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Study Hall: Missouri 74, Chaminade 60

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Winning: better than losing.

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Your Trifecta: Wright-Teki-Isabell. Freshman, freshman, freshman.

Your Maui Invitational Trifecta: Teki 5 points, Wright 4, J3 3, Shamburger 4, Isabell 1, Post 1.

Your Season Trifecta: Clark 9 points, Teki 8, Shamburger 7, Wright 4, J3 3, Rosburg 2, Allen 1, Post 1, Isabell 1.

So ... I'm not going to try to put any amazing spin on Missouri beating a D2 team by 14 points. The Tigers came out of the gates like they were shot out of a cannon, then faded and allowed this to become a game to some degree. That's not amazing.

Still, I think it's worth pointing out that, at some point in the first six games of the season, virtually everybody on the roster has looked pretty good. Wes Clark owned most of the first three games of the year. Namon Wright has found his range in the last two. Montaque Gill-Caesar has carried the scoring for about half the season. Johnathan Williams III looked like Missouri will need him to look for decent chunks of the Arizona and Purdue games. Keith Shamburger has been a steadying force. Ryan Rosburg and Keanau Post proved against Arizona that they can almost actually combine for 40 minutes on the court. Tramain Isabell has maintained his high confidence level and provided a lovely 4&4&4 in 18 minutes today. Deuce Bello is as athletic as advertised and shot 5-for-6 from the field the last two games. D'Angelo Allen has scored all sorts of hustle points and shown random J.T. Tiller-esque tendencies.

That's 10 guys, eight of whom are non-seniors, all proving what they can do and hinting that they might be able to do more of it in the future. In a vacuum, that's exciting. It's just probably not all going to come together next week or next month.

Missouri 74, Chaminade 60

Mizzou
Chaminade
Pace (No. of Possessions) 66.8
Points Per Possession (PPP) 1.11 0.90
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.48 1.07
2-PT FG% 51.7% 35.7%
3-PT FG% 42.9% 32.1%
FT% 65.4% 76.5%
True Shooting % 60.2% 47.3%
Mizzou Chaminade
Assists 15 8
Steals 10 8
Turnovers 17 13
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.47 1.23
Mizzou Chaminade
Expected Offensive Rebounds 10.6 13.5
Offensive Rebounds 10 9
Difference -0.6 -4.5
  • Mizzou won this game with ... shooting? What? Mizzou? Ball-handling and rebounding both ended up in Mizzou's favor, but not as much as you'd like to see against what should technically be an outmanned opponent. But while the Silverswords had more offensive success than you'd like to see, the Tigers matched them, mostly because the three freshmen atop the Trifecta shot 16-for-20 from the floor.

  • 16-for-20! And players not named Rosburg shot 16-for-19 from the free throw line, too!

  • And hey, look, only 40 total fouls and 43 free throws! Almost the (gag) lowest numbers of the season!

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Namon Wright 21.8 0.87 25 Min, 21 Pts (7-7 FG, 4-4 3PT, 3-4 FT), 6 Reb, 2 TO, 3 PF
Montaque Gill-Caesar 17.7 0.68 26 Min, 18 Pts (5-11 FG, 4-8 3PT, 4-4 FT), 6 Reb (1 Off), 3 Stl, 2 TO, 4 PF
Tramaine Isabell 11.0 0.61 18 Min, 9 Pts (4-4 FG, 1-1 FT), 4 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 TO, 3 PF
Ryan Rosburg 5.2 0.22 24 Min, 9 Pts (4-5 FG, 1-7 FT), 5 Reb (5 Off), 1 Blk, 4 TO, 2 PF
Deuce Bello 4.2 0.47 9 Min, 5 Pts (2-3 FG, 1-1 3PT, 0-1 FT)
Wes Clark 4.1 0.12 35 Min, 2 Pts (0-7 FG, 0-2 3PT, 2-2 FT), 9 Reb (1 Off), 4 Ast, 3 Stl, 2 TO, 2 PF
Johnathan Williams III 3.7 0.53 7 Min, 4 Pts (1-2 FG, 2-2 FT), 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 TO, 1 PF
D'Angelo Allen 3.2 0.19 17 Min, 3 Pts (1-4 FG, 0-1 3PT, 1-2 FT), 3 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 Blk, 1 TO, 1 PF
Keanau Post 2.6 0.28 9 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG), 2 Reb (2 Off), 1 Stl, 1 Blk, 1 PF
Keith Shamburger 0.5 0.02 30 Min, 3 Pts (0-6 FG, 0-5 3PT, 3-3 FT), 1 Reb, 5 Ast, 2 Stl, 3 TO, 3 PF
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Namon Wright 22% 66% 1.4 0% 58% 25% 17%
Montaque Gill-Caesar 29% 38% 1.8 0% 68% 19% 12%
Tramaine Isabell 18% 69% 5.0 78% 13% 3% 7%
Ryan Rosburg 26% 31% 1.8 0% 35% 37% 28%
Deuce Bello 19% 52% 1.2 0% 80% 20% 0%
Wes Clark 14% 20% 2.9 69% 21% 5% 6%
Johnathan Williams III 28% 44% 4.4 56% 19% 15% 10%
D'Angelo Allen 18% 26% 2.2 47% 32% 12% 8%
Keanau Post 6% 0% 0.3 0% 100% 0% 0%
Keith Shamburger 18% 25% 4.0 72% 15% 6% 7%
  • Wright in Maui: 11-for-17 from the field, 7-for-10 from 3-point range. Goodness. Obviously that's not what to expect every game moving forward, but there's a pretty high ceiling there.

  • Gotta like seeing Teki getting baited into a bit of a tussle and continuing to play well, even adding some steals and solid rebounding to his 18 points on 11 FGAs.

  • Ryan Rosburg shot well over 50% on free throws in his first two seasons, but wow, is he in a funk. He's drawing fouls pretty well, but that doesn't even slightly matter if you brick all of them.

  • Wes Clark was 4-for-23 from the field in Maui, a drastic regression to (and past) the mean overall. But I really liked seeing him figure out other ways to contribute. He was asked to play 35 minutes today on a bruised knee and managed eight defensive rebounds, four assists and three steals to offset the couldn't-hit-the-ocean-standing-in-a-boat shooting. At his current rate, he could become one hell of an overall team leader sooner than later.

  • Just ignoring the whole "J3 took himself out of the game with knee pain" thing. Yep. Didn't happen.

Summary

Hmm. This post was more optimistic than I thought it would be. Screw it, winning's fun, even when it's not. This team has all sorts of components, and it's going to be fun watching it (sporadically) come together in the coming weeks/months.

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.