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Some ceilings and floors for J’Mon Moore

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Will Missouri’s latest draftee be another Jamison Crowder? Or Austin Collie? Let’s hope he’s not a Greg Childs.

NFL: Combine
J’Mon Moore’s draft spot comes with a recent history of receivers who have made modest impressions and ones that have never really caught on.
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

J’Mon Moore was the only Missouri player taken in the 2018 NFL Draft last week, going to the Green Bay Packers with the 133rd overall pick in the fourth round.

As such, he gets to be the only Tiger I devote my attention to this week. Lucky him.

So, you might ask, what sort of career prospects does a pick like Moore have at the next level. Well, it kind of depends on how you look at him.

If you look at him as the 133rd pick in the fourth round, prospects are pretty bleak. At least given the past 10 drafts. If you look at him as the 15th wide receiver taken off the board -- which he was -- then the possibilities perk up a little bit.

I went back through the 2008-2017 drafts and found the closest wide receiver to the 133rd pick -- either before or after -- and the 15th wide receiver taken and saw how their NFL careers have turned out.

There were 11 receivers included in the “closest to 133” survey, since Demarcus Robinson (126th pick) and Tajae Sharpe (140th) were equidistant from 133 that year. They have combined to catch 460 passes for 4740 yards and 25 touchdowns over 27 total NFL seasons.

Or an average of 17 catches for 176 yards and a touchdown per year. Not exactly jaw-dropping stuff.

The 10 receivers who came off the board 15th -- all but two of them, Sharpe and Kenny Stills, going before 133rd, by the way...this was a slow year for receivers -- fared better. They have caught 1233 passes for 16687 yards and 102 touchdowns over 38 NFL seasons.

Or an average of 32 catches for 439 yards and three touchdowns a year. Still not All-Pro material, but not bad either.

Here is some idea of the ceilings and floors Moore can expect under both comparisons.

Closest to 133

Ceiling

Austin Collie, BYU -- Round 4, Pick 127 (Indianapolis Colts, 2009)

179 catches, 1908 yards, 16 TD (5 years)

Collie’s NFL career ended prematurely due to concussions and a knee injury but, he did average 57 catches for 613 yards and five touchdowns over his first three years in the league with the Peyton Manning (and...er...Curtis Painter…) Colts.

Tajae Sharpe, UMass -- Round 5, Pick 140 (Tennessee Titans, 2016)

41 catches, 522 yards, 2 TD (1 year)

Sharpe played his way into the starting rotation as a rookie, then missed last season with a foot injury. Now he’s trying to work his way back up again.

Ryan Grant, Tulane -- Round 4, Pick 142 (Washington, 2014)

84 catches, 985 yards, 6 TD (4 years)

Grant posted career highs with Washington last season, catching 45 passes for 573 yards and four scores. He was set to sign a lucrative deal with the Baltimore Ravens, but failed the physical and had to settle for a lesser one with the Colts.

Floor

Greg Childs, Arkansas -- Round 4, Pick 134 (Minnesota Vikings, 2012)

No stats (1 year)

The former Razorbacks star found out he had patellar tears in both knees during his first preseason as a pro, and his career never really got started. He is attempting a comeback, though.

DeAndre Smelter, Georgia Tech -- Round 4, Pick 132 (San Francisco 49ers, 2015)

1 catch, 23 yards (1 year)

Smelter tore his ACL in his final collegiate game and caught his only career pass from Colin Kaepernick. He is, however, currently on a futures contract with the Colts.

Kenneth Moore, Wake Forest -- Round 4, Pick 136 (Detroit Lions, 2008)

6 catches, 59 yards; 15 KO returns, 321 yards (2 years)

The Lions cut Moore before his rookie season, and he latched on with the Carolina Panthers. He made all of his career catches in 2009, then fumbled twice in a game for the Colts the next season on kick return and was waived.

15th Receiver Taken

Ceiling

Jamison Crowder, Duke -- Round 4, Pick 105 (Washington, 2015)

192 catches, 2240 yards, 12 TD; 84 punt returns, 657 yards, TD (3 years)

Crowder was a difference-maker out of the gate for Washington and has been a big part of its offense all three seasons in the league. His high-water mark, so far, was a 2016 in which he caught 67 passes for 847 yards and seven scores.

Kenny Stills, Oklahoma -- Round 5, Pick 144 (New Orleans Saints, 2013)

222 catches, 3585 yards, 26 TD (5 years)

Stills has proven himself as a big-play threat on two teams, catching 63 passes for 931 yards and three scores for the Saints in 2014, then following up with 58 catches for 847 yards and six touchdowns for the Miami Dolphins last year.

John Brown, Pittsburg State -- Round 3, Pick 91 (Arizona Cardinals, 2014)

173 catches, 2515 yards, 17 TD (4 years)

Brown was a 1,000-yard receiver and the Cardinals’ man home-run hitter in 2015, but injuries have derailed each of his past two seasons. Now, he’s trying to catch on again with the Ravens.

