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Against Arkansas, Missouri was once again ill-prepared and overwhelmed from the tip

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Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Your Trifecta: Isabell-Phillips-Wright.

Your Season Totals: Your Season Totals: Puryear 21, Phillips 16, Gant 10, Wright 10, Clark 9, Walton 9, Isabell 9, VanLeer 7, Woods 5. Freshmen 53, sophomores 29, juniors 14, seniors 0.

MUtigers.com: @MizzouHoops Drops Home Result to Arkansas Despite 16 from Phillips
The Trib: Arkansas hands Missouri its worst-ever loss at Mizzou Arena
Post-Dispatch: Arkansas hands Tigers their worst defeat at Mizzou Arena
PowerMizzou: Historic and Humiliating

Arkansas 94, Missouri 61

Mizzou
Arkansas
Pace (No. of Possessions) 65.5
Points Per Possession (PPP) 0.93 1.43
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.24 1.59
2-PT FG% 47.1% 65.9%
3-PT FG% 20.0% 53.3%
FT% 87.0% 80.0%
True Shooting % 51.6% 71.6%
FTA/FGA 46.9% 25.4%
Mizzou Arkansas
Assists 8 20
Steals 4 5
Turnovers 14 6
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
0.86 4.17
Mizzou Arkansas
Expected Offensive Rebounds 11.0 8.3
Offensive Rebounds 8 4
Difference -3.0 -4.3

Mizzou Player Stats

(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)

Player
AdjGS GmSc/Min Line
Tramaine Isabell 15.1 0.69 22 Min, 9 Pts (1-4 FG, 0-2 3PT, 7-8 FT), 2 Reb, 2 Ast
Terrence Phillips 10.1 0.36 28 Min, 16 Pts (5-14 FG, 1-4 3PT, 5-6 FT), 5 Reb (2 Off), 1 Stl, 4 TO, 4 PF
Namon Wright 9.0 0.43 21 Min, 9 Pts (3-5 FG, 1-2 3PT, 2-2 FT), 3 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 3 TO, 2 PF
Kevin Puryear 7.6 0.26 29 Min, 8 Pts (3-7 FG, 0-2 3PT, 2-2 FT), 3 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 TO, 2 PF
Ryan Rosburg 5.5 0.55 10 Min, 4 Pts (2-2 FG), 2 Reb (1 Off), 1 TO, 1 PF
Jakeenan Gant 4.4 0.37 12 Min, 4 Pts (2-4 FG), 3 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 TO, 4 PF
Cullen VanLeer 4.1 0.24 17 Min, 3 Pts (1-3 FG, 1-3 3PT), 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 2 PF
K.J. Walton 3.1 0.21 15 Min, 2 Pts (0-1 FG, 2-2 FT), 1 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 TO
Wes Clark 2.0 0.12 17 Min, 4 Pts (2-6 FG, 0-1 3PT), 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 2 PF
Russell Woods 2.0 0.11 19 Min, 2 Pts (0-2 FG, 2-2 FT), 3 Reb (1 Off), 1 Stl, 1 TO, 2 PF
D'Angelo Allen -0.7 -0.07 10 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG, 0-1 3PT, 0-1 FT), 2 Reb (1 Off), 1 Blk, 1 TO
Player Usage% Floor% Touches/
Poss.
%Pass %Shoot %Fouled %T/O
Tramaine Isabell 19% 45% 3.2 52% 18% 31% 0%
Terrence Phillips 40% 30% 2.6 0% 60% 22% 17%
Namon Wright 23% 41% 2.3 38% 32% 11% 19%
Kevin Puryear 17% 41% 1.7 38% 45% 11% 6%
Ryan Rosburg 16% 63% 0.9 0% 67% 0% 33%
Jakeenan Gant 23% 42% 2.8 54% 37% 0% 9%
Cullen VanLeer 10% 38% 1.6 66% 34% 0% 0%
K.J. Walton 11% 33% 2.0 61% 10% 18% 10%
Wes Clark 19% 35% 2.2 50% 50% 0% 0%
Russell Woods 11% 21% 0.8 0% 42% 37% 21%
D'Angelo Allen 13% 0% 0.9 0% 35% 30% 35%

1. Mizzou came into this game wanting to attack Arkansas' press, attack the rim, draw fouls, and generally create the general "Mike Anderson team playing on the road and getting whistled for something every 18 seconds" equation that works pretty well against Mike Anderson teams on the road. And in this one way, the Tigers were successful. They drew 20 fouls (12 in the first half) and made 20 of 23 free throws.

2. Just imagine what the score of this game could have been if they didn't hit their free throws. Against an Arkansas team that is neither as good nor as long as it was last year, Mizzou was bad from the field and had no idea how to prevent Arkansas from taking good shots, even in non-transition situations. The Hogs were probably a little TOO good from the field -- even while dominating, you're not usually going to shoot 66% on 2-pointers and 53% on 3-pointers, so they're likely due a slump at some point (against some other team) -- but, well, that's the smallest of consolation.

3. Here's your reminder that last year's Missouri team nearly beat that better Arkansas team at home and only ('only') lost by 15 on the road.

4.

When you've got a team as young as Missouri's, one with a lot of key guys who haven't spent an offseason in Mizzou's weight room yet, that's going to be a problem. But the guys who have been here are getting pushed around, too. None of them really look any stronger this year aside from maybe D'Angelo Allen, who barely plays. Maybe Gant is stronger, but I expected more offseason bulk than we've seen.

5.

That is indeed a problem, yes, one that becomes a bit of an issue when you're a guard-heavy team.

I've got some more thoughts, but I need to collect them further. Missouri has indeed showed good things against bad teams this year, and if you're into reading tea leaves, that's generally one that results in good performances down the line. But the fact that the Tigers have been completely unprepared to even tip off against about six of eight decent teams -- not even great, just decent -- that they have faced is absolutely ridiculous.

When you draw a paltry 6,600 fans for a "rivalry game" against a former coach, that's a terrible sign. And when you then lose that game by 34 points, it's even worse. It's good that Missouri is able to beat the Auburns and NIUs of the world. Getting smoked out of the gates by teams that were either peers or straight-up inferior to you three to four years ago negates any positivity you can glean from not losing to bad teams.

---

AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.

Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.

Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.

Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.

Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.