Your Trifecta: Rosburg-Isabell-Phillips
Your Season Totals: Your Season Totals: Puryear 34, Phillips 25, Wright 23, Clark 18, Rosburg 18, Walton 15, Gant 14, Isabell 13, VanLeer 7, Woods 5, Allen 2. Freshmen 81, sophomores 52, juniors 23, seniors 18.
Isabell, lips pursed, tried to remain calm. He took his frustrations out on the basketball instead of exploding at the officials. Isabell dribbled the ball hard with both hands three times. Thud. Thud. Thud. The sound rang through Mizzou Arena's dead air. Isabell clearly still wanted to win, still thought the team could win, even if no one else did. [...]
He's also been playing better on the court. Isabell got his first start of the season, and the second of his career, after setting a career-high with 17 points on Tuesday against Mississippi. He made the most of his opportunity Saturday, matching his 17 points and also providing five assists, the most on the team.
Texas A&M 84, Missouri 69
|Pace (No. of Possessions)||67.0|
|Points Per Possession (PPP)||1.03||1.25|
|Points Per Shot (PPS)||1.21||1.40|
|True Shooting %||53.5%||62.6%|
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
|Expected Offensive Rebounds||12.1||10.2|
- Texas A&M shoots 2-pointers well (usually via ball movement), keeps you from doing the same, steals the ball a lot, and plays solid defense on the perimeter without fouling. That's a list of the Aggies' biggest strengths overall, and they pretty much mauled Missouri with those exact strengths on Saturday. It's hard to win when you make 17 of 37 2-pointers (decent!) and your opponent makes 22 of 30 (absurd!). It's even harder when you're pretty much breaking even on 3s, FTs, and rebounds. And then it's impossible to stay close when they're also trouncing you in the ball-handling department.
- How good was A&M's offense yesterday? Missouri managed to average over a point per possession against what Pomeroy's numbers say is the No. 17 defense in the country. That's excellent, and it's not only because of the late-game surge against the backups. Mizzou shot reasonably well (despite Namon Wright going 1-for-8), only turned the ball over 10 times (eight via steal, however), and got 32 points on 19 field goal attempts from Ryan Rosburg and Tramaine Isabell. And the Tigers were still down by 27 with 4:30 left. A&M didn't literally score on every single possession, but it sure felt like it. Mizzou just had no defensive answers for A&M's length and ball movement.
- The numbers were even kind to Mizzou overall. In part because of the late-game surge and in part because A&M's a pretty damn good team, Mizzou fell only six spots in Pomeroy's ratings after this one. Moral victories!
Mizzou Player Stats
(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)
|Ryan Rosburg||18.3||0.59||31 Min, 15 Pts (5-6 FG, 5-6 FT), 5 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 TO, 2 PF|
|Tramaine Isabell||17.3||0.58||30 Min, 17 Pts (7-13 FG, 2-6 3PT, 1-1 FT), 3 Reb, 5 Ast, 3 TO|
|Terrence Phillips||11.4||0.42||27 Min, 8 Pts (3-8 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT), 10 Reb (2 Off), 4 Ast, 1 Stl, 2 TO, 2 PF|
|Cullen VanLeer||9.6||0.50||19 Min, 8 Pts (3-6 FG, 2-4 3PT), 1 Ast, 2 Stl, 1 TO|
|Kevin Puryear||5.9||0.31||19 Min, 7 Pts (1-6 FG, 0-1 3PT, 5-6 FT), 4 Reb (2 Off), 1 Blk, 1 TO, 1 PF|
|Jakeenan Gant||5.0||0.22||23 Min, 5 Pts (2-4 FG, 1-1 3PT), 5 Reb (2 Off), 1 TO, 2 PF|
|Jimmy Barton||4.3||1.07||4 Min, 3 Pts (1-1 FG, 1-1 3PT), 1 Ast, 1 PF|
|Adam Wolf||0.0||0.00||2 Min, 0 Pts (0-0 FG)|
|Namon Wright||-0.6||-0.02||31 Min, 4 Pts (1-8 FG, 0-3 3PT, 2-2 FT), 3 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 3 PF|
|K.J. Walton||-0.6||-0.06||9 Min, 2 Pts (1-5 FG, 0-1 3PT), 1 Reb (1 Off)|
|Russell Woods||-1.4||-0.29||5 Min, 0 Pts (0-0 FG), 1 TO|
- After fouls limited his minutes against Arkansas and he found very little opportunity against Ole Miss, Rosburg finally had another strong game. He's now averaging 15.9 PPG and 5.7 RPG over the last seven games.
- Tramaine Isabell since Wes Clark's departure: 22 MPG, 13 PPG (60% 2PT, 29% 3PT, 89% FT), 2 APG, 2 RPG, 1 SPG. Add another defensive rebound or two, and that's more or less what Clark was producing. Granted, Mizzou's also allowed 1.09 points per possession since Clark left, which is bad, but I'm not sure it's that much worse than what the Tigers were allowing in the games before Clark's departure.
- Tough game for KJ Walton. When his at-the-rim game is producing circus-style misses, he's yet to the point where he's got much of a Plan B.
- Granted, Namon Wright's string of good 3-point shooting ended yesterday, but Cullen VanLeer is now 4-for-9 (44%) from the arc in his last three games. He was on a 2-for-17 run (12%) in the four games before that.
- D'Angelo Allen: DNP-coach decision. Sigh.
Not an incredibly fun afternoon at Mizzou Arena, but at the least, this one felt more like an opponent playing unstoppable basketball than Missouri laying an egg. That's the smallest of small consolation, I guess.
Two games left. Pomeroy gives Mizzou a 15% chance of winning at LSU and a 29% of beating Florida. That means the Tigers still have about a 40% chance of winning at least one more game, but regardless, Mizzou will finish with more wins and a higher Pomeroy ranking than last year. "Improving slightly with an even younger team" will be the story of the 2015-16 season. I'm kind of over this year and ready see what next season's story is.
AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.
Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.
Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.
Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.
Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.