clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Vegas sets Missouri's win total at 5.5: Are you taking the over or the under?

Here are today's Mizzou Links.

Mizzou Tigers pennant What's On

How about some Tim Frizzell highlights?

Frizzell was evidently the star of Day 1 of Mizzou's camp season.

Honestly his film looks better at LB than RB above (to my eyes, anyway), but remember this name.

PowerMizzou: Camp starts

PowerMizzou: QUICK POST CAMP UPDATE

PowerMizzou: Unknown TN ATH leads the way to start Missouri's camp season

Mizzou Tigers pennant 5.5, huh?

CBS Sports: Las Vegas releases 2016 college football win totals for all 128 FBS teams

Over/under win totals for SEC teams:

  • Alabama 10
  • LSU 10
  • Tennessee 9.5
  • Georgia 8.5
  • Ole Miss 8.5
  • Arkansas 7.5
  • Florida 7.5
  • Auburn 6.5
  • Mississippi State 6.5
  • Texas A&M 6
  • Missouri 5.5
  • Kentucky 5
  • South Carolina 5
  • Vanderbilt 5

The initial reaction to the Mizzou line has been kind of funny -- Mizzou people seem to be leaning over, non-Mizzou people under. Maybe that's natural, but my contribution at the moment is that, using my 2016 S&P+ projections, Mizzou's projected win total is 6.1. And Mizzou's got something going in its favor: those projections don't incorporate transfers. That helps a team like TCU, which has brought some high-profile transfers (like QB Kenny Hill) to the table, and it'll help Missouri a smidge when I add Alex Ross and Chris Black to the ledger. So this feels like a semi-safe 'over' for me at the moment, especially since a ton of S&P+ projections are within about 0.1 or 0.2 of the over/unders. Mizzou has one of the larger cushions.

And if you're curious, here's how the win probabilities play out currently...

  • 80-100%: EMU (91%), Delaware State (100%)
  • 60-80%: MTSU (77%), Kentucky (74%), Vanderbilt (65%)
  • 40-60%: SC (47%)
  • 20-40%: WVU (33%), UGA (33%), Florida (23%), Arkansas (35%)
  • 0-20%: LSU (9%), Tennessee (19%)

So the key to bowling will be taking care of business in the five semi-easy home games and either taking down SC/WVU/UF on the road of UGA/Arkansas at home. That sounds pretty doable to me at the moment.

Mizzou Tigers pennant Okay, glad we debated this for a day

Post-Dispatch: SEC quashes talk of division shake-up

Mizzou Tigers pennant Around the Mizzou universe

Softball

MUtigers.com: Mizzou's Crane and Fagan Named 2016 NFCA All-Americans

The Trib: MU softball team's Sprague announces she'll transfer

Track & Field

MUtigers.com: Montgomery Named SEC Freshman Runner of the Year

Volleyball

MUtigers.com: @MizzouVB Summer Update: Kayla Caffey

Mizzou Tigers pennant New PAPN!

SB Nation: PODCAST AIN'T PLAYED NOBODY: Baylor, Ole Miss, and anything but Baylor and Ole Miss