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Your Trifecta: Clark-Phillips-Wright.
Your Season Totals: Your Season Totals: Puryear 25, Phillips 22, Clark 18, Wright 17, Walton 12, Gant 12, Isabell 9, VanLeer 7, Woods 5, Allen 2, Rosburg 3. Freshmen 66, sophomores 40, juniors 23, seniors 2.
Ole Miss 76, Missouri 73
| Mizzou |
Ole Miss | |
| Pace (No. of Possessions) | 68.0 | |
| Points Per Possession (PPP) | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Points Per Shot (PPS) | 1.40 | 1.46 |
| 2-PT FG% | 38.7% | 38.1% |
| 3-PT FG% | 47.6% | 45.2% |
| FT% | 73.1% | 81.8% |
| True Shooting % | 57.5% | 61.6% |
| FTA/FGA | 50.0% | 42.3% |
| Mizzou | Ole Miss | |
| Assists | 14 | 16 |
| Steals | 12 | 11 |
| Turnovers | 13 | 17 |
|
Ball Control Index (BCI) (Assists + Steals) / TO |
2.00 | 1.59 |
| Mizzou | Ole Miss | |
| Expected Offensive Rebounds | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 10 | 11 |
| Difference | -1.8 | +0.0 |
- There are four teams ranked 100th or worse in Pomeroy's rankings, three not named Mizzou. Mizzou blew out one of them a few weeks ago (Auburn). And the Tigers lost to both of the other two this week. Both of the other two were playing without a key contributor.
- No. 87 Tennessee comes to town in a week and a half. It is the only remaining game on the schedule in which Mizzou has a better than 27% chance of winning. It will now take a reasonably decent upset for the Tigers to even match last year's win total.
- Man oh man oh man, it's almost more frustrating to lose a game when you're actually shooting well from 3-point range. Mizzou didn't lose by double digits, as it did to Mississippi State, but ... damn. 10-for-21 on 3-pointers for the game, 7-for-damn-9 in the second half ... and still come up three points short.
Mizzou Player Stats
(Definitions at the bottom of the post.)
| Player |
AdjGS | GmSc/Min | Line |
| Wes Clark | 22.3 | 0.66 | 34 Min, 20 Pts (4-7 FG, 2-3 3PT, 10-10 FT), 4 Reb (1 Off), 5 Ast, 3 Stl, 6 TO, 2 PF |
| Terrence Phillips | 19.9 | 0.83 | 24 Min, 14 Pts (4-7 FG, 3-3 3PT, 3-4 FT), 2 Reb, 4 Ast, 5 Stl, 1 TO, 4 PF |
| Namon Wright | 10.5 | 0.35 | 30 Min, 12 Pts (3-10 FG, 3-6 3PT, 3-4 FT), 8 Reb, 2 Ast, 1 Blk, 1 TO, 2 PF |
| Cullen VanLeer | 8.4 | 0.53 | 16 Min, 10 Pts (3-7 FG, 2-6 3PT, 2-2 FT), 1 Reb, 2 Stl, 1 TO, 2 PF |
| Kevin Puryear | 3.7 | 0.13 | 28 Min, 9 Pts (4-11 FG, 0-1 3PT, 1-2 FT), 5 Reb (2 Off), 1 TO, 2 PF |
| Ryan Rosburg | 2.5 | 0.07 | 33 Min, 2 Pts (1-2 FG, 0-3 FT), 3 Reb (2 Off), 2 Ast, 1 Blk, 4 PF |
| K.J. Walton | 2.0 | 0.18 | 11 Min, 4 Pts (2-5 FG, 0-1 3PT), 2 Reb (1 Off), 1 Ast, 1 TO, 1 PF |
| Jakeenan Gant | 1.6 | 0.16 | 10 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG), 2 Reb (1 Off), 2 Stl, 2 Blk, 2 TO, 1 PF |
| Russell Woods | 1.0 | 0.14 | 7 Min, 2 Pts (1-1 FG, 0-1 FT), 1 Reb (1 Off), 3 PF |
| D'Angelo Allen | -0.1 | -0.03 | 4 Min, 0 Pts (0-0 FG), 1 Reb, 1 PF |
| Tramaine Isabell | -0.9 | -0.29 | 3 Min, 0 Pts (0-1 FG, 0-1 3PT) |
| Player | Usage% | Floor% | Touches/ Poss. |
%Pass | %Shoot | %Fouled | %T/O |
| Wes Clark | 27% | 44% | 4.5 | 58% | 14% | 16% | 12% |
| Terrence Phillips | 21% | 53% | 4.4 | 68% | 20% | 9% | 3% |
| Namon Wright | 22% | 32% | 2.6 | 45% | 38% | 12% | 4% |
| Cullen VanLeer | 29% | 36% | 1.8 | 0% | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Kevin Puryear | 24% | 29% | 1.5 | 0% | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| Ryan Rosburg | 5% | 41% | 1.5 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 0% |
| K.J. Walton | 29% | 33% | 3.3 | 50% | 42% | 0% | 8% |
| Jakeenan Gant | 16% | 0% | 0.9 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Russell Woods | 11% | 66% | 0.8 | 0% | 55% | 45% | 0% |
