Drew Lock must be salivating looking at this matchup for his final game in Columbia.
On average, Arkansas has given up over 40 points per game to SEC opponents. Missouri ranks 16th in the country in total offense (474.4 ypg) and could spell major trouble for the Razorbacks.
The Hogs have played three offenses comparable to the Tigers’ in No. 1 Alabama (No. 3 offense in FBS), No. 22 Texas A&M (No. 21 offense in FBS) and Ole Miss (No. 5 offense in FBS).
The Crimson Tide shellacked Arkansas in Fayeteville by putting up 65 points on 642 yards of offense. The Aggies narrowly won on the road by dropping 24 points and 379 yards on the Razorbacks. And the Rebels threw up a 37-piece on 613 yards of offense in a four-point victory at home.
Now, let’s compare how Missouri has fared against defenses similar to Arkansas’ 82nd-ranked unit.
The three defenses that sit close to the Razorbacks’ are Memphis (67th defense in FBS), South Carolina (78th defense in FBS), and Vanderbilt (98th defense in FBS).
The Tigers whomped Memphis on homecoming for 65 points and 648 yards. They lost a close, rainy, running back-centric game to South Carolina, but put up 507 yards (303 yards rushing) and 35 points on the road. And Missouri had a very balanced, efficient offensive attack in a five point win over Vanderbilt, as the Commodores allowed 33 points on 506 yards of offense.
As of late, Derek Dooley’s offense has been on playing on another level. Even against a very formidable defense in Florida (32nd in FBS), the Tigers casually dropped 38 points and 473 yards on the Gators on the road.
Arkansas is most vulnerable through the air, as they rank 96th in the country in passing yards allowed per game (247.0) and 113th in opponent passer efficiency rating (152.26). Quarterbacks have also completed passes at a 63.4 percent clip against the Razorbacks.
That spells for a big day from Lock on his Senior Day. Expect the Missouri gunslinger to have a huge day through the air in his final game at Memorial Stadium.