Floor

Juaquin Iglesias, Oklahoma -- Round 3, Pick 99 (Chicago Bears, 2009)

No stats (1 year)

Iglesias played in one game. The rest of his NFL career was not much more than lines of agate on the transactions page.

Marcus Easley, Connecticut -- Round 4, Pick 107 (Buffalo Bills, 2010)

3 catches, 71 yards, TD; 7 KO returns, 171 yards (3 years)

Easley, the first Huskies receiver to ever be drafted, missed his first two NFL seasons with a torn meniscus and a heart condition, respectively. He caught on as a consistent special teams performer in 2013, though — leading the NFL in special teams tackles — and stuck around on the Bills roster until 2017.

Andre Caldwell, Florida -- Round 3, Pick 97 (Cincinnati Bengals, 2008)

156 catches, 1509 yards, 11 TD; 70 KO returns, 1537 yards (8 years)

You can’t really call an eight-year NFL career, with a Super Bowl ring with the Denver Broncos in 2015 thrown in, a failure. But Caldwell just never really made a huge impact as a receiver. His biggest year came with the Bengals in 2009, catching 51 passes for 432 yards and three scores.


If you want to see all of the receivers in this study, keep reading...

2018

J’Mon Moore, Missouri -- Round 4, Pick 133 (Green Bay Packers)

15th WR

2017

Ryan Switzer, North Carolina -- Round 4, Pick 133 (Dallas Cowboys)

6 catches, 41 yards; 24 KO returns, 600 yards; 29 punt returns, 256 yards, TD (1 year)

15th WR -- Dede Westbrook, Oklahoma -- Round 4, Pick 110 (Jacksonville Jaguars)

27 catches, 339 yards, TD (1 year)

2016

Demarcus Robinson, Florida -- Round 4, Pick 126 (Kansas City Chiefs)

21 catches, 212 yards (2 years)

Tajae Sharpe, UMass -- Round 5, Pick 140 (Tennessee Titans)

41 catches, 522 yards, 2 TD (1 year)

15th WR -- Sharpe

2015

DeAndre Smelter, Georgia Tech -- Round 4, Pick 132 (San Francisco 49ers)

1 catch, 23 yards (1 year)

15th WR -- Jamison Crowder, Duke -- Round 4, Pick 105 (Washington)

192 catches, 2240 yards, 12 TD; 84 punt returns, 657 yards, TD (3 years)

2014

Ryan Grant, Tulane -- Round 4, Pick 142 (Washington)

84 catches, 985 yards, 6 TD (4 years)

15th WR -- John Brown, Pittsburg State -- Round 3, Pick 91 (Arizona Cardinals)

173 catches, 2515 yards, 17 TD (4 years)

2013

Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech -- Round 4, Pick 128 (San Francisco 49ers)

73 catches, 880 yards, TD (4 years)

15th WR -- Kenny Stills, Oklahoma -- Round 5, Pick 144 (New Orleans Saints)

222 catches, 3585 yards, 26 TD (5 years)

2012

Greg Childs, Arkansas -- Round 4, Pick 134 (Minnesota Vikings)

No stats (1 year)

15th WR -- Travis Benjamin -- Round 4, Pick 100 (Cleveland Browns)

190 catches, 2927 yards, 18 TD; 104 punt returns, 1173 yards, 4 TD (6 years)

2011

Kealoha Pilares, Hawaii -- Round 4, Pick 132 (Carolina Panthers)

2 catches, 42 yards; 32 KO returns, 806 yards, TD (2 years)

15th WR -- Cecil Shorts, Mount Union -- Round 4, Pick 114 (Jacksonville Jaguars)

229 catches 2979 yards, 14 TD (6 years)

2010

David Reed, Utah -- Round 5, Pick 156 (Baltimore Ravens)

6 catches, 68 yards; 63 KO returns, 1740 yards, TD (4 years)

15th WR -- Marcus Easley, Connecticut -- Round 4, Pick 107 (Buffalo Bills)

3 catches, 71 yards, TD; 7 KO returns, 171 yards (3 years)

2009

Austin Collie, BYU -- Round 4, Pick 127 (Indianapolis Colts)

179 catches, 1908 yards, 16 TD (5 years)

15th WR -- Juaquin Iglesias, Oklahoma -- Round 3, Pick 99 (Chicago Bears)

No stats (1 year)

2008

Kenneth Moore, Wake Forest -- Round 4, Pick 136 (Detroit Lions)

6 catches, 59 yards; 15 KO returns, 321 yards (2 years)

15th WR -- Andre Caldwell, Florida -- Round 3, Pick 97 (Cincinnati Bengals)

156 catches, 1509 yards, 11 TD; 70 KO returns, 1537 yards (8 years)