- Clark's six turnovers were certainly ... suboptimal. (And we won't mention the late missed layup.) Still, Clark, Phillips, and Wright combined for 46 points (on just 24 field goal attempts), 14 rebounds, 11 assists to eight turnovers, and eight steals in 88 minutes. That's fantastic. If you lose despite that, you didn't lose because of these guys, no matter what happened in the final minute.
- Ryan Rosburg and Russell Woods: 0-for-4 from the free throw line. In a three-point loss. (The rest of the team did go 19-for-22, at least...) The duo played 40 minutes and scored four points with four rebounds. I don't understand how that's possible. In 40 minutes, I would just assume a few more would accidentally fall your way.
- Okay, that was picking on Rosburg a bit too much. He did have two nice assists and a block. Mizzou's big men weren't dreadful last night; they just weren't good enough.
Summary
I can definitely understand why Mizzou players and coaches were encouraged after this game. The Tigers did fight hard, and it took some bad last-minute bounces to end up with the L. The problem isn't really anything that happened last night. The problem, of course, is that was the single most winnable game left on the schedule. They can talk about building off of last night's effort, and I really hope they do. But replicating that effort moving forward will just mean closer losses.
Three numbers to finish this off: 9, 199, and 4734. Mizzou is now projected to finish with nine wins per Pomeroy. The Tigers now rank 199th in Pomeroy's ratings, their lowest placement of the year and (gulp) 19 spots lower than they were at this time last year. And there were 4,734 in attendance.
I'm not going to make a conclusion from that. You already know what the conclusion is.
Damn, I feel bad for these guys.
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AdjGS: a take-off of the Game Score metric (definition here) accepted by a lot of basketball stat nerds. It takes points, assists, rebounds (offensive & defensive), steals, blocks, turnovers and fouls into account to determine an individual's "score" for a given game. The "adjustment" in Adjusted Game Score is simply matching the total game scores to the total points scored in the game, thereby redistributing the game's points scored to those who had the biggest impact on the game itself, instead of just how many balls a player put through a basket.
Usage%: This "estimates the % of team possessions a player consumes while on the floor" (via). The usage of those possessions is determined via a formula using field goal and free throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. The higher the number, the more prevalent a player is (good or bad) in a team's offensive outcome.
Floor%: Via Basketball-Reference.com: Floor % answers the question, "when Player X uses a possession, what is the probability that his team scores at least 1 point?". The higher the Floor%, the more frequently the team probably scores when the given player is involved.
Touches/Possession: Using field goal attempts, free throw attempts, assists and turnovers, Touches attempt to estimate "the number of times a player touched the ball in an attacking position on the floor." Take the estimated touches and divide it by the estimated number of possessions for which a player was on the court, and you get a rough idea of how many times a player touched the ball in a given possession. For point guards, you'll see the number in the 3-4 range. For shooting guards and wings, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You get the idea.
Anyway, using the Touches figure, we can estimate the percentage of time a player "in an attacking position" passes, shoots, turns the ball over, or gets fouled.