrett Sutton 19% 45% 1.2 0% 100% 0% 0%
Kadeem Green 21% 28% 1.4 0% 64% 15% 21%
Steve Moore 3% 0% 0.2 0% 100% 0% 0%

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via).  The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.  The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.  As you would expect, someone like Kim English has a high Usage%, while Steve Moore has an extremely low one.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?".  The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor."  Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession.  For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range.  For shooting guards and wings, 2-3.  For Steve Moore, 1.30.  You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.

  • What first stands out: Phil Pressey had 1.8 more "touches" per possession than anybody else on the team.  You want a true point guard?  We've got a true point guard.  Gotta love him scoring in double digits while passing 76% of the time.
  • The usage stats give us an interesting look at how the offense flowed. Only two players were above 22% -- Laurence Bowers and Ricardo Ratliffe.  That hints at how a half-court offense might look when Mizzou actually has to use a half-court offense (i.e. when they're not forcing 27 turnovers).  One assumes Kim English's Usage% will go up when Mizzou plays more consequential games (if I remember correctly, he was pretty passive in the exhibition games last year too).

    In all, though, there was a clear pecking order with this offense, and that's not a bad thing.  And you have to love seeing so many guys above the 0.50 AdjGS/min threshold despite only a couple taking a lot of shots.  We'll see what happens in real games, of course.
  • Only two players above 6% in turnovers.  That's a good thing, even if Ratliffe was out of control in that regard.  You can handle one player being like that, especially if he's making up for it with offensive rebounds and blocks.

Summary

Other than Ratliffe's turnovers and the Harris-Stowe 3's, this was basically exactly what you want to see from an easy exhibition, no?  Not much more to say than that.  Hopefully we get to see what Marcus Denmon (who sat out with a shoulder strain) can do in the next game...