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Study Hall: Purdue 82, Missouri 61

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Gross.

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Your Trifecta: J3, Shamburger, Wright. Two debuts!
Your Season Trifecta: Clark 9 points, Shamburger 7, Teki 6, J3 3, Rosburg 2, Allen 1, Post 1, Wright 1

Alright, going to try to note some good things from what was a positively wretched basketball game. (Well, a wretched first 20 minutes, anyway ... and if the first 20 minutes are wretched, the last 20 probably don't mean much.)

Purdue 82, Missouri 61

Mizzou
Purdue
Pace (No. of Possessions) 67.1
Points Per Possession (PPP) 0.91 1.22
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.11 1.74
2-PT FG% 34.3% 51.5%
3-PT FG% 35.0% 35.7%
FT% 80.0% 76.7%
True Shooting % 47.8% 62.2%
Mizzou Purdue
Assists 9 12
Steals 7 6
Turnovers 15 16
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.07 1.13
Mizzou Purdue
Expected Offensive Rebounds 13.4 10.6
Offensive Rebounds 11 15
Difference -2.4 +4.4
  • I think the offense may have actually been outworsed (new word!) by the defense in this game. Averaging 0.91 points per possession is bad, but allowing 1.22 might be worse.

    Okay, it's probably not worse. We'll call this one a tie.

  • Good Thing No. 1: The ball handling was better!

  • Ryan Rosburg and Keanau Post (and anybody else Missouri stuck near the basket) were dominated in this game. Dominated. Mizzou shot 34% on 2-pointers (!) and, in terms of expected rebounds, were outboarded (new word!) by 6.8. Guh. To win a game with those disadvantages, you're going to have to make about 15 3-pointers. Mizzou made seven.

  • Good Thing No. 2: Free throw shooting was pretty good! Johnathan Williams III looked especially good from the line.

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Johnathan Williams III 17.6 0.61 29 Min, 14 Pts (3-7 FG, 1-3 3PT, 7-9 FT), 5 Reb (2 Off), 1 Ast, 3 TO, 2 PF
Keith Shamburger 16.2 0.68 24 Min, 11 Pts (3-4 FG, 2-3 3PT, 3-3 FT), 2 Ast, 1 Stl, 3 TO, 2 PF
Namon Wright 9.5 0.48 20 Min, 8 Pts (3-7 FG, 2-4 3PT), 2 Reb, 2 Stl, 1 TO, 3 PF
Deuce Bello 8.7 0.54 16 Min, 8 Pts (3-3 FG, 2-4 FT), 2 Reb, 1 Stl, 2 TO, 4 PF
Tramaine Isabell 7.5 0.50 15 Min, 5 Pts (1-7 FG, 1-3 3PT, 2-2 FT), 2 Reb (1 Off), 2 Ast, 2 Stl, 3 PF
Keanau Post 3.4 0.34 10 Min, 4 Pts (1-1 FG, 2-2 FT), 5 PF
D'Angelo Allen 0.4 0.02 18 Min, 2 Pts (1-5 FG, 0-1 3PT), 3 Reb (2 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Blk, 1 TO, 2 PF
Wes Clark 0.4 0.01 29 Min, 7 Pts (3-10 FG, 1-4 3PT), 4 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 Blk, 3 TO, 4 PF
Montaque Gill-Caesar -3.9 -0.24 16 Min, 2 Pts (1-6 FG, 0-2 3PT), 2 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 TO, 2 PF
Ryan Rosburg -5.9 -0.26 23 Min, 0 Pts (0-5 FG), 2 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Blk, 1 TO, 2 PF
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Johnathan Williams III 24% 38% 2.6 24% 28% 36% 12%
Keith Shamburger 18% 48% 2.7 54% 18% 14% 14%
Namon Wright 20% 33% 1.2 0% 88% 0% 13%
Deuce Bello 21% 49% 1.7 0% 33% 44% 22%
Tramaine Isabell 27% 28% 4.2 57% 34% 10% 0%
Keanau Post 10% 70% 0.9 0% 33% 67% 0%
D'Angelo Allen 17% 20% 2.0 50% 42% 0% 8%
Wes Clark 23% 22% 2.0 31% 53% 0% 16%
Montaque Gill-Caesar 22% 17% 2.4 46% 47% 0% 8%
Ryan Rosburg 13% 6% 1.6 50% 42% 0% 8%
  • Rosburg and Post: 33 minutes. 4 points (1-6 FG, 2-2 FT), 2 Reb, 1 Blk, 7 PF, -2.5 Adj. GS. Wow.

  • Good Thing No. 3: J3! Went up strong, got to the line, pulled down a couple of offensive boards. It's kind of a conundrum with him -- he's got a pretty decent jumper, but he's by far Mizzou's best offensive rebounder. You need him in two places at once. (That might be where Jakeenan Gant is missed.)

  • Wes Clark has had a pretty brutal vacation so far. Hopefully it's because he bumped his knee really hard yesterday (because that's a pretty clear explanation), and hopefully it heals soon. Mizzou's not going to beat anybody good with him languishing around the 0.0 Adj. GS line.

  • Good Thing No. 4: Wright, Bello, and Isabell: 51 minutes, 25.7 Adj. GS points, 21 points, 7-17 FG, 3-7 3PT, 6 Reb, 5 Stl. I'll take that anytime they want to give it.

  • A day after getting a glimpse of how good Teki Gill-Caesar might be one day, we got a massive "He's a freshman!" reminder. While we're talking Teki, though: He committed his second foul with nine minutes left in the first half and Mizzou down 15 points, so Kim Anderson, like every other damn basketball coach on the planet, benched him for the rest of the half. You know, because you want him in there for crunch time (when you're down 25). It continues to blow my mind how automated this move is. If you take out your only proven scorer (one who is not foul-prone and might not commit another foul over the remaining 29 minutes of the game) while down 15, you're probably going to be down 25 when he comes back in. Guys aren't disqualified for getting a third foul in the first half. You can afford to take the risk.

Summary

Yeah, that's not a good look. This team can't afford to underestimate any team, including Chaminade.

Good Thing No. 5: Another game tomorrow. You don't have to wait long to try to build some good feelings back, even if it's just against Chaminade. (Oh please don't let Mizzou lose to Chaminade.)

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.