With Mizzou's 7th win this weekend, they assured themselves of another winning record - the 9th in the last 10 years. Having grown up with the post-Onofrio Tigers, this seems exceptional, but, is it, really?
Using the fabulous website http://www.jhowell.net/cf/scores/ScoresIndex.htm, I took at look at Missouri's records since 1920 (College Football really started to become a national game around then, plus the 1918 squad didn't play, so I figured I'd look at the last 10 decades). I wanted to see how rare having 9 of 10 season having a winning record was, but while I was there, I figured I'd look at records on a decade-by-decade basis.
A couple of notes:
1) 1995 - Texas Tech was instructed to forfeit at least some of their games (including the Missouri game) due to using ineligible players, but that change has not been reflected in the official records - I have included that win in my calculations
2) 1972 - Oklahoma was instructed to forfeit at least some of their games (including the MIssouri game) due to using ineligible players, but that change has not been reflected in the official records - I have included that win in my calculations
3) 1960 - F**K Kansas, we all know that story
4) 1951 - Kansas State was instructed to forfeit at least some of their games (including the Missouri game) due to using ineligible players, but that change has not been reflected in the official records - I have included that win in my calculations
5) I ignored ties - a winning season is a season with more wins than losses, and the winning percentages shown were actually calculated as Wins/(Wins + Losses)
6) I acknowledge that win-loss records can be inflated during this era of college football, but I'm not interested in that, I just want to know whether they beat the teams they played or not.
First question: How rare is it for Missouri to have winning records in 9 of 10 seasons?
The last time Mizzou did it was 1981 - 1983, and the only time in history where Missouri has had 10 consecutive seasons, they actually had 13 consecutive seasons: 1969 (1957 - 1969).
- 13 seasons - 1 time (1969)
- 12 seasons - 1 time (1968)
- 11 seasons - 1 time (1967)
- 10 seasons - 1 time (1966)
- 9 seasons - 6 times
As you can probably guess, from 1984 - 1996, Missouri had no winning seasons, making it the worst stretch in our history.
Secondly, Based on that, we can probably guess what was our worst and best 10-year stretches are, right?
Best W% over 10-year stretches:
- 60 - 69: .778
- 59 - 68: .748
- 58 - 67: .732
- 20 - 29: .720
- 57 - 66: .719
- 61 - 70: .717
- 56 - 65: .698
- 05 - 14: .685
- 21 - 30: .662
- 04 - 13: .659 It should be noted that 02 - 11 (.633) and 03 - 12 (.633) are tied at #13
Our worst 10-year stretches? Pick a group of 10 years between 1982 and 1997 and you're getting close. The 30s were terrible, too. (For the gluttons among us here's the list - worst first: 85-94, 84-93, 86-95, 87-96, 83-92, 28-37, 88-97, 29-38, 82-91, 30-39).
Next: How good has this decade been, historically?
- Winning Percentage by decade:
- 1960s: .778
- 1920s: .720
- 2010s: .689
- 1940s: .619
- 2000s: .565
- 1970s: .526
- 1950s: .448
- 1980s: .413
- 1990s: .400
- 1930s: .381
Missouri lost a total of 22 games from September 1960 - January 1970, and have lost 19 games in just the 5 years since the start of the 2010 season. Obviously, the regular season is longer now, so...
Finally: What does Mizzou have to do over the next 5+ seasons for this decade to be better than the 60s?
Missouri needs to win 58 games in the next 5 years, or win 11 1/2 games/year for the rest of the decade to TIE the 60s.
So.. in conclusion, this has been a great run for Mizzou, but no matter how good you think this team was in the 60s? They were better (unless you're Bill, he's got a good grasp on it).
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