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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Missouri 58, Murray State 14 |
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Murray St. | Missouri | Murray St. | Missouri | |||
Close % | 67.3% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
Field Position % | 26.7% | 57.5% | Success Rate | 31.3% | 53.3% | |
Leverage % | 45.3% | 50.6% | PPP | 0.41 | 0.54 | |
S&P | 0.721 | 1.076 | ||||
TOTAL | ||||||
EqPts | 25.9 | 67.5 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
Close Success Rate | 40.0% | 61.0% | Success Rate | 44.1% | 63.6% | |
Close PPP | 0.47 | 0.80 | PPP | 0.50 | 0.89 | |
Close S&P | 0.869 | 1.415 | S&P | 0.938 | 1.530 | |
RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
EqPts | 11.8 | 35.7 | Number | 3 | 1 | |
Close Success Rate | 39.1% | 65.4% | Turnover Pts | 10.1 | 4.0 | |
Close PPP | 0.52 | 0.78 | Turnover Pts Margin | -6.1 | +6.1 | |
Close S&P | 0.906 | 1.429 | ||||
Line Yards/carry | 3.86 | 4.14 | Q1 S&P | 1.125 | 1.553 | |
Q2 S&P | 0.546 | 1.167 | ||||
PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.181 | 1.545 | |||
EqPts | 14.2 | 31.8 | Q4 S&P | 0.438 | 0.743 | |
Close Success Rate | 40.7% | 57.6% | ||||
Close PPP | 0.43 | 0.83 | 1st Down S&P | 0.816 | 1.453 | |
Close S&P | 0.837 | 1.404 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.453 | 1.332 | |
SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 14.3% | 0.0% / 10.0% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.791 | 1.138 | |
Projected Pt. Margin: Missouri +47.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Missouri +44 |
Because it's already Wednesday (I'm always running way behind in the first week), and because the Trib has already done the targets-and-catches part anyway, we'll keep this brief. Well, my version of brief, anyway.
Five Thoughts
- Murray State's yards per play, first 3 drives: 7.1. After: 2.1. That matches up pretty well with Q1 S&P and rest-of-game S&P, no?
- Here are the target-and-catch numbers broken out into standard downs and passing downs (note: this is only for when the game was deemed "close", i.e. within 24 points in the first half, 21 in the third quarter):
Standard Downs
Dorial Green-Beckham: 5 targets, 3 catches, 75 yards
Bud Sasser: 4 targets, 3 catches, 30 yards
Jaleel Clark: 4 targets, 3 catches, 30 yards
L'Damian Washington: 3 targets, 2 catches, 28 yards
Jimmie Hunt: 3 targets, 2 catches, 26 yards
Darius White: 2 targets, 2 catches, 44 yards
Sean Culkin: 1 target, 1 catch, 6 yards
Passing Downs
Marcus Lucas: 4 targets, 3 catches, 23 yards
Jaleel Clark: 1 target, 1 catch, 12 yards
Bud Sasser: 1 target, 1 catch, 11 yards
DGB: 1 target, 1 catch, 8 yards
Henry Josey: 1 target, 1 catch, 2 yards
So James Franklin went with the less-proven (or just younger) guys on standard downs, then leaned on the senior rock (Lucas) on passing downs.
- Passing downs were an issue last season, to put it kindly. Obviously Murray State's defense isn't the best litmus test, but it's still encouraging to see a 64 percent success rate on passing downs.
- Field position domination. This is reflected in average starting field position as well: Mizzou averaged a start at the 35-yard line, and Murray State averaged the 23. (Andrew Baggett is going to be an incredible weapon in that regard this year.)
- Again, Murray State isn't very good. Obviously. But 4.14 line yards per carry is tremendous. Then again, Mizzou averaged 4.45 against SE Louisiana last year, so let's hold that thought for another week...